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200 Hill Top Rd
D Composite 42.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +5.2/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

200 Hill Top Rd · Glen Rose, TX 76043
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 186 Days on market
Built 1963 0.48 ac lot $202/sqft · 13% above area Est $148k · 5% over ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Situated on a gorgeous .48-acre lot in a convenient Glen Rose location, this property offers space, flexibility, and the charm of country living just minutes from town amenities. The 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is complemented by three separate carports, providing ample covered parking for vehicles, trailers, or equipment. Multiple outbuildings and storage sheds add exceptional functionality... ideal for hobbies, tools, or small-scale projects. Outdoors, the expansive lot offers room to garden, entertain, or enjoy a more self-sufficient lifestyle. A chicken coop is already in place, and the property also includes a homing pigeon aviary. Chickens and pigeons can be included or removed at buyer’s request, allowing flexibility based on buyer preference. With mature trees, open usable space, and a peaceful setting, this property is well-suited for those seeking room to spread out while remaining close to Glen Rose schools, dining, and attractions. Just 11 minutes from Comanche Peak Power Plant, and 25 minutes from Granbury. A rare opportunity to own a versatile homesite with land, storage, and a prime small-town Texas location.

Key facts

  • Expansive lot
  • Storage sheds
  • Homing pigeon aviary

Tags

AMPLE COVERED PARKINGMULTIPLE OUTBUILDINGSSTORAGE SHEDSEXPANSIVE LOTCHICKEN COOPHOMING PIGEON AVIARY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $52 ($628/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (9.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.9% in Glen Rose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#231 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Glen Rose ISD (rural): math 51% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #126 of 826 in TX (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Glen Rose El (476 students, 52% FRL); Glen Rose J H School (math 44% / reading 49%, grade D+, #443 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 463 students, 41% FRL); Glen Rose H S (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B-, #237 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 587 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 43 units permitted in Somervell County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Somervell County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 186 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 186 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.70%
Cash-on-cash
1.45%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$147,542
List price
$155,000
Delta
5.05%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
203 Vine St 0.29mi 2/1.0 720 (-6%) 22mo $130,000 $181 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.0%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-21,776
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-14,631
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76043

Home prices YoY
-24.2%
Active inventory
150
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$176 /mo · $2,115/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$52

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,334
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $140 -5% $96 +0% $52 +5% $8 +10% $-35
Rent -10% $-58 -5% $-3 +0% $52 +5% $108 +10% $163
Rate -1.0pp $130 -0.5pp $92 base $52 +0.5pp $12 +1.0pp $-29

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
607 Bryan St Glen Rose, TX 2.0 1.0 939 $1,400 $1.49 21d 1 0.82mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $155,000 Active 186 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $155,000 Active 185 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $155,000 Active 183 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $155,000 Active 182 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    price $155,000 Active 181 DOM
  6. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 181 DOM
  7. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 180 DOM
  8. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 179 DOM
  9. 2026-06-14
    days on market $160,000 Active 177 DOM
  10. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 176 DOM
  11. 2026-06-10
    days on market $160,000 Active 174 DOM
  12. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 173 DOM
  13. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 172 DOM
  14. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 171 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $160,000 Active 167 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 166 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 165 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 164 DOM
  19. 2026-05-30
    days on market $160,000 Active 163 DOM
  20. 2026-05-05
    price $175,000 1142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1142 chars)

    Situated on a gorgeous .48-acre lot in a convenient Glen Rose location, this property offers space, flexibility, and the charm of country living just minutes from town amenities. The 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is complemented by three separate carports, providing ample covered parking for vehicles, trailers, or equipment. Multiple outbuildings and storage sheds add exceptional functionality... ideal for hobbies, tools, or small-scale projects. Outdoors, the expansive lot offers room to garden, entertain, or enjoy a more self-sufficient lifestyle. A chicken coop is already in place, and the property also includes a homing pigeon aviary. Chickens and pigeons can be included or removed at buyer’s request, allowing flexibility based on buyer preference. With mature trees, open usable space, and a peaceful setting, this property is well-suited for those seeking room to spread out while remaining close to Glen Rose schools, dining, and attractions. Just 11 minutes from Comanche Peak Power Plant, and 25 minutes from Granbury. A rare opportunity to own a versatile homesite with land, storage, and a prime small-town Texas location.

