607 W Third St · Belle, MO
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
** MOTIVATED SELLER ** BRING US A SERIOUS OFFER ** PRICED SO YOU CAN BRING THIS BEAUTY BACK TO LIFE. ORIGINALLY BUILT IN 1930 SITS ON 75' x 150' CORNER LOT, APPROX. 1,120 SQ. FT., USED AS 3BR, LARGEST BR UPSTAIRS WOULD BE IDEAL FOR MASTER & WALK IN CLOSET, ALONG WITH LIVING ROOM AND DINING ROOM, ALL HAVE WOOD FLOORS. 1 BA AND EAT IN KITCHEN HAVE FLOOR TILE. WASHER/DRYER HOOK UPS ARE LOCATED IN THE ENCLOSED BACK PORCH. LOTS OF ORIGINAL WOODWORK STILL PRESENT. 2 F/A HEATING UNITS (10 & 10+ yrs old) WINDOW A/C UNIT, ROOF APPROX. 5 YRS. OLD, LARGE COVERED FRONT PORCH, SINGLE DETACHED GARAGE AND 2-CAR CARPORT ALONG WITH STORAGE SHED COMPLETE THIS PROPERTY.
Key facts
- Wood flooring
- Improved plumbing
- Clawfoot tub
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity (includes 220 volts); Propane; Electricity, sewer, and water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Two levels
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Front porch; Corner lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms total; 1 bedroom on the main level; 1 bedroom on the upper level
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 full bathroom on the main level; 1 full bathroom on the upper level
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling; Wall/window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#617 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Maries County R-II (rural): math 29% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #242 of 324 in MO (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Belle Elem. (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #347 of 1,115 statewide, top 35%, 275 students, 98% FRL); Belle High (math 5% / reading 52%, grade F, #409 of 521 statewide, top 79%, 245 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 51% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
- Maries County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.36%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $104,484
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -13.86%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 406 S Apple Ave | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,306 (-3%) | 6mo | $144,900 | $111 | 76 |
| 510 Linn Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,380 (+3%) | 2mo | $212,000 | $154 | 72 |
| 505 W Fourth St | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,408 (+5%) | 13mo | $214,900 | $153 | 69 |
| 402 S Tellman Ave | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 1,200 (-11%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $67 | 65 |
| 407 S Lindner Ln | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,204 (-10%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $104 | 65 |
| 702 Tellman | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,293 (-4%) | 5mo | $173,000 | $134 | 65 |
| 616 S Taylor Ave | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,314 (-2%) | 16mo | $99,900 | $76 | 64 |
| 109 Linn St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 1,475 (+10%) | 1mo | $163,000 | $111 | 62 |
| 305 S Oak Ave | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,524 (+14%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $95 | 58 |
| 410 S Tellman | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,450 (+8%) | 16mo | $230,000 | $159 | 56 |
| 707 S Tellman Ave S | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,141 (-15%) | 6mo | $152,000 | $133 | 44 |
| 203 N Belle Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.5 | 1,500 (+12%) | 23mo | $165,000 | $110 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.1% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $32,453
- Equity at exit
- $51,543
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.50×
- Total profit
- $88,247
- Equity at exit
- $89,408
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65013
- Home prices YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,010 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $176
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
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2026-06-19days on market $90,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $90,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $90,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $90,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-05-01$90,000 Active 1243-char remark
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2024-12-09historical
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2024-10-20price $75,000
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2024-09-22$85,000 Active
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2018-02-08soldstatus Closed
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
** MOTIVATED SELLER ** BRING US A SERIOUS OFFER ** PRICED SO YOU CAN BRING THIS BEAUTY BACK TO LIFE. ORIGINALLY BUILT IN 1930 SITS ON 75' x 150' CORNER LOT, APPROX. 1,120 SQ. FT., USED AS 3BR, LARGEST BR UPSTAIRS WOULD BE IDEAL FOR MASTER & WALK IN CLOSET, ALONG WITH LIVING ROOM AND DINING ROOM, ALL HAVE WOOD FLOORS. 1 BA AND EAT IN KITCHEN HAVE FLOOR TILE. WASHER/DRYER HOOK UPS ARE LOCATED IN THE ENCLOSED BACK PORCH. LOTS OF ORIGINAL WOODWORK STILL PRESENT. 2 F/A HEATING UNITS (10 & 10+ yrs old) WINDOW A/C UNIT, ROOF APPROX. 5 YRS. OLD, LARGE COVERED FRONT PORCH, SINGLE DETACHED GARAGE AND 2-CAR CARPORT ALONG WITH STORAGE SHED COMPLETE THIS PROPERTY.
