722 Homedale St · Saginaw, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.9/30.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2-bedroom brick ranch in a peaceful Carleton neighborhood. This home boasts 1.5 baths, a fully updated kitchen with new stove and microwave, a full basement, and two cozy fireplaces. Recent upgrades include a new metal roof on the garage and a stylish step-in shower. A perfect blend of comfort and convenience—ready for you to make it yours!"
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1952
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Detached assigned garage (1.5 garage spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Above-grade finished living area and additional below-grade finished area
- Exterior features: Deck; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Oven; Range
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Microwave; Oven; Range; Fireplace in living room and basement; Partially finished basement with block foundation and sump pump
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $92 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (17.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $115k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Carrollton Public Schools (suburban): math 9% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #485 of 540 in MI (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Carrollton Elementary School (math 8% / reading 19%, grade F, #1,200 of 1,397 statewide, top 86%, 688 students, 83% FRL); Carrollton Middle School (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #436 of 493 statewide, top 89%, 372 students, 81% FRL); Carrollton High School (math 15% / reading 54%, grade F, #369 of 713 statewide, top 52%, 484 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $140k implies a 288% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.82%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $107,328
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 589 Tulane St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+1%) | 2mo | $108,500 | $129 | 83 |
| 3034 N Michigan Ave | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 848 (+2%) | 10mo | $105,000 | $124 | 75 |
| 555 Pioneer Trail St | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 864 (+4%) | 7mo | $119,000 | $138 | 73 |
| 3275 Church St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 803 (-4%) | 13mo | $88,500 | $110 | 69 |
| 587 Meadowlawn St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 925 (+11%) | 7mo | $127,000 | $137 | 63 |
| 2918 Jackson St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 810 (-3%) | 14mo | $39,000 | $48 | 60 |
| 3030 Carla Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+4%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $133 | 50 |
| 634 Fleetwood Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 888 (+7%) | 8mo | $138,500 | $156 | 49 |
| 2529 N BOND St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 763 (-8%) | 6mo | $65,000 | $85 | 47 |
| 806 Nylon St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 922 (+11%) | 15mo | $85,000 | $92 | 44 |
| 2558 N Bond St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 888 (+7%) | 14mo | $80,000 | $90 | 42 |
| 3805 Ventura Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 950 (+14%) | 2mo | $166,000 | $175 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-16,886
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-7,464
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48604
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,150 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$25 /mo · $295/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $92
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $171 | -5% $132 | +0% $92 | +5% $52 | +10% $-155 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1 | -5% $47 | +0% $92 | +5% $137 | +10% $183 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $162 | -0.5pp $128 | base $92 | +0.5pp $56 | +1.0pp $19 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4070 Green Isle Way Saginaw, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 45d | 15 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 352-char remark
-
2026-06-18$139,900 Pending 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $295 · $25/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,225 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- +$930/yr (+$77/mo · 315.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$295
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,104
- − Management
- −$1,104
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$1,309
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$314
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,418/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carrollton Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2608070
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,147
- Composite
- 14.74/100
- National rank
- #9395
- State rank
- #485 of 540 in MI
Livability — Saginaw
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #15424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 54,884
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,284
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Lithuanian 6% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.55%
- Current HPI
- 210.5278
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+100.1% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-06-17 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-16 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-16 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
- 2013-03-28 Sold (MLS) $36,024 REALCOMP
- 2013-03-28 Sold (MLS) $36,024 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-10-10 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-09-29 Listed $36,000 REALCOMP
- 2012-09-29 Listed $36,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
- 2002-01-07 Sold (MLS) $66,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-01-07 Sold (MLS) $66,000 REALCOMP
- 2001-12-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-10-10 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-10-10 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-14.4%/yrLatest (2025): $295 · -85.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…