200 Hill Top Rd · Glen Rose, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +5.2/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Situated on a gorgeous .48-acre lot in a convenient Glen Rose location, this property offers space, flexibility, and the charm of country living just minutes from town amenities. The 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is complemented by three separate carports, providing ample covered parking for vehicles, trailers, or equipment. Multiple outbuildings and storage sheds add exceptional functionality... ideal for hobbies, tools, or small-scale projects. Outdoors, the expansive lot offers room to garden, entertain, or enjoy a more self-sufficient lifestyle. A chicken coop is already in place, and the property also includes a homing pigeon aviary. Chickens and pigeons can be included or removed at buyer’s request, allowing flexibility based on buyer preference. With mature trees, open usable space, and a peaceful setting, this property is well-suited for those seeking room to spread out while remaining close to Glen Rose schools, dining, and attractions. Just 11 minutes from Comanche Peak Power Plant, and 25 minutes from Granbury. A rare opportunity to own a versatile homesite with land, storage, and a prime small-town Texas location.
Key facts
- Expansive lot
- Storage sheds
- Homing pigeon aviary
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $52 ($628/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (9.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.9% in Glen Rose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#231 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Glen Rose ISD (rural): math 51% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #126 of 826 in TX (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Glen Rose El (476 students, 52% FRL); Glen Rose J H School (math 44% / reading 49%, grade D+, #443 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 463 students, 41% FRL); Glen Rose H S (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B-, #237 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 587 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 43 units permitted in Somervell County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Somervell County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 186 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 186 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.45%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $147,542
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- 5.05%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 Vine St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-6%) | 22mo | $130,000 | $181 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-21,776
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-14,631
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76043
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$176 /mo · $2,115/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $52
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $140 | -5% $96 | +0% $52 | +5% $8 | +10% $-35 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-58 | -5% $-3 | +0% $52 | +5% $108 | +10% $163 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $130 | -0.5pp $92 | base $52 | +0.5pp $12 | +1.0pp $-29 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 607 Bryan St Glen Rose, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 939 | $1,400 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $155,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $155,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $155,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $155,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $160,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $160,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $160,000 Active 163 DOM
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2026-05-05price $175,000 1142-char remark
Show marketing remark (1142 chars)
Situated on a gorgeous .48-acre lot in a convenient Glen Rose location, this property offers space, flexibility, and the charm of country living just minutes from town amenities. The 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is complemented by three separate carports, providing ample covered parking for vehicles, trailers, or equipment. Multiple outbuildings and storage sheds add exceptional functionality... ideal for hobbies, tools, or small-scale projects. Outdoors, the expansive lot offers room to garden, entertain, or enjoy a more self-sufficient lifestyle. A chicken coop is already in place, and the property also includes a homing pigeon aviary. Chickens and pigeons can be included or removed at buyer’s request, allowing flexibility based on buyer preference. With mature trees, open usable space, and a peaceful setting, this property is well-suited for those seeking room to spread out while remaining close to Glen Rose schools, dining, and attractions. Just 11 minutes from Comanche Peak Power Plant, and 25 minutes from Granbury. A rare opportunity to own a versatile homesite with land, storage, and a prime small-town Texas location.
-
2026-04-14price $191,000 1142-char remark
Show marketing remark (1142 chars)
Situated on a gorgeous .48-acre lot in a convenient Glen Rose location, this property offers space, flexibility, and the charm of country living just minutes from town amenities. The 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is complemented by three separate carports, providing ample covered parking for vehicles, trailers, or equipment. Multiple outbuildings and storage sheds add exceptional functionality... ideal for hobbies, tools, or small-scale projects. Outdoors, the expansive lot offers room to garden, entertain, or enjoy a more self-sufficient lifestyle. A chicken coop is already in place, and the property also includes a homing pigeon aviary. Chickens and pigeons can be included or removed at buyer’s request, allowing flexibility based on buyer preference. With mature trees, open usable space, and a peaceful setting, this property is well-suited for those seeking room to spread out while remaining close to Glen Rose schools, dining, and attractions. Just 11 minutes from Comanche Peak Power Plant, and 25 minutes from Granbury. A rare opportunity to own a versatile homesite with land, storage, and a prime small-town Texas location.
