1115 Druid Hills Dr · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$26,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great Investment neighborhood. All offers considered. Selling "AS IS"
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1955
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $26k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $674 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $26k).
- Cap rate 37.4% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $180 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $780 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 37.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 111.07%
- DSCR
- 5.94
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $78,948
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1209 Lynwood Dr | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,134 (-2%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $84 | 91 |
| 1312 E Audubon Rd | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,188 (+2%) | 1mo | $32,000 | $27 | 90 |
| 4056 Narrow Lane Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,192 (+3%) | 4mo | $74,000 | $62 | 78 |
| 4507 Coventry Rd | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,163 (+0%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $34 | 68 |
| 1201 Buckingham Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,218 (+5%) | 9mo | $92,000 | $76 | 60 |
| 1518 Flamingo Ln | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,131 (-3%) | 9mo | $90,000 | $80 | 59 |
| 1441 Flamingo Ln | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,283 (+10%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $51 | 53 |
| 4383 Amherst Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,103 (-5%) | 10mo | $103,000 | $93 | 49 |
| 1375 Biscayne Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (+14%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $38 | 46 |
| 701 Buckingham Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,026 (-12%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $68 | 44 |
| 712 Buckingham Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,026 (-12%) | 5mo | $92,000 | $90 | 44 |
| 4314 Nordale Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-13%) | 7mo | $44,000 | $44 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.32×
- Total profit
- $38,735
- Equity at exit
- $3,877
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.24×
- Total profit
- $89,121
- Equity at exit
- $2,248
Cash invested: $7,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36111
- Home prices YoY
- -6.9%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,111 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$136
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $682/yr
- Insurance
- −$11
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $674
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,500
- Closing costs
- $780
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1114 Druid Hills Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1192 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 3649 Princeton Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1266 | $1,200 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3701 Wesley Dr Unit 3723 Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3701 Wesley Dr Unit 3733 Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,280 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3701 Wesley Dr Unit 3737 Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,280 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3723 Wesley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3733 Wesley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3735 Wesley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3709 Wesley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3751 Wesley Dr Apt A Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $550 | $0.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3737 Wesley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,280 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3770 Maclamar Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1129 | $950 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3735 Bridlewood Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1386 | $895 | $0.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4342 Sunshine Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1323 | $1,250 | $0.94 | 13d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1219 Biscayne Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1228 | $1,295 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 548 Winston Dr Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1396 | $1,000 | $0.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2230 Woodley Sq W Montgomery, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $898 | $1.00 | 13d | 11 | 0.92mi |
| 253 John Morris Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $950 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4581 Narrow Lane Rd Montgomery, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 866 | $800 | $0.92 | 43d | 2 | 0.93mi |
| 3445 Le Bron Rd Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3608 Wilmington Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $950 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3515 Norman Bridge Rd Unit A Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 951 E Edgemont Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $750 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 945 E Edgemont Ave Unit 951 Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $750 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2401 Overhill Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 999 | $700 | $0.70 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3356 Audubon Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1340 | $950 | $0.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3369 Montezuma Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1281 | $1,150 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3357 Lexington Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,175 | $0.98 | 13d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4724 S Court St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $485 | $0.61 | 13d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2020-01-11historical
-
2019-11-25$26,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $682 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $682 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,334
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,456
- − Property taxes
- −$682
- − Insurance
- −$130
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,067
- − Management
- −$1,067
- − Depreciation
- −$756
- Taxable income
- $8,176
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,962
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,124/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- City population
- 175,913
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,196
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% White 34% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -11.63%
- Current HPI
- 156.4412
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2020-01-11 Delisted — MAAR
- 2019-11-25 Listed $26,000 MAAR
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $682 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…