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4 Evergreen St
C+ Composite 63.07
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,999

4 Evergreen St · Bath, NY 14810
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,050 sqft · Manufactured · 44 Days on market
Built 1974 Good condition $29/sqft · 43% above area Est $21k · 43% over ↓ 29% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to easy, affordable living in a peaceful community surrounded by green space and scenic hill views. This 2 bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home offers comfort, convenience and value. Step inside to updated flooring and fresh paint, newer mechanicals including furnace and hot water heater giving you added peace of mind. Enjoy your morning coffee on the covered porch. Outside a 10x10 shed provides space for storage for tools, seasonal items or hobbies.

Key facts

  • Green space
  • Covered porch
  • Fresh paint

Tags

GREEN SPACESCENIC HILL VIEWSUPDATED FLOORINGFRESH PAINTNEWER MECHANICALSCOVERED PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Land lease: $538

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Public water available; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-story; Single-wide mobile home (Holiday Cottage model); Resale
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt, membrane, and rubber roofing
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Deck; Patio; Rectangular lot; Road frontage on a main thoroughfare

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Free-standing range; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heating; Hot water heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Separate/formal dining room; Bedroom on main level
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $563 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($975 rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.8% vs local median 3.6% in Bath — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#533 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Bath Central School District (town): math 38% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #522 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 196 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Steuben County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $29,099 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.25%
Cap rate
28.81%
Cash-on-cash
80.42%
DSCR
4.58
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$20,933
List price
$29,999
Delta
43.31%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7103 E Washington Street Ext #53 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,051 (+0%) 8mo $17,000 $16 56
13 Dogwood 0.04mi 2/1.0 900 (-14%) 23mo $28,500 $32 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
80.6%
Equity multiple
4.69×
Total profit
$31,007
Equity at exit
$4,473
10-year hold
IRR
84.0%
Equity multiple
9.72×
Total profit
$73,227
Equity at exit
$2,594

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14810

Home prices YoY
-18.8%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$975 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax est. 1.5%
$37 /mo · $450/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$205
Net cashflow
$563

Break-even live

Break-even rent $262
Max offer price $29,999
Occupancy floor 37%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
32 W William St #201 Bath, NY 2.0 1.0 1100 $975 $0.89 43d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $29,999 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $29,999 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $29,999 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    price $29,999 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $42,000 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $42,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $42,000 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $42,000 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $42,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $42,000 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $42,000 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $42,000 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $42,000 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $42,000 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $42,000 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-05-05
    listed $42,000 Active 459-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,700
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$450
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$936
− Management
−$936
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$6,675
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,602
After-tax cash flow
$5,153/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a good return on investment with updates that can significantly increase its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bath Central School District
NCES district ID
3604050
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 8.00%
Median HH income
$38,973
Composite
34.25/100
National rank
#5254
State rank
#522 of 590 in NY

Livability — Bath

Score
68/100
State rank
#533
US rank
#9644

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bath, NY
Population (ZIP)
11,412

Population outlook (Steuben County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
93,062 people
By 2030
89,793 · -3.5%
By 2040
82,353 · -11.5%
By 2050
74,286 · -20.2%
By 2075
55,589 · -40.3%
By 2100
37,587 · -59.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Black 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Steuben

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.8) · D 34.1% · R 65.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.8 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+36.2 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.58%
Current HPI
193.0727
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-28.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $29,999 UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $42,000 UNYREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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