  21. 2026-04-14
    price $191,000 1142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1142 chars)

    Situated on a gorgeous .48-acre lot in a convenient Glen Rose location, this property offers space, flexibility, and the charm of country living just minutes from town amenities. The 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is complemented by three separate carports, providing ample covered parking for vehicles, trailers, or equipment. Multiple outbuildings and storage sheds add exceptional functionality... ideal for hobbies, tools, or small-scale projects. Outdoors, the expansive lot offers room to garden, entertain, or enjoy a more self-sufficient lifestyle. A chicken coop is already in place, and the property also includes a homing pigeon aviary. Chickens and pigeons can be included or removed at buyer’s request, allowing flexibility based on buyer preference. With mature trees, open usable space, and a peaceful setting, this property is well-suited for those seeking room to spread out while remaining close to Glen Rose schools, dining, and attractions. Just 11 minutes from Comanche Peak Power Plant, and 25 minutes from Granbury. A rare opportunity to own a versatile homesite with land, storage, and a prime small-town Texas location.

  22. 2026-03-12
    price $199,000 1142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1142 chars)

    Situated on a gorgeous .48-acre lot in a convenient Glen Rose location, this property offers space, flexibility, and the charm of country living just minutes from town amenities. The 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is complemented by three separate carports, providing ample covered parking for vehicles, trailers, or equipment. Multiple outbuildings and storage sheds add exceptional functionality... ideal for hobbies, tools, or small-scale projects. Outdoors, the expansive lot offers room to garden, entertain, or enjoy a more self-sufficient lifestyle. A chicken coop is already in place, and the property also includes a homing pigeon aviary. Chickens and pigeons can be included or removed at buyer’s request, allowing flexibility based on buyer preference. With mature trees, open usable space, and a peaceful setting, this property is well-suited for those seeking room to spread out while remaining close to Glen Rose schools, dining, and attractions. Just 11 minutes from Comanche Peak Power Plant, and 25 minutes from Granbury. A rare opportunity to own a versatile homesite with land, storage, and a prime small-town Texas location.

  23. 2026-01-23
    status Active 1142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1142 chars)

    Situated on a gorgeous .48-acre lot in a convenient Glen Rose location, this property offers space, flexibility, and the charm of country living just minutes from town amenities. The 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is complemented by three separate carports, providing ample covered parking for vehicles, trailers, or equipment. Multiple outbuildings and storage sheds add exceptional functionality... ideal for hobbies, tools, or small-scale projects. Outdoors, the expansive lot offers room to garden, entertain, or enjoy a more self-sufficient lifestyle. A chicken coop is already in place, and the property also includes a homing pigeon aviary. Chickens and pigeons can be included or removed at buyer’s request, allowing flexibility based on buyer preference. With mature trees, open usable space, and a peaceful setting, this property is well-suited for those seeking room to spread out while remaining close to Glen Rose schools, dining, and attractions. Just 11 minutes from Comanche Peak Power Plant, and 25 minutes from Granbury. A rare opportunity to own a versatile homesite with land, storage, and a prime small-town Texas location.

  24. 2025-12-12
    listed $220,000 Active 1142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1142 chars)

    Situated on a gorgeous .48-acre lot in a convenient Glen Rose location, this property offers space, flexibility, and the charm of country living just minutes from town amenities. The 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is complemented by three separate carports, providing ample covered parking for vehicles, trailers, or equipment. Multiple outbuildings and storage sheds add exceptional functionality... ideal for hobbies, tools, or small-scale projects. Outdoors, the expansive lot offers room to garden, entertain, or enjoy a more self-sufficient lifestyle. A chicken coop is already in place, and the property also includes a homing pigeon aviary. Chickens and pigeons can be included or removed at buyer’s request, allowing flexibility based on buyer preference. With mature trees, open usable space, and a peaceful setting, this property is well-suited for those seeking room to spread out while remaining close to Glen Rose schools, dining, and attractions. Just 11 minutes from Comanche Peak Power Plant, and 25 minutes from Granbury. A rare opportunity to own a versatile homesite with land, storage, and a prime small-town Texas location.

  25. 1996-04-23
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,115 · $176/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,836 · $236/mo
Expected delta
+$721/yr (+$60/mo · 34.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,800
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$2,115
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,344
− Management
−$1,344
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable loss
−$1,970
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$473
After-tax cash flow
$1,100/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Glen Rose ISD
NCES district ID
4820850
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$51,084
Composite
45.78/100
National rank
#2565
State rank
#126 of 826 in TX

Livability — Glen Rose

Score
73/100
State rank
#231
US rank
#5572

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Glen Rose, TX
Population (ZIP)
7,286

Population outlook (Somervell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
9,445 people
By 2030
9,716 · +2.9%
By 2040
10,069 · +6.6%
By 2050
10,145 · +7.4%
By 2075
10,111 · +7.1%
By 2100
9,202 · -2.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 13% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 19%

Political lean MEDSL · Somervell

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.8) · D 14.2% · R 85.0%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -53.1pp · 2024: -70.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.8 2020: R+67.5 2016: R+68.8 2012: R+64.1 2008: R+53.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.10%
Current HPI
203.3924
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $175,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $191,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $199,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-23 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2025-12-12 Listed $220,000 NTREIS
  • 1996-04-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,115 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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