10 Church St · Tresckow, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath gem. Filled with charm & warmth, this home offers a comfortable layout with inviting living spaces & plenty of natural light throughout. Step outside and enjoy a nice-sized yard perfect for relaxing or entertaining, all while being just minutes from local shops, restaurants, & parks.
Key facts
- Natural light
- Nice-sized yard
- 0.27 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $401 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,016 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Hazleton Area SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #476 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.31%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $160,521
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -25.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 150 Hill St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+6%) | 4mo | $219,000 | $183 | 65 |
| 315 Corr Ct | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 1,194 (+5%) | 19mo | $62,000 | $52 | 63 |
| 23 Market St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-3%) | 7mo | $210,000 | $191 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $6,072
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $38,143
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18201
- Home prices YoY
- -14.9%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,509 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$112 /mo · $1,345/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$317
- Net cashflow
- $401
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $469 | -5% $435 | +0% $401 | +5% $367 | +10% $333 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $281 | -5% $341 | +0% $401 | +5% $460 | +10% $520 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $461 | -0.5pp $431 | base $401 | +0.5pp $370 | +1.0pp $338 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 345-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Welcome home to this cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath gem. Filled with charm & warmth, this home offers a comfortable layout with inviting living spaces & plenty of natural light throughout. Step outside and enjoy a nice-sized yard perfect for relaxing or entertaining, all while being just minutes from local shops, restaurants, & parks.
-
2026-03-23$120,000 Active 345-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Welcome home to this cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bath gem. Filled with charm & warmth, this home offers a comfortable layout with inviting living spaces & plenty of natural light throughout. Step outside and enjoy a nice-sized yard perfect for relaxing or entertaining, all while being just minutes from local shops, restaurants, & parks.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,345 · $112/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,621 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- +$275/yr (+$23/mo · 20.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,107
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,345
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,449
- − Management
- −$1,449
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $3,052
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$732
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,075/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hazleton Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211700
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,247
- Composite
- 20.44/100
- National rank
- #8582
- State rank
- #476 of 539 in PA
Livability — Tresckow
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #1016
- US rank
- #11219
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 783
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,428
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 60% White 36% Two or more races 18% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 41%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 43% English-only · Spanish 54% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.00%
- Current HPI
- 354.7443
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-03-23 Listed $120,000 LCAR
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2026): $1,345 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…