-
2026-03-12price $199,000 1142-char remark
Show marketing remark (1142 chars)
Situated on a gorgeous .48-acre lot in a convenient Glen Rose location, this property offers space, flexibility, and the charm of country living just minutes from town amenities. The 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is complemented by three separate carports, providing ample covered parking for vehicles, trailers, or equipment. Multiple outbuildings and storage sheds add exceptional functionality... ideal for hobbies, tools, or small-scale projects. Outdoors, the expansive lot offers room to garden, entertain, or enjoy a more self-sufficient lifestyle. A chicken coop is already in place, and the property also includes a homing pigeon aviary. Chickens and pigeons can be included or removed at buyer’s request, allowing flexibility based on buyer preference. With mature trees, open usable space, and a peaceful setting, this property is well-suited for those seeking room to spread out while remaining close to Glen Rose schools, dining, and attractions. Just 11 minutes from Comanche Peak Power Plant, and 25 minutes from Granbury. A rare opportunity to own a versatile homesite with land, storage, and a prime small-town Texas location.
-
2026-01-23status Active 1142-char remark
Show marketing remark (1142 chars)
Situated on a gorgeous .48-acre lot in a convenient Glen Rose location, this property offers space, flexibility, and the charm of country living just minutes from town amenities. The 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is complemented by three separate carports, providing ample covered parking for vehicles, trailers, or equipment. Multiple outbuildings and storage sheds add exceptional functionality... ideal for hobbies, tools, or small-scale projects. Outdoors, the expansive lot offers room to garden, entertain, or enjoy a more self-sufficient lifestyle. A chicken coop is already in place, and the property also includes a homing pigeon aviary. Chickens and pigeons can be included or removed at buyer’s request, allowing flexibility based on buyer preference. With mature trees, open usable space, and a peaceful setting, this property is well-suited for those seeking room to spread out while remaining close to Glen Rose schools, dining, and attractions. Just 11 minutes from Comanche Peak Power Plant, and 25 minutes from Granbury. A rare opportunity to own a versatile homesite with land, storage, and a prime small-town Texas location.
-
2025-12-12$220,000 Active 1142-char remark
Show marketing remark (1142 chars)
Situated on a gorgeous .48-acre lot in a convenient Glen Rose location, this property offers space, flexibility, and the charm of country living just minutes from town amenities. The 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is complemented by three separate carports, providing ample covered parking for vehicles, trailers, or equipment. Multiple outbuildings and storage sheds add exceptional functionality... ideal for hobbies, tools, or small-scale projects. Outdoors, the expansive lot offers room to garden, entertain, or enjoy a more self-sufficient lifestyle. A chicken coop is already in place, and the property also includes a homing pigeon aviary. Chickens and pigeons can be included or removed at buyer’s request, allowing flexibility based on buyer preference. With mature trees, open usable space, and a peaceful setting, this property is well-suited for those seeking room to spread out while remaining close to Glen Rose schools, dining, and attractions. Just 11 minutes from Comanche Peak Power Plant, and 25 minutes from Granbury. A rare opportunity to own a versatile homesite with land, storage, and a prime small-town Texas location.
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1996-04-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,115 · $176/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,836 · $236/mo
- Expected delta
- +$721/yr (+$60/mo · 34.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$2,115
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,344
- − Management
- −$1,344
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$1,970
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$473
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,100/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Glen Rose ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4820850
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,084
- Composite
- 45.78/100
- National rank
- #2565
- State rank
- #126 of 826 in TX
Livability — Glen Rose
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #231
- US rank
- #5572
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Glen Rose, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,286
Population outlook (Somervell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,445 people
- By 2030
- 9,716 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 10,069 · +6.6%
- By 2050
- 10,145 · +7.4%
- By 2075
- 10,111 · +7.1%
- By 2100
- 9,202 · -2.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 13% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 19%
Political lean MEDSL · Somervell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.8) · D 14.2% · R 85.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -53.1pp · 2024: -70.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.8 2020: R+67.5 2016: R+68.8 2012: R+64.1 2008: R+53.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.10%
- Current HPI
- 203.3924
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-20.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $175,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $191,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $199,000 NTREIS
- 2026-01-23 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-12-12 Listed $220,000 NTREIS
- 1996-04-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,115 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…