3705 Hawthorne Ave · Edinburg, TX
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Cash flow +0.0/30.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$460,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity to purchase a fourplex in a gated community in city of Edinburg. Fourplex features two 2 bedroom units, one 3 bedroom unit, one 1 bedroom unit. Tile flooring. Granite countertops. Fenced patios. All units are individually metered for water and electricity. Close to schools, shopping, restaurants. Minutes from UTRGV
Key facts
- Gated community
- Individually metered
- Fenced patios
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Green energy/efficiency noted as other
- HOA & community: Sprague Village association with annual fee of $625; POA mandatory with $300 transfer fee; Community features include curbs, gated entry, and other amenities; Community contains 4 units
Exterior
- Parking: 8 total parking spaces; 8 covered/carport spaces; Garage faces rear (no garage spaces listed)
- Utilities: City sewer; Public water; 5 separate water meters
- Home design: Outbuilding listed (none specified); Living area per HidalgoCAD; Paved road access
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Composition shingle roof; Building area 3,940
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater; Refrigerator; Electric smooth top range/stove
- Flooring: Tile
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Tile flooring; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a other listed at $460k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-36k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $94k (79.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (78.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $94k (79.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate -1.5% vs local median 2.4% in Edinburg — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#784 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Edinburg CISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #699 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Trevino El (math 36% / reading 49%, grade F, #1,313 of 4,322 statewide, top 31%, 655 students, 48% FRL); Elias Longoria Sr Middle (math 16% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,236 of 1,662 statewide, top 76%, 804 students, 82% FRL); Robert R Vela H S (math 27% / reading 48%, grade F, #888 of 1,632 statewide, top 55%, 2,189 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 411 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.21% ✗
- Cap rate
- -1.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- -27.67%
- DSCR
- -0.23
- GRM
- 39.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -84.9%
- Equity multiple
- -1.10×
- Total profit
- $-270,361
- Equity at exit
- $68,587
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -2.83×
- Total profit
- $-493,836
- Equity at exit
- $39,772
Cash invested: $128,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78539
- Home prices YoY
- -19.6%
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 411
- Price-to-rent
- 39.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $976 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,412
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,085 /mo · $13,016/yr
- Insurance
- −$192
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$52
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $-3,036
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-2,776 | -5% $-2,906 | +0% $-3,036 | +5% $-3,166 | +10% $-3,296 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-3,113 | -5% $-3,075 | +0% $-3,036 | +5% $-2,997 | +10% $-2,959 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-2,804 | -0.5pp $-2,919 | base $-3,036 | +0.5pp $-3,155 | +1.0pp $-3,276 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $115,000
- Closing costs
- $13,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 702 S Logan Dr Unit 3 Edinburg, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 4488 | $950 | $0.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2714 S Ringold Cir Unit 4 Edinburg, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3360 | $850 | $0.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 408 N Emerald Ave Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4200 | $1,250 | $0.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 506 N McColl Rd Edinburg, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3700 | $650 | $0.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 619 La Mancha Dr Unit 1 Edinburg, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3944 | $850 | $0.22 | 16d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 822 N Blair Ave Unit 1 Edinburg, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4084 | $1,075 | $0.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3624 W Sarah Evans St Unit 2 Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4662 | $975 | $0.21 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3816 W Sarah Evans St Unit 1 Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4320 | $1,095 | $0.25 | 16d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 901 N Woodson Ave Unit 3 Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4200 | $1,095 | $0.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1000 N Blair Ave Unit 4 Edinburg, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4020 | $1,075 | $0.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1313 N Sal St Unit 4 Edinburg, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3780 | $825 | $0.22 | 16d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1000 N Woodson Ave Unit 2 Edinburg, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4200 | $995 | $0.24 | 16d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 618 Gastel Cir Unit A,B Edinburg, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4448 | $700 | $0.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 604 Horizon Peak Unit 1 Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4704 | $950 | $0.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1805 Jason Ave Unit 8 Edinburg, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 5160 | $1,150 | $0.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $52 · $624/yr
- Likely covers
- waterelectricsecurity
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $460,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 328-char remark
-
2026-06-18$460,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $13,016 · $1,085/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $13,016 · $1,085/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,713
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,767
- − Property taxes
- −$13,016
- − Insurance
- −$3,098
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$937
- − Management
- −$937
- − HOA
- −$624
- − Depreciation
- −$13,382
- Taxable loss
- −$46,047
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$11,051
- After-tax cash flow
- $-25,380/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edinburg CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818180
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,985
- Composite
- 22.42/100
- National rank
- #8114
- State rank
- #699 of 826 in TX
Livability — Edinburg
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #784
- US rank
- #14319
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Edinburg, TX
- County
- Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
- City population
- 178,279
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,168
- Household income
- $66,967
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1525.0
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 85% Two or more races 45% White 10% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 77% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 32% English-only · Spanish 64% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.52%
- Current HPI
- 211.4723
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.52%
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+29.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $460,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2019-09-16 Delisted — MCALLENMLS
- 2019-07-20 Listed $355,000 MCALLENMLS
Property tax history
+19.8%/yrLatest (2025): $13,016 · +14.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…