61 Auburn Ave · North Gates, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Pack you bags and move right in. This home has been totally renovated to include 4 bedrooms, brand new kitchen and bathroom, new windows, new doors, new flooring throughout, freshly painted, new paved driveway, high efficiency furnace and water heater, fully fenced in yard and attached garage. Delayed negotiations until 10/9 at 5:00pm.
Key facts
- Flexible layout
- Great outdoor area
- Fully fenced yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $234 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $162k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.8% in North Gates — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#245 in NY, #3,859 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Gates-Chili Central School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #491 of 590 in NY (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $105k; list at $165k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.09%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $193,101
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 Auburn Ave | 0.00mi | 4/1.0 | 1,011 (0%) | 1mo | $183,500 | $182 | 100 |
| 160 Jordan Ave | 0.14mi | 4/1.0 | 1,048 (+4%) | 5mo | $89,900 | $86 | 83 |
| 213 Auburn Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 985 (-3%) | 10mo | $187,000 | $190 | 73 |
| 69 Youngs Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,036 (+2%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $106 | 64 |
| 84 Kentucky Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,078 (+7%) | 4mo | $218,000 | $202 | 58 |
| 209 Rossmore St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-1%) | 12mo | $235,000 | $235 | 54 |
| 22 Morningstar Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,092 (+8%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $215 | 52 |
| 920 Trolley Blvd | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,138 (+13%) | 13mo | $235,000 | $207 | 48 |
| 67 Koladyne Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,092 (+8%) | 12mo | $209,000 | $191 | 48 |
| 117 Youngs Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,065 (+5%) | 9mo | $191,500 | $180 | 47 |
| 195 Norwood Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (+3%) | 14mo | $265,000 | $255 | 45 |
| 124 Youngs Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,092 (+8%) | 15mo | $170,000 | $156 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-5,313
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $43,007
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14606
- Home prices YoY
- -17.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,873 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$312 /mo · $3,744/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$393
- Net cashflow
- $234
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 155 Canal Landing Blvd Rochester, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1174 | $2,050 | $1.75 | 3d | 5 | 0.29mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-04-12status Pending
-
2026-03-23$164,900 Active
-
2021-01-26soldstatus $105,000
-
2021-01-25soldstatus $100,000 Closed Sale or Rented 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Pack you bags and move right in. This home has been totally renovated to include 4 bedrooms, brand new kitchen and bathroom, new windows, new doors, new flooring throughout, freshly painted, new paved driveway, high efficiency furnace and water heater, fully fenced in yard and attached garage. Delayed negotiations until 10/9 at 5:00pm.
-
2020-11-27status Under Contract- Do Not Show 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Pack you bags and move right in. This home has been totally renovated to include 4 bedrooms, brand new kitchen and bathroom, new windows, new doors, new flooring throughout, freshly painted, new paved driveway, high efficiency furnace and water heater, fully fenced in yard and attached garage. Delayed negotiations until 10/9 at 5:00pm.
-
2020-10-31status Active 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Pack you bags and move right in. This home has been totally renovated to include 4 bedrooms, brand new kitchen and bathroom, new windows, new doors, new flooring throughout, freshly painted, new paved driveway, high efficiency furnace and water heater, fully fenced in yard and attached garage. Delayed negotiations until 10/9 at 5:00pm.
-
2020-10-30historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Pack you bags and move right in. This home has been totally renovated to include 4 bedrooms, brand new kitchen and bathroom, new windows, new doors, new flooring throughout, freshly painted, new paved driveway, high efficiency furnace and water heater, fully fenced in yard and attached garage. Delayed negotiations until 10/9 at 5:00pm.
-
2020-10-19status Active 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Pack you bags and move right in. This home has been totally renovated to include 4 bedrooms, brand new kitchen and bathroom, new windows, new doors, new flooring throughout, freshly painted, new paved driveway, high efficiency furnace and water heater, fully fenced in yard and attached garage. Delayed negotiations until 10/9 at 5:00pm.
-
2020-10-16historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Pack you bags and move right in. This home has been totally renovated to include 4 bedrooms, brand new kitchen and bathroom, new windows, new doors, new flooring throughout, freshly painted, new paved driveway, high efficiency furnace and water heater, fully fenced in yard and attached garage. Delayed negotiations until 10/9 at 5:00pm.
-
2020-10-15status Active 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Pack you bags and move right in. This home has been totally renovated to include 4 bedrooms, brand new kitchen and bathroom, new windows, new doors, new flooring throughout, freshly painted, new paved driveway, high efficiency furnace and water heater, fully fenced in yard and attached garage. Delayed negotiations until 10/9 at 5:00pm.
-
2020-10-10status Under Contract- Do Not Show 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Pack you bags and move right in. This home has been totally renovated to include 4 bedrooms, brand new kitchen and bathroom, new windows, new doors, new flooring throughout, freshly painted, new paved driveway, high efficiency furnace and water heater, fully fenced in yard and attached garage. Delayed negotiations until 10/9 at 5:00pm.
-
2020-10-07$115,000 Active 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Pack you bags and move right in. This home has been totally renovated to include 4 bedrooms, brand new kitchen and bathroom, new windows, new doors, new flooring throughout, freshly painted, new paved driveway, high efficiency furnace and water heater, fully fenced in yard and attached garage. Delayed negotiations until 10/9 at 5:00pm.
-
1996-04-17soldstatus $57,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,744 · $312/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,744 · $312/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,479
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$3,744
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,798
- − Management
- −$1,798
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable income
- $280
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$67
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,746/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gates-Chili Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3611880
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,045
- Composite
- 36.23/100
- National rank
- #4719
- State rank
- #491 of 590 in NY
Livability — North Gates
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #245
- US rank
- #3859
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Gates, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 27,478
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,538
- Household income
- $55,807
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 986.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.59%
- Current HPI
- 287.6868
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.28%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+189.3% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-12 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-03-23 Listed $164,900 UNYREIS
- 2021-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2021-01-25 Sold (MLS) $100,000 UNYREIS
- 2020-11-27 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2020-10-31 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2020-10-30 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2020-10-19 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2020-10-16 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2020-10-15 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2020-10-10 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2020-10-07 Listed $115,000 UNYREIS
- 1996-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,744 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…