8718 Pattibob St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +9.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.2/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$144,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come see this completely renovated 3 bed 2 bath open-concept home with new AC, new furnace, new laminate and carpet flooring, all-new kitchen, new pex water lines, new attic insulation with radiant barrier, SS appliances, fresh paint, new tile w/ granite countertops in the bathrooms and new quartz countertops in the kitchen, large back room for entertaining with plumbing connection for the option to add additional bathroom or even a bar! In addition the house has a 12x12 storage shed, NEVER FLOODED and NO HOA!! This home is not in a flood zone.
Key facts
- Cozy den
- Spacious gameroom
- Fully fenced lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-167 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $137k (5.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $137k (5.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.1% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Pleasantville El (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #4,021 of 4,322 statewide, top 94%, 233 students, 97% FRL); Holland Middle (math 10% / reading 16%, grade F, #1,609 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 644 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 154 active listings in the ZIP; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.7% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.98%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $144,088
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8718 Pattibob St | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,573 (0%) | 1mo | $144,900 | $56 | 94 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $68,574
- Equity at exit
- $130,537
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.20×
- Total profit
- $210,920
- Equity at exit
- $281,509
Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77029
- Home prices YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 154
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,634 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$571 /mo · $6,857/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$343
- Net cashflow
- $-167
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $323 | -5% $-126 | +0% $-167 | +5% $-208 | +10% $-249 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-296 | -5% $-232 | +0% $-167 | +5% $-103 | +10% $-38 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-94 | -0.5pp $-130 | base $-167 | +0.5pp $-205 | +1.0pp $-243 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,225
- Closing costs
- $4,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 47 events
-
2026-04-10status Pending
-
2026-04-01status Pending
-
2026-03-23$144,900 Active
-
2026-03-16historical
-
2026-02-06price $154,900
-
2026-01-27$164,900 Active
-
2022-03-29soldstatus
-
2022-03-28soldstatus Sold 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Come see this completely renovated 3 bed 2 bath open-concept home with new AC, new furnace, new laminate and carpet flooring, all-new kitchen, new pex water lines, new attic insulation with radiant barrier, SS appliances, fresh paint, new tile w/ granite countertops in the bathrooms and new quartz countertops in the kitchen, large back room for entertaining with plumbing connection for the option to add additional bathroom or even a bar! In addition the house has a 12x12 storage shed, NEVER FLOODED and NO HOA!! This home is not in a flood zone.
-
2022-03-15status Pending 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Come see this completely renovated 3 bed 2 bath open-concept home with new AC, new furnace, new laminate and carpet flooring, all-new kitchen, new pex water lines, new attic insulation with radiant barrier, SS appliances, fresh paint, new tile w/ granite countertops in the bathrooms and new quartz countertops in the kitchen, large back room for entertaining with plumbing connection for the option to add additional bathroom or even a bar! In addition the house has a 12x12 storage shed, NEVER FLOODED and NO HOA!! This home is not in a flood zone.
-
2022-01-24status Pending, Continue to Show 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Come see this completely renovated 3 bed 2 bath open-concept home with new AC, new furnace, new laminate and carpet flooring, all-new kitchen, new pex water lines, new attic insulation with radiant barrier, SS appliances, fresh paint, new tile w/ granite countertops in the bathrooms and new quartz countertops in the kitchen, large back room for entertaining with plumbing connection for the option to add additional bathroom or even a bar! In addition the house has a 12x12 storage shed, NEVER FLOODED and NO HOA!! This home is not in a flood zone.
-
2021-12-30price $185,000 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Come see this completely renovated 3 bed 2 bath open-concept home with new AC, new furnace, new laminate and carpet flooring, all-new kitchen, new pex water lines, new attic insulation with radiant barrier, SS appliances, fresh paint, new tile w/ granite countertops in the bathrooms and new quartz countertops in the kitchen, large back room for entertaining with plumbing connection for the option to add additional bathroom or even a bar! In addition the house has a 12x12 storage shed, NEVER FLOODED and NO HOA!! This home is not in a flood zone.
