417 55th Ave · Meridian, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This property presents a strong opportunity for investors or buyers seeking reliable rental income. With solid fundamentals and a layout well-suited for long-term tenancy, providing access to a consistent tenant base. The home's configuration supports functional living, making it appealing to renters looking for affordability and convenience. Located in an area with steady rental demand, this property positions itself as a practical addition to any portfolio, whether you're expanding your holdings or entering the rental market. With the right management, it has the potential to generate stable cash flow and long-term value.
Key facts
- 9,147 sq ft lot
- Built 1972
- Listed 19 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available
- Home design: Single family residence (house); One story; Located at 417 55th Avenue, Meridian, MS
- Construction: Wood siding; Slab foundation; Built (year reported from public records)
- Exterior features: Partial wood fencing; Metal roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level; Two additional bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Carpet and wood flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $706 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#141 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Meridian Public Schools (town): math 13% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #109 of 130 in MS (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 18 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lauderdale County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.63%
- DSCR
- 3.70
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $29,225
- List price
- $49,900
- Delta
- 70.74%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.64×
- Total profit
- $36,894
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 64.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.45×
- Total profit
- $90,093
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39307
- Home prices YoY
- -21.6%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,325 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $700/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $706
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1426 50th Ave Meridian, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,325 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 632-char remark
-
2026-04-29$49,900 Active 632-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $700 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $700 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,900
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$700
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,272
- − Management
- −$1,272
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $8,160
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,958
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,513/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Meridian Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2802910
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,236
- Composite
- 11.87/100
- National rank
- #9673
- State rank
- #109 of 130 in MS
Livability — Meridian
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #141
- US rank
- #14839
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Meridian, MS
- City population
- 42,445
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,636
Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 75,158 people
- By 2030
- 72,770 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 67,309 · -10.4%
- By 2050
- 61,797 · -17.8%
- By 2075
- 49,790 · -33.8%
- By 2100
- 39,797 · -47.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 26% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.2) · D 39.0% · R 60.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -21.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.2 2020: R+16.0 2016: R+23.0 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.34%
- Current HPI
- 121.0078
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-04-29 Listed $49,900 MLSU
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $700 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…