2738 Montana Ave · Cincinnati, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom home has eat-in kitchen, Dining room, living room w/ Roodwood fireplace. Hardwood floors. This is a must see!! Schedule your showing today...
Key facts
- Updated kitchen
- Side porch
- Finished lower level
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned residential; Lot about 50 x 143 (approximately 0.167 acres)
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Built-in rear garage with space for 1 car
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: Traditional single-family home; Two levels; Second floor area present
- Construction: Shingle roof; Vinyl siding; Poured foundation; Built with typical residential construction materials
- Exterior features: Front porch; Storm, vinyl, and insulated windows; Cable and smoke alarm present
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with wood cabinets; Vinyl flooring in the kitchen; Dishwasher; Oven/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; Primary bedroom approximately 12 x 11 (second level); Second bedroom approximately 12 x 11 (second level); Third bedroom approximately 10 x 10 (second level)
- Flooring: Wood floors in living and dining areas; Vinyl floor in kitchen
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Gas water heating
- Interior features: Multi-panel doors and natural woodwork; Fireplace; Chandelier
- Laundry & utility: 220-volt service
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $137 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 82 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $130k implies a 331% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.54%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $223,728
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2714 Shaffer Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,211 (-4%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $140 | 64 |
| 2790 Shaffer Ave | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,277 (+1%) | 10mo | $135,500 | $106 | 61 |
| 2945 Feltz Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,204 (-5%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $195 | 58 |
| 2562 Montana Ave | 0.49mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,325 (+5%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $140 | 58 |
| 3418 Millrich Ave | 0.14mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,449 (+15%) | 6mo | $214,000 | $148 | 57 |
| 3328 Brodbeck Pl | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,384 (+10%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $220 | 56 |
| 2938 Temple Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,140 (-10%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $167 | 48 |
| 2484 Deercove Ct | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 | 1,416 (+12%) | 10mo | $299,900 | $212 | 46 |
| 2932 Feltz Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,444 (+14%) | 7mo | $255,000 | $177 | 43 |
| 2907 Daytona Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,424 (+13%) | 8mo | $169,000 | $119 | 40 |
| 3064 Mchenry Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-9%) | 8mo | $204,500 | $178 | 40 |
| 3024 Hull Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,129 (-11%) | 10mo | $209,000 | $185 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-11,371
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $5,206
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45211
- Home prices YoY
- -32.0%
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,357 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$200 /mo · $2,395/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $137
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $211 | -5% $174 | +0% $137 | +5% $101 | +10% $64 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $30 | -5% $84 | +0% $137 | +5% $191 | +10% $245 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $203 | -0.5pp $171 | base $137 | +0.5pp $104 | +1.0pp $70 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2678 Montana Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 935 | $1,470 | $1.57 | 2d | 10 | 0.16mi |
| 2679 Montana Ave Apt 11 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 4d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2837 Montana Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 3512 Hazelwood Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $1,750 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2854 Shaffer Ave Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,125 | $1.02 | 14d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2860 Harrison Ave Apt 21 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 20d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3272 Gobel Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3272 Gobel Ave Unit 2465-2 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3077 Worthington Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3001 Westwood Northern Blvd Unit 3009-10 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2532 Harrison Ave Unit 2217 02 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3052 Worthington Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $1,195 | $1.08 | 5d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3015 Feltz Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1218 | $1,695 | $1.39 | 4d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3064 Aquadale Ln Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1102 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3401 McHenry Ave Unit 43 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2356 Harrison Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2230 Westwood Northern Blvd Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 792 | $940 | $1.19 | 24d | 3 | 1.22mi |
| 3570 McHenry Ave Unit 3574-3 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2682 Lafeuille Cir Cincinnati, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,574 | $1.66 | 4d | 16 | 1.24mi |
| 2905 Queen City Ave Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2905 Queen City Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2598 Ferguson Rd Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,145 | $1.21 | 5d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2969 Four Towers Dr Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,150 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2621 Gehrum Ln Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1373 | $1,850 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3713 Lovell Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1508 | $1,595 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2511 Ferguson Rd Unit 2537 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2706 E Tower Dr Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 951 | $1,520 | $1.60 | 2d | 61 | 1.44mi |
| 4410 N Bend Rd Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1240 | $1,750 | $1.41 | 5d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3955 Trevor Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $1,495 | $1.03 | 16d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-18price $129,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $144,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $144,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $144,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $144,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $144,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $144,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $144,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $144,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $144,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $144,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $144,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $144,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $144,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-08$144,900 Active
-
2013-03-29soldstatus $30,151 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
3 bedroom home has eat-in kitchen, Dining room, living room w/ Roodwood fireplace. Hardwood floors. This is a must see!! Schedule your showing today...
-
2013-01-28$34,900 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
3 bedroom home has eat-in kitchen, Dining room, living room w/ Roodwood fireplace. Hardwood floors. This is a must see!! Schedule your showing today...
-
2010-08-31historical
-
2010-03-01$99,800
-
2009-01-15historical
-
2008-07-16$100,000
-
2008-07-09historical
-
2008-04-04$94,900
-
2007-02-01historical
-
2006-10-26$99,900
-
2006-10-23historical
-
2006-07-20$104,900
-
2006-02-27soldstatus $55,000
-
2005-08-30$57,500
-
2000-08-16soldstatus $82,200
-
2000-08-15soldstatus $82,150
-
2000-07-31soldstatus $82,150
-
2000-06-19$79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,395 · $200/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,395 · $200/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,290
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$2,395
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,303
- − Management
- −$1,303
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$417
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$100
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,750/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cincinnati Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904375
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,743
- Composite
- 25.21/100
- National rank
- #7508
- State rank
- #581 of 656 in OH
Livability — Cincinnati
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #130
- US rank
- #1856
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cincinnati, OH
- County
- Hamilton County · 701,295 people
- City population
- 505,555
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,049
- Household income
- $53,868
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1916.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 38% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -101.15%
- Current HPI
- 215.0659
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.64%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+81.4% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $144,900 Cincy MLS
- 2013-03-29 Sold (MLS) $30,151 Cincy MLS
- 2013-01-28 Listed $34,900 Cincy MLS
- 2010-08-31 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2010-03-01 Listed $99,800 Cincy MLS
- 2009-01-15 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2008-07-16 Listed $100,000 Cincy MLS
- 2008-07-09 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2008-04-04 Listed $94,900 Cincy MLS
- 2007-02-01 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2006-10-26 Listed $99,900 Cincy MLS
- 2006-10-23 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2006-07-20 Listed $104,900 Cincy MLS
- 2006-02-27 Sold (MLS) $55,000 Cincy MLS
- 2005-08-30 Listed $57,500 Cincy MLS
- 2000-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $82,200 Public Records
- 2000-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $82,150 Public Records
- 2000-07-31 Sold (MLS) $82,150 Cincy MLS
- 2000-06-19 Listed $79,900 Cincy MLS
Property tax history
+11.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,395 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…