1410 W Flamingo Ave #91 · Nampa, ID
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $584 – $1,086
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$67,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 Free Months of Rent, for New Buyer! Well-located, affordable 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom manufactured home in a land-lease community, Unit #91. This 800 sq ft home features a practical layout, a storage shed in the rear, and a newly installed water heater. Enjoy close proximity to downtown Nampa with quick and easy freeway access. Sold as-is, bring your vision and make it your own.
Key facts
- Storage shed
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1966
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Two covered carport spaces (2-car carport)
- Utilities: City water service; Sewer connected
- Home design: Mobile/manufactured home on a rented lot; Built in 1966
- Construction: Built in 1966
- Exterior features: Partial fencing (metal and wood); Dog run; Garden; Irrigation available with sprinkler system; Located on a cul-de-sac; Paved road access; Currently located in a mobile home park
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms, all on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $760 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $60k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.7% vs local median 3.2% in Nampa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#47 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Vallivue School District (rural): math 34% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #48 of 92 in ID (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: East Canyon Elementary School (math 34% / reading 44%, grade F, #247 of 357 statewide, top 70%, 692 students, 33% FRL); Ridgevue High School (math 27% / reading 67%, grade D-, #55 of 169 statewide, top 34%, 1,578 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools average 32% FRL vs 52% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,620 units permitted in Canyon County in 2024 (196 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $469 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Canyon County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.94%
- DSCR
- 3.13
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $56,088
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1320 W Flamingo #23 | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (+6%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $82 | 78 |
| 1410 W Flamingo #21 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 732 (+7%) | 12mo | $54,900 | $75 | 78 |
| 1410 W Flamingo #129 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (+6%) | 16mo | $68,000 | $93 | 76 |
| 1410 W Flamingo Ave Trlr 12 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+12%) | 15mo | $49,990 | $65 | 67 |
| 571 Caldwell Blvd #17 | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-2%) | 9mo | $40,000 | $60 | 60 |
| 1401 N Midland Blvd #26 | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (+6%) | 16mo | $65,000 | $89 | 58 |
| 816 N Midland Blvd #2 #2 | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (+6%) | 7mo | $79,999 | $110 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.24×
- Total profit
- $42,561
- Equity at exit
- $10,124
- IRR
- 55.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.43×
- Total profit
- $122,206
- Equity at exit
- $5,871
Cash invested: $19,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Idaho
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 83651
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,469 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$356
- Tax from tax record
- −$16 /mo · $196/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $760
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $798 | -5% $779 | +0% $760 | +5% $740 | +10% $721 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $643 | -5% $701 | +0% $760 | +5% $818 | +10% $876 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $794 | -0.5pp $777 | base $760 | +0.5pp $742 | +1.0pp $724 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,975
- Closing costs
- $2,037
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1275 Caldwell Blvd Nampa, ID | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 921 | $1,625 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1011 W Willow Ave Nampa, ID | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,100 | $1.69 | 4d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 9848 W Sand Hill Dr Nampa, ID | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1008 | $1,488 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2410 W Vanderbilt Ln Nampa, ID | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1029 | $1,955 | $1.90 | 3d | 30 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $67,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $67,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $67,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $67,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $67,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $67,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $67,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $67,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $67,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $67,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $67,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $67,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $67,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $67,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-04-07price $67,900
-
2026-02-03historical
-
2026-01-29$68,000 Active
-
2025-12-02price $77,000
-
2025-06-22$78,000 Active
-
2025-06-01historical
-
2025-03-25$78,000 Active
-
2025-03-14historical
-
2025-01-08$78,000 Active
-
2024-10-28historical
-
2024-08-12$72,000 Active
-
2024-07-31historical
-
2024-05-28price $72,000
-
2024-05-08$75,000 Active
-
2023-12-19soldstatus Sold
-
2023-11-22status Pending
-
2023-11-14price $91,000
-
2023-09-07price $96,000
-
2023-06-13$99,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ID · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $196 · $16/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $469 · $39/mo
- Expected delta
- +$273/yr (+$23/mo · 139.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,623
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,803
- − Property taxes
- −$196
- − Insurance
- −$340
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,410
- − Management
- −$1,410
- − Depreciation
- −$1,975
- Taxable income
- $8,489
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,037
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,077/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vallivue School District
- NCES district ID
- 1600600
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,377
- Composite
- 38.3/100
- National rank
- #4229
- State rank
- #48 of 92 in ID
Livability — Nampa
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #6250
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Nampa, ID
- County
- Canyon County · 235,358 people
- City population
- 142,249
- Metro
- Boise City, ID
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,121
- Household income
- $69,914
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 723.0
Population outlook (Canyon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 269,596 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 311,081 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 350,809 · +41.0%
- By 2075
- 441,884 · +77.6%
- By 2100
- 505,641 · +103.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 16% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Canyon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.6) · D 25.4% · R 72.0% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: -35.2pp · 2024: -46.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.6 2020: R+39.7 2016: R+41.8 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+35.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -132.40%
- Current HPI
- 335.6717
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.41%
- Metro
- Boise City, ID
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $79B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $6B |
|
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Price history
-31.4% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $67,900 IMLS
- 2026-02-03 Listing Removed — IMLS
- 2026-01-29 Listed $68,000 IMLS
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $77,000 IMLS
- 2025-06-22 Listed $78,000 IMLS
- 2025-06-01 Listing Removed — IMLS
- 2025-03-25 Listed $78,000 IMLS
- 2025-03-14 Listing Removed — IMLS
- 2025-01-08 Listed $78,000 IMLS
- 2024-10-28 Listing Removed — IMLS
- 2024-08-12 Listed $72,000 IMLS
- 2024-07-31 Listing Removed — IMLS
- 2024-05-28 Price Changed $72,000 IMLS
- 2024-05-08 Listed $75,000 IMLS
- 2023-12-19 Sold (MLS) — IMLS
- 2023-11-22 Pending — IMLS
- 2023-11-14 Price Changed $91,000 IMLS
- 2023-09-07 Price Changed $96,000 IMLS
- 2023-06-13 Listed $99,000 IMLS
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $196 · +31.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…