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2404 Larkspur Dr
C- Composite 51.11
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

2404 Larkspur Dr · Greensboro, NC 27405
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,225 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1962 0.27 ac lot Est $214k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 2404 Larkspur Drive — a charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home nestled in an established neighborhood in Greensboro. Offering approximately 1,225 square feet of comfortable living space on a spacious 0.27-acre lot, this property blends classic character with everyday functionality. The home features a welcoming layout with generously sized bedrooms, inviting living areas, and plenty of outdoor space for entertaining, gardening, or relaxing. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major roadways, this home is a fantastic opportunity for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking to add their personal touch. Don’t miss your chance to make this Greensbor

Key facts

  • 0.27 acre lot
  • Built 1962
  • Listed 31 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: City/county water; Public/county sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence (site built); One story; Brick exterior; RS-9 zoning
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built on site (site built); Other foundation (see remarks)
  • Exterior features: Publicly maintained road access; Asphalt, gravel and paved road surfaces

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Wall furnace; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Fireplace; One main-level room count
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside the home

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $41 ($487/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (15.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $139k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.7% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Ceasar Cone Elementary (math 13% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,355 of 1,410 statewide, top 96%, 465 students, 99% FRL); Swann Middle School (math 23% / reading 35%, grade F, #350 of 475 statewide, top 74%, 542 students, 99% FRL); Page High (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #334 of 535 statewide, top 64%, 1,744 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 52% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Guilford County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 386 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $165k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $138,770 (15.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.05%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$214,375
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1600 Glenridge Rd 0.13mi 3/1.5 1,256 (+2%) 2mo $185,000 $147 88
1302 Haverhill Dr 0.29mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,215 (-1%) 9mo $215,000 $177 70
2900 Patio Pl 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,198 (-2%) 6mo $95,000 $79 70
1402 Wayside Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,226 (+0%) 4mo $208,000 $170 63
1429 Old Hickory Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,092 (-11%) 1mo $225,000 $206 60
2302 Bywood Rd 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,081 (-12%) 10mo $195,000 $180 60
2019 Phillips Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,096 (-10%) 4mo $160,000 $146 57
1209 Willard St 0.60mi 3/2.5 1,150 (-6%) 9mo $229,900 $200 50
1 Partnership Ct 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,076 (-12%) 9mo $205,000 $191 50
2902 Phillips Ave 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,385 (+13%) 2mo $220,000 $159 44
2619 Phillips Ave 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,063 (-13%) 2mo $90,000 $85 43
1814 Gordon St 0.74mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,374 (+12%) 10mo $240,000 $175 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.83% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.8%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-23,014
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
-3.8%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-11,960
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27405

Home prices YoY
-20.6%
Rents YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
386
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,388 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$122 /mo · $1,460/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$291
Net cashflow
$41

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,336
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $134 -5% $87 +0% $41 +5% $-6 +10% $-53
Rent -10% $-69 -5% $-14 +0% $41 +5% $95 +10% $150
Rate -1.0pp $124 -0.5pp $83 base $41 +0.5pp $-2 +1.0pp $-46

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8 Kings Forest Ct Greensboro, NC 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,650 $1.47 25d 1 0.19mi
1622 Mcpherson St Unit 1912 Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 860 $850 $0.99 25d 1 0.63mi
4302 Belfield Dr Greensboro, NC 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,755 $1.35 25d 1 0.64mi
1608 McPherson St Greensboro, NC 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,450 $1.32 25d 1 0.71mi
1504 Autumn Dr Unit A Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 820 $895 $1.09 25d 1 0.87mi
1603 Autumn Dr Apt A Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 820 $925 $1.13 16d 1 0.89mi
1703 10th St Unit A Greensboro, NC 3.0 1.0 864 $1,075 $1.24 25d 1 0.92mi
4214 Kildare Dr Greensboro, NC 3.0 1.5 1329 $1,450 $1.09 25d 1 0.95mi
810 Elwell Ave Greensboro, NC 3.0 2.0 1280 $1,500 $1.17 16d 1 0.95mi
2811 N Ohenry Blvd Unit D Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 25d 1 1.00mi
703 Sykes Ave Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 923 $1,295 $1.40 25d 1 1.03mi
1508 Tucker St Greensboro, NC 2.0 2.0 875 $1,195 $1.37 25d 1 1.05mi
2829 N Ohenry Blvd Unit D Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 912 $1,250 $1.37 25d 1 1.07mi
2825 N O.Henry Blvd Unit 2825C Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 836 $1,300 $1.56 16d 1 1.07mi
2831 N Ohenry Blvd Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 912 $950 $1.04 16d 1 1.09mi
1604 17th St Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 990 $992 $1.00 25d 7 1.12mi
610 Holt Ave Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 1092 $1,300 $1.19 16d 1 1.13mi
209 Woodnell St Unit H Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 750 $975 $1.30 21d 1 1.14mi
3128 Utah Pl Greensboro, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1076 $1,375 $1.28 25d 6 1.14mi
2509 Pinnix St Unit B Greensboro, NC 3.0 2.0 860 $995 $1.16 25d 1 1.15mi
210 Woodnell St Unit G Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 750 $975 $1.30 25d 1 1.17mi
1604 Textile Dr Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 930 $1,245 $1.34 25d 1 1.19mi
129 Aunt Mary Ave Unit A Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 25d 1 1.20mi
4216 Parker St Unit C Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 800 $825 $1.03 23d 1 1.23mi
1724 Kay St Greensboro, NC 3.0 2.0 1332 $1,600 $1.20 23d 1 1.23mi
3206 Spring St Greensboro, NC 4.0 2.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 23d 1 1.33mi
1608 Kay St Greensboro, NC 3.0 2.0 1184 $1,525 $1.29 25d 1 1.36mi
3102 Summit Ave Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 999 $1,100 $1.10 25d 1 1.39mi
309 Holt Ave Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,175 $1.18 25d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $165,000 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on market $165,000 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $172,000 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $172,000 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $172,000 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $172,000 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $172,000 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $172,000 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    remarks 687-char remark
  13. 2026-06-03
    listed $172,000 Active 12 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,460 · $122/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,460 · $122/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,652
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$1,460
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,332
− Management
−$1,332
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$2,339
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$561
After-tax cash flow
$1,049/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Guilford County Schools
NCES district ID
3701920
Math proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,315
Composite
35.78/100
National rank
#4842
State rank
#99 of 178 in NC

Livability — Greensboro

Score
81/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#1335

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greensboro, NC
County
Guilford County · 487,190 people
City population
329,421
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
Population (ZIP)
54,303
Household income
$47,431
Rent vs Own
51.5% rent · 48.5% own
Severe rent burden
2517.0

Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
584,596 people
By 2030
616,851 · +5.5%
By 2040
678,451 · +16.1%
By 2050
734,788 · +25.7%
By 2075
862,985 · +47.6%
By 2100
948,704 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% White 20% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Ukrainian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Guilford

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -63.02%
Current HPI
243.1261
Rent YoY
▲ 3.83%
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+142.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $172,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $177,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 1995-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,460 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…