751 Buckeye St · Chillicothe, OH
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$67,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WRIGHT GUARDIANSHIP AUCTION - Thurs. , May 21st 11 AM - $67,000 Min. Bid! - Open House: Mon. , May 11th 4-5 PM - 1 1/2 Story Home & Detached Garage - 6 Rooms - 2 Bedrooms - Full Bathroom - Basement - Terms: $7,500 down at time of sale cash or check with positive photo ID, Balance & Possession at closing on/before June 21, 2026, No buyer's contingencies exist, Sold in As-Is condition with no warranties or guarantees, Real Estate taxes pro-rated to date of closing. RCPC2025CA15.
Key facts
- 5,680 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Listed 31 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $67k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $432 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $67k).
- Recommended offer: $65k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 4.3% in Chillicothe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#909 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime D-, amenities F.
- Chillicothe City (town): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #535 of 656 in OH (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 179 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Ross County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $463 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ross County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.61%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $196,359
- List price
- $67,000
- Delta
- -65.88%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 700 Orange St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+1%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $229 | 86 |
| 833 W Fairview St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 996 (-8%) | 3mo | $171,500 | $172 | 72 |
| 726 Beechwood St | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,197 (+11%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $134 | 70 |
| 597 Laurel St | 0.37mi | 2/1.5 | 1,032 (-4%) | 5mo | $185,000 | $179 | 69 |
| 625 Oneida Rd | 0.48mi | 2/1.5 | 1,110 (+3%) | 7mo | $170,500 | $154 | 65 |
| 525 Laurel St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,044 (-3%) | 0mo | $230,000 | $220 | 64 |
| 354 Fairway Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,147 (+6%) | 4mo | $260,000 | $227 | 60 |
| 631 Cherokee Rd | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,170 (+8%) | 4mo | $241,500 | $206 | 59 |
| 677 Adena Rd | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-11%) | 3mo | $189,500 | $197 | 58 |
| 565 Allen Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.5 | 990 (-8%) | 7mo | $225,000 | $227 | 57 |
| 14996 Pleasant Valley Rd Lot 53 | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+4%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $76 | 54 |
| 14996 Pleasant Valley Road Rd Lot 70 | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,023 (-5%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $59 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $16,705
- Equity at exit
- $9,990
- IRR
- 29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.68×
- Total profit
- $50,232
- Equity at exit
- $5,793
Cash invested: $18,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45601
- Active inventory
- 179
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,238 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$351
- Tax from tax record
- −$167 /mo · $2,008/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $432
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $470 | -5% $451 | +0% $432 | +5% $413 | +10% $394 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $334 | -5% $383 | +0% $432 | +5% $481 | +10% $529 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $465 | -0.5pp $449 | base $432 | +0.5pp $414 | +1.0pp $397 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,750
- Closing costs
- $2,010
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-04-21$67,000 Active 493-char remark
Show marketing remark (493 chars)
WRIGHT GUARDIANSHIP AUCTION - Thurs. , May 21st 11 AM - $67,000 Min. Bid! - Open House: Mon. , May 11th 4-5 PM - 1 1/2 Story Home & Detached Garage - 6 Rooms - 2 Bedrooms - Full Bathroom - Basement - Terms: $7,500 down at time of sale cash or check with positive photo ID, Balance & Possession at closing on/before June 21, 2026, No buyer's contingencies exist, Sold in As-Is condition with no warranties or guarantees, Real Estate taxes pro-rated to date of closing. RCPC2025CA15.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,008 · $167/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,008 · $167/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,859
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,753
- − Property taxes
- −$2,008
- − Insurance
- −$335
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,189
- − Management
- −$1,189
- − Depreciation
- −$1,949
- Taxable income
- $4,437
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,065
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,115/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chillicothe City
- NCES district ID
- 3904374
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,990
- Composite
- 34.55/100
- National rank
- #5174
- State rank
- #535 of 656 in OH
Livability — Chillicothe
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #909
- US rank
- #17195
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chillicothe, OH
- County
- Ross · 75,517 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,453
- Household income
- $57,430
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10.6
Population outlook (Ross County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 75,482 people
- By 2030
- 74,035 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 70,702 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 66,706 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 55,398 · -26.6%
- By 2100
- 42,197 · -44.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 7% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ross
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.3) · D 29.9% · R 69.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.1pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -39.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.3 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+2.4 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -231.40%
- Current HPI
- 205.7051
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listed $67,000 SVAR
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,008 · +28.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…