503 Market St · Pocomoke City, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
4 BEDROOMS AND 2 BATHS. THE HOME HAS ALL OF THE ORIGINAL UNPAINTED WOOD TRIM AND INTERIOR DOORS. ALL OF THE ORIGINAL CHARM. WALK UP STAIRS TO ATTIC. PARTIAL BASEMENT ( DO NOT ENTER). EXTERIOR IS VINYL SIDING. THE DRIVEWAY IS SHARED WITH PLENTY OF PARKING IN THE LARGE BACK YARD. THE DETACHED GARAGE HAS A COMMON WALL WITH ONE SIDE INCLUDED WITH THIS HOME. YOU AND YOUR AGENT MUST SIGN THE---- RELEASE AND HOLD HARMLESS AGREENENT---- BEFORE ENTERING THE PROPERTY. THERE APPEARS TO BE A STRUCTURAL ISSUE WIT A PORTION OF THE FIRST FLOOR. MOST OF THE PERSONAL PROPERTY IS INCLUDED WITH THE HOME.
Key facts
- Large back yard
- Vinyl siding
- Detached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ground rent paid annually
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 space); Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached structure; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Built year per assessor
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Above-grade and below-grade other structures
Interior
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Radiator heating
- Interior features: Partial basement; Two or more access exits
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $799 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 5.6% in Pocomoke City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#157 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Worcester County Public Schools (town): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #6 of 24 in MD (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 354 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Worcester County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.29%
- DSCR
- 2.79
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $255,360
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 618 Walnut St | 0.20mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,952 (+2%) | 5mo | $260,000 | $133 | 71 |
| 615 Walnut St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,862 (-3%) | 10mo | $205,000 | $110 | 70 |
| 604 Market St | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 | 2,144 (+12%) | 11mo | $250,000 | $117 | 63 |
| 610 Clarke Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,799 (-6%) | 5mo | $127,000 | $71 | 61 |
| 907 2nd | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 | 1,848 (-4%) | 13mo | $211,500 | $114 | 53 |
| 604 Clarke Ave | 0.35mi | 4/3.5 | 2,100 (+9%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $117 | 53 |
| 8 2nd St | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,108 (+10%) | 8mo | $299,500 | $142 | 53 |
| 324 Winter Quarters Dr | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 | 1,890 (-2%) | 12mo | $287,000 | $152 | 52 |
| 18 Greenway Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,783 (-7%) | 4mo | $290,000 | $163 | 50 |
| 1005 Market St | 0.49mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 1,893 (-1%) | 12mo | $321,000 | $170 | 50 |
| 909 Market St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,176 (+13%) | 10mo | $270,000 | $124 | 41 |
| 308 Winter Quarters Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,632 (-15%) | 14mo | $280,900 | $172 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $37,236
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 43.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.14×
- Total profit
- $98,433
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21851
- Home prices YoY
- -4.0%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,936 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$249 /mo · $2,993/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$407
- Net cashflow
- $799
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 621 Cedar St Pocomoke City, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1352 | $2,195 | $1.62 | 13d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 242 Morgans Ct Pocomoke City, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1304 | $1,795 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 241 Morgans Ct Pocomoke City, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1304 | $1,795 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 202 Carsons Ct Pocomoke City, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,695 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1513 Princess Anne Ln Pocomoke City, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1542 | $1,950 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2005 S Old Mill Dr Pocomoke City, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1373 | $1,895 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2007 S Old Mill Dr Pocomoke City, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $1,895 | $1.46 | 13d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $85,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 593-char remark
-
2026-06-13$85,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,993 · $249/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,993 · $249/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,235
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$2,993
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,859
- − Management
- −$1,859
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $8,865
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,128
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,461/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Worcester County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400720
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -20.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,748
- Composite
- 32.6/100
- National rank
- #5672
- State rank
- #6 of 24 in MD
Livability — Pocomoke City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #157
- US rank
- #7066
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pocomoke City, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,252
Population outlook (Worcester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 51,363 people
- By 2030
- 51,191 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 50,459 · -1.8%
- By 2050
- 49,451 · -3.7%
- By 2075
- 48,533 · -5.5%
- By 2100
- 44,223 · -13.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 37% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scandinavian 2% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Mexico
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Worcester
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.0) · D 38.0% · R 60.0% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: -15.5pp · 2024: -22.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+27.9 2012: R+18.3 2008: R+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -10.03%
- Current HPI
- 243.2329
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,993 · +16.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…