-
2021-12-29$179,900 Active 551-char remark
Show marketing remark (551 chars)
Come see this completely renovated 3 bed 2 bath open-concept home with new AC, new furnace, new laminate and carpet flooring, all-new kitchen, new pex water lines, new attic insulation with radiant barrier, SS appliances, fresh paint, new tile w/ granite countertops in the bathrooms and new quartz countertops in the kitchen, large back room for entertaining with plumbing connection for the option to add additional bathroom or even a bar! In addition the house has a 12x12 storage shed, NEVER FLOODED and NO HOA!! This home is not in a flood zone.
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2021-12-20status Option Pending
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2021-12-19historical
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2021-12-15price $179,990
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2021-11-24status Active
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2021-11-22status Pending, Continue to Show
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2021-11-18status Active
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2021-11-15historical
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2021-11-11price $184,990
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2021-10-31status Active
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2021-10-27historical
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2021-10-15price $189,990
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2021-10-06price $194,990
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2021-09-21status Active
-
2021-09-17status Option Pending
-
2021-09-09status Active
-
2021-09-08historical
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2021-09-08$199,990 Active
-
2021-07-14soldstatus
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2021-07-13soldstatus
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2021-07-09soldstatus Sold
-
2021-06-29status Pending, Continue to Show
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2021-06-18status Active
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2021-05-21status Pending
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2021-05-11price $159,000
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2021-05-11price $149,000
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2021-04-17price $169,900
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2021-04-14price $159,900
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2021-04-02price $179,000
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2021-04-01status Active
-
2021-03-12status Pending, Continue to Show
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2021-03-05$189,900 Active
-
2009-10-29soldstatus
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2009-10-13historical
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2009-06-29$24,900
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,857 · $571/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,857 · $571/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,609
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,117
- − Property taxes
- −$6,857
- − Insurance
- −$1,522
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,569
- − Management
- −$1,569
- − Depreciation
- −$4,215
- Taxable loss
- −$4,239
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,017
- After-tax cash flow
- $-989/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,154
- Household income
- $48,279
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 457.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 32% Black 22% White 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 66%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 39% English-only · Spanish 61%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 18.53%
- Current HPI
- 276.1811
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+481.9% since first listed47 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-04-01 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-03-23 Listed $144,900 HARMLS
- 2026-03-16 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $154,900 HARMLS
- 2026-01-27 Listed $164,900 HARMLS
- 2022-03-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-03-28 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2022-03-15 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-01-24 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-12-30 Price Changed $185,000 HARMLS
- 2021-12-29 Listed $179,900 HARMLS
- 2021-12-20 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-12-19 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2021-12-15 Price Changed $179,990 HARMLS
- 2021-11-24 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2021-11-22 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-11-18 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2021-11-15 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2021-11-11 Price Changed $184,990 HARMLS
- 2021-10-31 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2021-10-27 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2021-10-15 Price Changed $189,990 HARMLS
- 2021-10-06 Price Changed $194,990 HARMLS
- 2021-09-21 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2021-09-17 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-09-09 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2021-09-08 Listed $199,990 HARMLS
- 2021-09-08 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2021-07-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-07-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-07-09 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2021-06-29 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-06-18 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2021-05-21 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-05-11 Price Changed $159,000 HARMLS
- 2021-05-11 Price Changed $149,000 HARMLS
- 2021-04-17 Price Changed $169,900 HARMLS
- 2021-04-14 Price Changed $159,900 HARMLS
- 2021-04-02 Price Changed $179,000 HARMLS
- 2021-04-01 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2021-03-12 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-03-05 Listed $189,900 HARMLS
- 2009-10-29 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2009-10-13 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2009-06-29 Listed $24,900 HARMLS
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $6,857 · +15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…