-
2018-01-16historical Contingent (No Kickout)
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
** MOTIVATED SELLER ** BRING US A SERIOUS OFFER ** PRICED SO YOU CAN BRING THIS BEAUTY BACK TO LIFE. ORIGINALLY BUILT IN 1930 SITS ON 75' x 150' CORNER LOT, APPROX. 1,120 SQ. FT., USED AS 3BR, LARGEST BR UPSTAIRS WOULD BE IDEAL FOR MASTER & WALK IN CLOSET, ALONG WITH LIVING ROOM AND DINING ROOM, ALL HAVE WOOD FLOORS. 1 BA AND EAT IN KITCHEN HAVE FLOOR TILE. WASHER/DRYER HOOK UPS ARE LOCATED IN THE ENCLOSED BACK PORCH. LOTS OF ORIGINAL WOODWORK STILL PRESENT. 2 F/A HEATING UNITS (10 & 10+ yrs old) WINDOW A/C UNIT, ROOF APPROX. 5 YRS. OLD, LARGE COVERED FRONT PORCH, SINGLE DETACHED GARAGE AND 2-CAR CARPORT ALONG WITH STORAGE SHED COMPLETE THIS PROPERTY.
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2018-01-10price $19,900
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
** MOTIVATED SELLER ** BRING US A SERIOUS OFFER ** PRICED SO YOU CAN BRING THIS BEAUTY BACK TO LIFE. ORIGINALLY BUILT IN 1930 SITS ON 75' x 150' CORNER LOT, APPROX. 1,120 SQ. FT., USED AS 3BR, LARGEST BR UPSTAIRS WOULD BE IDEAL FOR MASTER & WALK IN CLOSET, ALONG WITH LIVING ROOM AND DINING ROOM, ALL HAVE WOOD FLOORS. 1 BA AND EAT IN KITCHEN HAVE FLOOR TILE. WASHER/DRYER HOOK UPS ARE LOCATED IN THE ENCLOSED BACK PORCH. LOTS OF ORIGINAL WOODWORK STILL PRESENT. 2 F/A HEATING UNITS (10 & 10+ yrs old) WINDOW A/C UNIT, ROOF APPROX. 5 YRS. OLD, LARGE COVERED FRONT PORCH, SINGLE DETACHED GARAGE AND 2-CAR CARPORT ALONG WITH STORAGE SHED COMPLETE THIS PROPERTY.
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2017-05-30status Active
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
** MOTIVATED SELLER ** BRING US A SERIOUS OFFER ** PRICED SO YOU CAN BRING THIS BEAUTY BACK TO LIFE. ORIGINALLY BUILT IN 1930 SITS ON 75' x 150' CORNER LOT, APPROX. 1,120 SQ. FT., USED AS 3BR, LARGEST BR UPSTAIRS WOULD BE IDEAL FOR MASTER & WALK IN CLOSET, ALONG WITH LIVING ROOM AND DINING ROOM, ALL HAVE WOOD FLOORS. 1 BA AND EAT IN KITCHEN HAVE FLOOR TILE. WASHER/DRYER HOOK UPS ARE LOCATED IN THE ENCLOSED BACK PORCH. LOTS OF ORIGINAL WOODWORK STILL PRESENT. 2 F/A HEATING UNITS (10 & 10+ yrs old) WINDOW A/C UNIT, ROOF APPROX. 5 YRS. OLD, LARGE COVERED FRONT PORCH, SINGLE DETACHED GARAGE AND 2-CAR CARPORT ALONG WITH STORAGE SHED COMPLETE THIS PROPERTY.
