105 Crossways Dr · Leesburg, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -4.9
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
55+ age qualified community. Welcome home to this beautiful 2019 Chariot Eagle Aurora, offering 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,352 sq. ft. of stylish, comfortable living in the highly desirable Mid Florida Lakes community. Designed with both privacy and flow in mind, this home features a split floor plan along with an inviting open-concept layout, perfect for entertaining or simply enjoying everyday living. The spacious living area includes an electric fireplace, adding warmth and charm, and ceiling fans in both the living room and master bedroom for year-round comfort. This home is truly move-in ready, with all appliances included, including a washer and dryer, plus new blinds throughout.
Key facts
- Fitness center
- Resort-style pools
- Split floor plan
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $578 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 4.4% in Leesburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#751 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Treadway Elementary School (math 53% / reading 48%, grade D+, #1,055 of 2,144 statewide, top 50%, 879 students, 66% FRL); Tavares Middle School (math 43% / reading 40%, grade F, #348 of 571 statewide, top 62%, 1,070 students, 58% FRL); Tavares High School (math 32% / reading 40%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 1,507 students, 45% FRL).
- Market conditions: 559 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.57%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $187,000
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -51.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35833 Dawn Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,218 (-10%) | 4mo | $285,000 | $234 | 64 |
| 11748 Ocklawaha Dr | 1.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (+3%) | 5mo | $289,900 | $208 | 56 |
| 12584 Wedgefield Dr | 1.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,264 (-6%) | 4mo | $252,500 | $200 | 51 |
| 304 Brigadoon Cir | 1.12mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,278 (-6%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $137 | 50 |
| 11526 Huggins St | 1.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,238 (-8%) | 2mo | $223,300 | $180 | 49 |
| 35737 Shelley Dr | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,080 (-20%) | 1mo | $209,000 | $194 | 45 |
| 12500 Draw Dr | 1.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,528 (+13%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $180 | 42 |
| 1144 Ben More Dr | 1.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,213 (-10%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $153 | 42 |
| 1 Durness Ct | 1.26mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-11%) | 1mo | $182,000 | $152 | 40 |
| 12401 Blue Heron Way | 1.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,541 (+14%) | 5mo | $420,000 | $273 | 38 |
| 522 Tammi Dr | 1.15mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,078 (-20%) | 1mo | $109,900 | $102 | 34 |
| 691 Cindi Ave | 1.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,144 (-15%) | 5mo | $165,000 | $144 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $22,286
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 29.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.66×
- Total profit
- $66,925
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 31 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 186.0 mo (1%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $93,255 ($67/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 1 d
- This list price
- 35% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +106.0% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34788
- Home prices YoY
- -18.2%
- Active inventory
- 559
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,518 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $578
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $640 | -5% $609 | +0% $578 | +5% $547 | +10% $516 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $458 | -5% $518 | +0% $578 | +5% $638 | +10% $698 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $624 | -0.5pp $601 | base $578 | +0.5pp $555 | +1.0pp $531 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 Crossways Dr Leesburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,950 | $1.62 | 10d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 147 Woodland Dr Leesburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $1,449 | $1.06 | 119d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 115 N Lake Dr Leesburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,799 | $1.23 | 60d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 146 Highland Dr Leesburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $1,799 | $1.31 | 30d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 158 Highland Dr Leesburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1460 | $1,999 | $1.37 | 5d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 35849 Dawn Dr Leesburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1244 | $1,550 | $1.25 | 4d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 35689 Rose Moss Ave Leesburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 100d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 124 Hibiscus Dr Leesburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1356 | $1,899 | $1.40 | 10d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 134 Hibiscus Dr Leesburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1352 | $1,899 | $1.40 | 10d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 12005 Pale Grass Way Unit P7402270 Leesburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1463 | $2,060 | $1.41 | 0d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 35644 Rose Moss Ave Leesburg, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1358 | $1,850 | $1.36 | 10d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 12002 Callicarpa Ln Leesburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,796 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 35901 Joewood Ave Leesburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1483 | $2,100 | $1.42 | 113d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 35229 Orange Grove Ln Leesburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1194 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 119d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 12100 Buttonbush Loop Leesburg, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1854 | $1,919 | $1.04 | 10d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 10602 Burlwood Dr Leesburg, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1848 | $1,826 | $0.99 | 40d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 12449 Blue Heron Way Leesburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1528 | $1,879 | $1.23 | 6d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 35 Aberdeen Cir Leesburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 70d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- List price $95,000
Exterior
- Home design
- Spec new construction, Plan name: Aurora
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features
- Living area of 1,352 (listed)
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $89,900 Active 210 DOM
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2026-09-23days on market $89,900 Active 209 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $89,900 Active 208 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $89,900 Active 207 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $89,900 Active 206 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $89,900 Active 205 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $89,900 Active 204 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $89,900 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $89,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $89,900 Active 201 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $89,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $89,900 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $89,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $89,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $89,900 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $89,900 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $89,900 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $89,900 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $89,900 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $89,900 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $89,900 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $89,900 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $89,900 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $89,900 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $89,900 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $89,900 Active 176 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $89,900 Active 175 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $89,900 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $89,900 Active 173 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $89,900 Active 172 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $89,900 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $89,900 Active 170 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $89,900 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $89,900 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $89,900 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $89,900 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $89,900 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $89,900 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $89,900 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $89,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $89,900 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $89,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $89,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $89,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $89,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $89,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $89,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $89,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $89,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $89,900 Active 147 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,221
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,348
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,458
- − Management
- −$1,458
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $5,857
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,406
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,534/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This 2019 Chariot Eagle Aurora is move-in ready with modern updates and a good condition score, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both trim landscaping — improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake
- NCES district ID
- 1201050
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 42.05/100
- National rank
- #3327
- State rank
- #37 of 73 in FL
Livability — Leesburg
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #751
- US rank
- #16429
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lake County · 386,640 people
- City population
- 70,232
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,137
- Household income
- $54,147
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 386,640 people
- By 2030
- 417,107 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 476,676 · +23.3%
- By 2050
- 531,296 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 648,303 · +67.7%
- By 2100
- 698,530 · +80.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.07%
- Current HPI
- 273.6616
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…