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7868 Suellen St
D+ Composite 48.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$159,900

7868 Suellen St · Sneads, FL 32460
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · Manufactured public records · 61 Days on market
Built 2000 1.13 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 Bedroom 2 Bath DWMH with 1536 sq. ft. sitting on 2.16 acres!! Located in the City Limits of Sneads and close to Everything! Open Floorplan with a gas fireplace! Central Heat and Air. This home is Priced to Sell so act today before this home is gone!!

Key facts

  • Lake seminole
  • Split floor plan
  • Fresh interior paint

Tags

1 ACRESTHREE RIVERS STATE PARKLAKE SEMINOLEBRAND NEW LVP FLOORINGFRESH INTERIOR PAINTSPLIT FLOOR PLAN

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Short-term rentals allowed

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity available
  • Home design: Double wide mobile home; Irregular lot shape; Gravel road access
  • Construction: Mobile home (double wide)
  • Exterior features: Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (10 x 12)
  • Bedrooms: Two additional bedrooms (10 x 12 and 10 x 11)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Fireplace(s); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 9 total rooms; Breakfast nook; Dining room; Living room; Primary bedroom with primary bathroom; Full bath

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($661/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (15.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $134k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#682 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Jackson (rural): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #39 of 73 in FL (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 153 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $319 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
  • Jackson County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $83k; list at $160k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $134,500 (15.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.71%
Cash-on-cash
1.48%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.1%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$300
Equity at exit
$48,033
10-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$27,314
Equity at exit
$59,033

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32460

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,345 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,227/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$55

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,275
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $146 -5% $100 +0% $55 +5% $10 +10% $-35
Rent -10% $-51 -5% $2 +0% $55 +5% $108 +10% $161
Rate -1.0pp $136 -0.5pp $96 base $55 +0.5pp $14 +1.0pp $-28

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2057 Gay Ave Sneads, FL 3.0 2.0 1736 $1,345 $0.77 44d 1 0.61mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $159,900 Active 61 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 56 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $159,900 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $159,900 Active 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 43 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 42 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 40 DOM
  16. 2026-04-17
    listed $169,900 Active
  17. 2026-04-17
    historical
  18. 2026-02-05
    price $164,900
  19. 2026-01-19
    status Active
  20. 2026-01-09
    historical Active Under Contract
  21. 2025-12-19
    price $168,500
  22. 2025-10-17
    listed $169,900 Active
  23. 2025-05-20
    soldstatus $83,000
  24. 2017-08-04
    soldstatus $30,000 252-char remark
    Show marketing remark (252 chars)

    3 Bedroom 2 Bath DWMH with 1536 sq. ft. sitting on 2.16 acres!! Located in the City Limits of Sneads and close to Everything! Open Floorplan with a gas fireplace! Central Heat and Air. This home is Priced to Sell so act today before this home is gone!!

  25. 2017-06-09
    listed $27,000 252-char remark
    Show marketing remark (252 chars)

    3 Bedroom 2 Bath DWMH with 1536 sq. ft. sitting on 2.16 acres!! Located in the City Limits of Sneads and close to Everything! Open Floorplan with a gas fireplace! Central Heat and Air. This home is Priced to Sell so act today before this home is gone!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,227 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,327 · $111/mo
Expected delta
+$100/yr (+$8/mo · 8.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,140
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$1,227
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,291
− Management
−$1,291
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$2,078
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$499
After-tax cash flow
$1,160/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson
NCES district ID
1200960
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$36,824
Composite
41.92/100
National rank
#3358
State rank
#39 of 73 in FL

Livability — Sneads

Score
64/100
State rank
#682
US rank
#14148

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sneads, FL
Population (ZIP)
5,303

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,095 people
By 2030
44,432 · -3.6%
By 2040
41,077 · -10.9%
By 2050
37,587 · -18.5%
By 2075
28,921 · -37.3%
By 2100
19,332 · -58.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.1) · D 26.7% · R 72.7%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -28.0pp · 2024: -46.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.1 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+29.0 2008: R+28.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.20%
Current HPI
154.5563
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+529.3% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listing Removed CPARMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $169,900 CPARMLS
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $164,900 CPARMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Relisted CPARMLS
  • 2026-01-09 Contingent CPARMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Price Changed $168,500 CPARMLS
  • 2025-10-17 Listed $169,900 CPARMLS
  • 2025-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
  • 2017-08-04 Sold (MLS) $30,000 CPARMLS
  • 2017-06-09 Listed $27,000 CPARMLS

Property tax history

+10.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,227 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…