13720 Monte Bello #105 · Prunedale, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 79°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-in Ready. This home is waiting for its new owner to put their own touches on it; it offers a fantastic opportunity for comfortable, affordable living. Both bathrooms have been remodeled, freshly painted, and have an indoor laundry area. Enjoy the skylight in the kitchen. This home is ideally located near Monterey - known for its beautiful coastline, aquarium, and tourism attractions, Marina - A growing coastal community with beaches and shopping centers.
Key facts
- Indoor laundry area
- Skylight in kitchen
- Remodeled bathrooms
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $16 ($189/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (11.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $155k (11.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.3% in Prunedale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#780 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, housing B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- North Monterey County Unified (suburban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #1,055 of 1,400 in CA (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 530 units permitted in Monterey County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monterey County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $175k implies a 143% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.39%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,514
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -0.29%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13607 Monte Del Sol #127 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,183 (+2%) | 7mo | $171,000 | $145 | 87 |
| 13338 Brisa Del Mar #286 | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-1%) | 17mo | $232,000 | $201 | 73 |
| 13364 Brisa Del Mar #299 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,250 (+8%) | 14mo | $235,000 | $188 | 71 |
| 14018 Orilla Del Agua #271 | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,078 (-7%) | 23mo | $245,000 | $227 | 56 |
| 13208 Cielo Azul #241 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,324 (+14%) | 14mo | $245,000 | $185 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-27,332
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-22,415
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95012
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,551 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $16
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $175,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-03price $175,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $185,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-04-13$185,000 Active 463-char remark
Show marketing remark (463 chars)
Move-in Ready. This home is waiting for its new owner to put their own touches on it; it offers a fantastic opportunity for comfortable, affordable living. Both bathrooms have been remodeled, freshly painted, and have an indoor laundry area. Enjoy the skylight in the kitchen. This home is ideally located near Monterey - known for its beautiful coastline, aquarium, and tourism attractions, Marina - A growing coastal community with beaches and shopping centers.
-
2026-04-13$185,000 Active 463-char remark
Show marketing remark (463 chars)
Move-in Ready. This home is waiting for its new owner to put their own touches on it; it offers a fantastic opportunity for comfortable, affordable living. Both bathrooms have been remodeled, freshly painted, and have an indoor laundry area. Enjoy the skylight in the kitchen. This home is ideally located near Monterey - known for its beautiful coastline, aquarium, and tourism attractions, Marina - A growing coastal community with beaches and shopping centers.
-
2017-07-30soldstatus $72,000 Sold 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Welcome to your garden oasis ! This well loved home is available ! private decking and hot tub with a water fall and private area to BBQ or entertain ~ the larger deck is covered and could be used year round as your dining room al fresco . Perfect size for a couple or young family 2 bedroom 2 bath, separated by the living space, large updated kitchen and dining room, good size bedrooms, master w/ walk in, and tubs in both baths + a fireplace in the cozy living room This one is a Must See to believe , the pictures don't do it justice
-
2017-07-13status Pending (Do Not Show) 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Welcome to your garden oasis ! This well loved home is available ! private decking and hot tub with a water fall and private area to BBQ or entertain ~ the larger deck is covered and could be used year round as your dining room al fresco . Perfect size for a couple or young family 2 bedroom 2 bath, separated by the living space, large updated kitchen and dining room, good size bedrooms, master w/ walk in, and tubs in both baths + a fireplace in the cozy living room This one is a Must See to believe , the pictures don't do it justice
-
2017-06-27historical Contingent 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Welcome to your garden oasis ! This well loved home is available ! private decking and hot tub with a water fall and private area to BBQ or entertain ~ the larger deck is covered and could be used year round as your dining room al fresco . Perfect size for a couple or young family 2 bedroom 2 bath, separated by the living space, large updated kitchen and dining room, good size bedrooms, master w/ walk in, and tubs in both baths + a fireplace in the cozy living room This one is a Must See to believe , the pictures don't do it justice
-
2017-06-16$69,500 Active 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Welcome to your garden oasis ! This well loved home is available ! private decking and hot tub with a water fall and private area to BBQ or entertain ~ the larger deck is covered and could be used year round as your dining room al fresco . Perfect size for a couple or young family 2 bedroom 2 bath, separated by the living space, large updated kitchen and dining room, good size bedrooms, master w/ walk in, and tubs in both baths + a fireplace in the cozy living room This one is a Must See to believe , the pictures don't do it justice
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥79°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,609
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,625
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,489
- − Management
- −$1,489
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$2,762
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$663
- After-tax cash flow
- $852/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Monterey County Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0627590
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,789
- Composite
- 28.25/100
- National rank
- #12165
- State rank
- #1055 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Prunedale
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #780
- US rank
- #22467
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Prunedale, CA
- City population
- 24,922
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,147
Population outlook (Monterey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 458,436 people
- By 2030
- 469,418 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 489,615 · +6.8%
- By 2050
- 506,696 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 531,048 · +15.8%
- By 2100
- 519,153 · +13.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 87% Two or more races 12% White 7% Pacific Islander 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 84%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 25% English-only · Spanish 75%
Political lean MEDSL · Monterey
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.9) · D 63.4% · R 33.5% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.3pp · 2024: 29.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.9 2020: D+41.3 2016: D+39.7 2012: D+33.9 2008: D+38.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -258.63%
- Current HPI
- 251.1028
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+166.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $185,000 MLSListings
- 2026-04-13 Listed $185,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2017-07-30 Sold (MLS) $72,000 MLSListings
- 2017-07-13 Pending — MLSListings
- 2017-06-27 Contingent — MLSListings
- 2017-06-16 Listed $69,500 MLSListings
Property tax history
-1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $345 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…