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🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 18.94
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Cash flow +0.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$7,000

300 Spyglass Hill Way Unit 64 T Wk 33 · Columbia Falls, MT 59912
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,030 sqft · Townhouse · 1288 Days on market
Built 2000 $284/mo HOA · 16% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool
  • Built 2000

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential timeshare; Subdivision: Meadow Lake; Directions: Highway 2 to Meadow Lake Boulevard, right at stop into Meadow Lake Resort
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association; Quarterly HOA fee of $851.75 (about $283.92/month); HOA includes cable TV and internet; Community amenities: fitness center, indoor pool, pool, sauna, spa/hot tub

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Carport
  • Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available
  • Home design: Townhouse; New construction; Has view
  • Construction: Wood siding and Masonite exterior; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; On golf course; Private road frontage; Private maintained road; Asphalt road surface

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Not specified
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Window treatments; Fireplace; Basement with crawl space and concrete construction
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $7,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $704,410.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $7k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4k ($-45k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $7k).
  • Recommended offer: $6k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate -0.1% vs local median 1.4% in Columbia Falls — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#96 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, schools B; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Columbia Falls H S (town): math 25% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #198 of 339 in MT (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 281 units permitted in Flathead County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Flathead County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 1288 days — a 12% lower offer ($6k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 150.9% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $6,160 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 1288 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.25%
Cap rate
-0.12%
Cash-on-cash
-22.90%
DSCR
-0.02
GRM
33.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$704,410
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
850 Saint Andrews Dr #1421 0.26mi 3/2.5 1,841 (-9%) 13mo $635,000 $345 59
850 Saint Andrews Dr #1411 0.26mi 3/2.5 1,844 (-9%) 15mo $640,000 $347 58
161 Oakmont Loop 0.48mi 3/3.0 1,864 (-8%) 10mo $639,000 $343 55
157 Oakmont Loop 0.48mi 3/3.0 1,864 (-8%) 12mo $649,000 $348 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-65.9%
Equity multiple
-0.79×
Total profit
$-353,618
Equity at exit
$105,030
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
-2.12×
Total profit
$-615,726
Equity at exit
$60,905

Cash invested: $197,235 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Montana
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; no rent control; preempted; rural-skewed market.

ZIP-level market 59912

Active inventory
170
Price-to-rent
0.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,758 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,694
Tax est. 1.5%
$881 /mo · $10,566/yr
Insurance
$294
HOA
$284
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$369
Net cashflow
$-3,763

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,522
Max offer price $159,883
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$176,102
Closing costs
$21,132
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$284 · $3,408/yr

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $7,000 Active 1288 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $7,000 Active 1287 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $7,000 Active 1286 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $7,000 Active 1285 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $7,000 Active 1284 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $7,000 Active 1282 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $7,000 Active 1281 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $7,000 Active 1279 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $7,000 Active 1278 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $7,000 Active 1277 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $7,000 Active 1276 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $7,000 Active 1273 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $7,000 Active 1272 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $7,000 Active 1271 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $7,000 Active 1270 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $7,000 Active 1269 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $7,000 Active 1268 DOM
  18. 2025-10-11
    status Active
  19. 2021-10-19
    listed $7,000 Active
  20. 2014-11-05
    listed $23,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥91°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 18 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,097
− Mortgage interest
−$39,458
− Property taxes
−$10,566
− Insurance
−$3,522
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,688
− Management
−$1,688
− HOA
−$3,408
− Depreciation
−$20,492
Taxable loss
−$59,724
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$14,334
After-tax cash flow
$-30,823/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Columbia Falls H S
NCES district ID
3007140
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$44,266
Composite
30.43/100
National rank
#11516
State rank
#198 of 339 in MT

Livability — Columbia Falls

Score
68/100
State rank
#96
US rank
#9792

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Flathead County · 94,027 people
City population
15,752
Metro
Kalispell, MT
Population (ZIP)
15,752
Household income
$76,617
Rent vs Own
28.0% rent · 72.0% own
Severe rent burden
242.0

Population outlook (Flathead County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
108,002 people
By 2030
113,362 · +5.0%
By 2040
122,245 · +13.2%
By 2050
129,517 · +19.9%
By 2075
146,737 · +35.9%
By 2100
155,045 · +43.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 7% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Flathead

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.8) · D 31.8% · R 65.5% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: -21.6pp · 2024: -33.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.8 2020: R+29.9 2016: R+36.5 2012: R+33.4 2008: R+21.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -219.09%
Current HPI
252.1381
Rent YoY
Metro
Kalispell, MT
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.41%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-69.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-11 Relisted MRMLS
  • 2021-10-19 Listed $7,000 MRMLS
  • 2014-11-05 Listed $23,000 MRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…