-
2017-05-12historical Contingent (No Kickout)
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
** MOTIVATED SELLER ** BRING US A SERIOUS OFFER ** PRICED SO YOU CAN BRING THIS BEAUTY BACK TO LIFE. ORIGINALLY BUILT IN 1930 SITS ON 75' x 150' CORNER LOT, APPROX. 1,120 SQ. FT., USED AS 3BR, LARGEST BR UPSTAIRS WOULD BE IDEAL FOR MASTER & WALK IN CLOSET, ALONG WITH LIVING ROOM AND DINING ROOM, ALL HAVE WOOD FLOORS. 1 BA AND EAT IN KITCHEN HAVE FLOOR TILE. WASHER/DRYER HOOK UPS ARE LOCATED IN THE ENCLOSED BACK PORCH. LOTS OF ORIGINAL WOODWORK STILL PRESENT. 2 F/A HEATING UNITS (10 & 10+ yrs old) WINDOW A/C UNIT, ROOF APPROX. 5 YRS. OLD, LARGE COVERED FRONT PORCH, SINGLE DETACHED GARAGE AND 2-CAR CARPORT ALONG WITH STORAGE SHED COMPLETE THIS PROPERTY.
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2017-04-10$39,000 Active
Show marketing remark (668 chars)
** MOTIVATED SELLER ** BRING US A SERIOUS OFFER ** PRICED SO YOU CAN BRING THIS BEAUTY BACK TO LIFE. ORIGINALLY BUILT IN 1930 SITS ON 75' x 150' CORNER LOT, APPROX. 1,120 SQ. FT., USED AS 3BR, LARGEST BR UPSTAIRS WOULD BE IDEAL FOR MASTER & WALK IN CLOSET, ALONG WITH LIVING ROOM AND DINING ROOM, ALL HAVE WOOD FLOORS. 1 BA AND EAT IN KITCHEN HAVE FLOOR TILE. WASHER/DRYER HOOK UPS ARE LOCATED IN THE ENCLOSED BACK PORCH. LOTS OF ORIGINAL WOODWORK STILL PRESENT. 2 F/A HEATING UNITS (10 & 10+ yrs old) WINDOW A/C UNIT, ROOF APPROX. 5 YRS. OLD, LARGE COVERED FRONT PORCH, SINGLE DETACHED GARAGE AND 2-CAR CARPORT ALONG WITH STORAGE SHED COMPLETE THIS PROPERTY.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,115
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$969
- − Management
- −$969
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $717
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$172
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,935/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Maries County R-II
- NCES district ID
- 2900001
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,578
- Composite
- 27.91/100
- National rank
- #6867
- State rank
- #242 of 324 in MO
Livability — Belle
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #617
- US rank
- #21398
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belle, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,973
Population outlook (Maries County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,458 people
- By 2030
- 8,165 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 7,523 · -11.1%
- By 2050
- 6,884 · -18.6%
- By 2075
- 5,825 · -31.1%
- By 2100
- 5,245 · -38.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maries
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.5) · D 15.8% · R 83.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.0pp toward R · 2008: -27.6pp · 2024: -67.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.5 2020: R+64.5 2016: R+61.5 2012: R+41.1 2008: R+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.10%
- Current HPI
- 192.1481
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+130.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $90,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-09 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-20 Price Changed $75,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-22 Listed $85,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-02-08 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-01-16 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-01-10 Price Changed $19,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-30 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-12 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-10 Listed $39,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…