40 E Columbia Rd · East Pennsboro, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.1/30.0
- ARV discount +10.3/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 40 E Columbia Rd, Enola! This charming home presents an excellent opportunity for first-time homebuyers, investors, or anyone looking to add their personal touch. Nestled in an established neighborhood, the property offers a convenient location close to shopping, dining, schools, and major commuter routes. Enjoy relaxing or entertaining on the rear deck overlooking the yard. Being sold as-is, this home is priced to allow the next owner to build equity and make it their own. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or your next investment property, don't miss the potential and value this property has to offer.
Key facts
- Rear deck
- Built 1936
- Listed 7 days
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric heating fuel
- Home design: Semi-detached structure; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Fee simple ownership; Finished above-grade area per assessor
- Construction: Built year source: Assessor; Stone foundation
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level; 1 full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; Hot water supplied by natural gas
- Interior features: Basement present (other type); Living area source is Assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- East Pennsboro Area SD (suburban): math 30% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #275 of 539 in PA (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: East Pennsboro Area Shs (math 82% / reading 72%, grade A-, #22 of 437 statewide, top 5%, 761 students, 36% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 77% at this address vs 44% district-wide (+34 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the East Pennsboro Area SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,052 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (310 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $140k implies a 211% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.72%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $149,280
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 E Columbia Rd | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 987 (+6%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $157 | 79 |
| 205 Susquehanna Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,060 (+14%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $160 | 63 |
| 426 Duke St Unit B | 0.28mi | 2/1.5 | 870 (-7%) | 21mo | $145,000 | $167 | 56 |
| 133 S Enola Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,061 (+14%) | 22mo | $165,000 | $156 | 19 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.46% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,166
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $43,746
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17025
- Home prices YoY
- -25.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,515 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$153 /mo · $1,832/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $252
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Radam St Enola, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $1,295 | $2.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 7 Adams St Unit 08 Enola, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,300 | $1.86 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19status $140,000 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $140,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 633-char remark
-
2026-06-13$140,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,832 · $153/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,022 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- +$190/yr (+$16/mo · 10.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,186
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,832
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,455
- − Management
- −$1,455
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $829
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$199
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,825/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Pennsboro Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4208580
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,120
- Composite
- 38.26/100
- National rank
- #4239
- State rank
- #275 of 539 in PA
Livability — East Pennsboro
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Enola, PA
- County
- Cumberland County · 257,673 people
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,648
- Household income
- $91,285
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 317.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 267,950 people
- By 2030
- 278,105 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 296,552 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 312,937 · +16.8%
- By 2075
- 349,233 · +30.3%
- By 2100
- 361,875 · +35.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 6% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.6% · R 54.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+18.6 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.21%
- Current HPI
- 251.939
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.46%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+254.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-28 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $155,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-28 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-19 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $159,636 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 1988-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $39,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2026): $1,832 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…