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21 Gordon Ave Triplex
C Composite 59.92
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.6/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$700,000

21 Gordon Ave · Shelton, CT 06484
6 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,274 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1917 10,018 sqft lot $308/sqft · 40% above area Est $501k · 40% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Builders And Investors Take Note! Income Producing 3 Famil Y In Desirable Location Off Route 110 (River Rd). Large Level Yard W/Detached 2 Car Garage. House Needs Work. Ready For Quick Sale.

Key facts

  • Newer roof
  • 0.23 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

DETACHED TWO CAR GARAGESEPARATE 60 AMP ELECT SERVICEEXTERIOR RECENTLY PAINTEDSTAIRCASES RECENTLY PAINTEDNEWER ROOFTHIRD FLOOR UNIT REMODELED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Three total residential units

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Driveway parking; Total of 4 parking spaces; 2-car garage capacity
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Septic sewer; Propane fuel with above-ground tank; Electric hot water
  • Home design: Multi-family property (3-family); Frame construction; Grey exterior
  • Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Aluminum and stucco siding; Block and concrete foundation
  • Exterior features: Porch; Level lot; Paved driveway

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (propane fuel); 30-gallon electric hot water tank
  • Interior features: 14 total rooms; Partial, unfinished basement with concrete floor and hatchway access; Attic with hatch access
  • Laundry & utility: Basement laundry hook-ups; Second unit with in-unit laundry hook-up

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $700k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($28k/yr) — positive. Per door: $767/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $700k).
  • Recommended offer: $679k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.1% in Shelton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#36 in CT, #2,479 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Shelton School District (suburban): math 46% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #64 of 153 in CT (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Sunnyside School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #213 of 553 statewide, top 41%, 236 students, 49% FRL); Shelton High School (math 46% / reading 69%, grade C, #51 of 194 statewide, top 26%, 1,270 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 15% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 143 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $8,331/mo this rent would consume 92% of the median local household income ($108k/yr) (locally 874% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $196k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($679k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $138k; list at $700k implies a 409% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 41% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $679,000 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
10.24%
Cash-on-cash
14.10%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$501,071
List price
$700,000
Delta
39.70%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
72 Victory St 0.50mi 7/3.0 (+1) 2,404 (+6%) 13mo $425,000 $177 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$28,395
Equity at exit
$104,372
10-year hold
IRR
12.8%
Equity multiple
1.99×
Total profit
$194,042
Equity at exit
$60,523

Cash invested: $196,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06484

Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
21.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$8,331 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,671
Tax from tax record
$317 /mo · $3,801/yr
Insurance
$292
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,750
Net cashflow
$2,302

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,417
Max offer price $700,000
Occupancy floor 67%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $8,331

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$175,000
Closing costs
$21,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
832 Quarter Mile Rd Orange, CT 5.0 3.5 2148 $5,000 $2.33 10d 1 0.59mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $700,000 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $700,000 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $700,000 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $700,000 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $700,000 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $700,000 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $700,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $700,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $700,000 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $700,000 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $700,000 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $700,000 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $700,000 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-05-07
    listed $700,000 Active 532-char remark
  15. 2010-11-19
    soldstatus $137,500 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Builders And Investors Take Note! Income Producing 3 Famil Y In Desirable Location Off Route 110 (River Rd). Large Level Yard W/Detached 2 Car Garage. House Needs Work. Ready For Quick Sale.

  16. 2010-10-06
    listed $169,900 190-char remark
    Show marketing remark (190 chars)

    Builders And Investors Take Note! Income Producing 3 Famil Y In Desirable Location Off Route 110 (River Rd). Large Level Yard W/Detached 2 Car Garage. House Needs Work. Ready For Quick Sale.

  17. 1998-05-18
    soldstatus $350,000
  18. 1996-07-24
    soldstatus $108,000
  19. 1996-02-25
    listed $124,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,801 · $317/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,390 · $783/mo
Expected delta
+$5,590/yr (+$466/mo · 147.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 41% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$99,972
− Mortgage interest
−$39,211
− Property taxes
−$3,801
− Insurance
−$3,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$7,998
− Management
−$7,998
− Depreciation
−$20,364
Taxable income
$17,101
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,104
After-tax cash flow
$23,522/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shelton School District
NCES district ID
0904050
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$84,866
Composite
49.37/100
National rank
#2016
State rank
#64 of 153 in CT

Livability — Shelton

Score
78/100
State rank
#36
US rank
#2479

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shelton, CT
County
Fairfield County · 765,532 people
City population
41,889
Metro
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
Population (ZIP)
41,889
Household income
$108,185
Rent vs Own
23.5% rent · 76.5% own
Severe rent burden
874.0

Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
496,846

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 9% Two or more races 8% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Russian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, China
Languages at home
78% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
All cycles
2024: R+7.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -376.90%
Current HPI
247.639
Rent YoY
▲ 2.45%
Metro
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+460.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $700,000 Smart MLS
  • 2010-11-19 Sold (MLS) $137,500 Smart MLS
  • 2010-10-06 Listed $169,900 Smart MLS
  • 1998-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $350,000 Public Records
  • 1996-07-24 Sold (MLS) $108,000 Smart MLS
  • 1996-02-25 Listed $124,900 Smart MLS

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2023): $3,801 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…