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1011 Northway Dr
B Composite 74.61
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$72,000

1011 Northway Dr · St. Albans, WV 25177
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 910 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1954 Est $142k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This cozy 2 bedroom home sits on a nice street in St. Albans, conveniently located near the center of town. This home would make an excellent starter home or rental property with some updates.

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1954
  • Listed 7 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential property; Residence type: Other
  • Construction: Frame and plaster construction
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 50 x 102 x 102

Interior

  • Flooring: Tile; Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Insulated windows; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $348 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 4.9% in St. Albans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Central Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #287 of 377 statewide, top 85%, 333 students, 0% FRL); Hayes Middle School (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #52 of 109 statewide, top 49%, 436 students, 0% FRL); Saint Albans High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #11 of 110 statewide, top 11%, 993 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $498 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $58k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
12.09%
Cash-on-cash
20.70%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$141,960
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
504 Drew St 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (+3%) 10mo $119,900 $128 62
1925 Washington Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 936 (+3%) 14mo $180,000 $192 53
705 Holley St 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 784 (-14%) 8mo $105,000 $134 52
2020 Kanawha Ter 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 951 (+4%) 13mo $158,000 $166 43
2009 Pennsylvania Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,036 (+14%) 2mo $177,000 $171 42
410 Hansford St 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,026 (+13%) 12mo $126,777 $124 36
1915 Wilson Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 798 (-12%) 13mo $70,000 $88 33
1914 Adams Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,026 (+13%) 18mo $160,000 $156 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.0%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$10,472
Equity at exit
$10,735
10-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
2.87×
Total profit
$37,603
Equity at exit
$6,225

Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25177

Home prices YoY
-16.6%
Active inventory
116
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,021 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$378
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $612/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$348

Break-even live

Break-even rent $580
Max offer price $72,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $388 -5% $368 +0% $348 +5% $327 +10% $307
Rent -10% $267 -5% $307 +0% $348 +5% $388 +10% $428
Rate -1.0pp $384 -0.5pp $366 base $348 +0.5pp $329 +1.0pp $310

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,000
Closing costs
$2,160
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $72,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $72,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $72,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $72,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $72,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $72,000 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 192-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    listed $72,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$612 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$612 · $51/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,248
− Mortgage interest
−$4,033
− Property taxes
−$612
− Insurance
−$360
− Repairs & maintenance
−$980
− Management
−$980
− Depreciation
−$2,095
Taxable income
$3,189
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$765
After-tax cash flow
$3,408/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kanawha County Schools
NCES district ID
5400600
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,329
Composite
29.35/100
National rank
#6540
State rank
#17 of 55 in WV

Livability — St. Albans

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Albans, WV
City population
23,211
Population (ZIP)
23,211

Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,946 people
By 2030
172,906 · -3.4%
By 2040
159,874 · -10.7%
By 2050
148,148 · -17.2%
By 2075
123,257 · -31.1%
By 2100
96,454 · -46.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha

2024 margin
R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -36.96%
Current HPI
185.502
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+20.0% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $72,000 KVBOR
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $74,900 KVBOR
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $84,900 KVBOR
  • 2025-11-03 Listed $94,750 KVBOR
  • 2025-07-23 Price Changed $94,750 KVBOR
  • 2025-07-16 Relisted KVBOR
  • 2025-07-07 Pending KVBOR
  • 2025-06-25 Price Changed $104,700 KVBOR
  • 2025-06-11 Price Changed $109,700 KVBOR
  • 2025-05-07 Price Changed $114,700 KVBOR
  • 2025-04-04 Price Changed $124,700 KVBOR
  • 2025-03-16 Listed $129,700 KVBOR
  • 2014-05-02 Sold (MLS) $58,000 KVBOR
  • 2014-01-19 Listed $60,000 KVBOR

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $612 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…