244 Estridge Rd · Glasgow Village, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$51,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Property is being sold as-is. Seller to pay for no inspections and/or repairs.
Key facts
- 8,119 sq ft lot
- Built 1951
- Listed 96 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $51k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $752 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $51k).
- Recommended offer: $46k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.0% vs local median 12.4% in Glasgow Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#756 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Highland Elem. (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 274 students, 99% FRL); Riverview Gardens Sr. High (math 2% / reading 18%, grade F, #501 of 521 statewide, top 97%, 1,331 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $353 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 63.18%
- DSCR
- 3.81
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $86,088
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240 Shepley Dr | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 854 (+1%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $64 | 83 |
| 332 Banff Cir | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 854 (+1%) | 3mo | $79,000 | $93 | 80 |
| 10301 Renfrew Dr | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 844 (0%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $130 | 79 |
| 321 Caithness Rd | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 902 (+7%) | 3mo | $47,700 | $53 | 79 |
| 363 Shepley Dr | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 854 (+1%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $129 | 78 |
| 10539 Renfrew Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 854 (+1%) | 2mo | $119,900 | $140 | 72 |
| 237 Ben Nevis Rd | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 873 (+3%) | 1mo | $89,000 | $102 | 70 |
| 10640 Spring Garden Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 873 (+3%) | 1mo | $77,500 | $89 | 65 |
| 518 Banavie Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 932 (+10%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $70 | 53 |
| 10201 Gourock Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 932 (+10%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $118 | 50 |
| 200 Mcalpine Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 927 (+10%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $97 | 49 |
| 10555 Gourock Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 918 (+9%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $131 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 66.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.15×
- Total profit
- $44,966
- Equity at exit
- $7,604
- IRR
- 71.7%
- Equity multiple
- 9.71×
- Total profit
- $124,428
- Equity at exit
- $4,410
Cash invested: $14,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63137
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 203
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,420 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$267
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $979/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $752
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $781 | -5% $766 | +0% $752 | +5% $737 | +10% $723 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $640 | -5% $696 | +0% $752 | +5% $808 | +10% $864 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $777 | -0.5pp $765 | base $752 | +0.5pp $739 | +1.0pp $725 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,750
- Closing costs
- $1,530
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 232 Cameron Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,295 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 317 Cameron Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,350 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 325 Caithness Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,540 | $1.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 325 Caithness Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,425 | $1.67 | 13d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 305 Lancashire Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 19d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 204 Tay Rd Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.5 | 854 | $1,500 | $1.76 | 18d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 10432 Balmoral Dr Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $1,600 | $1.94 | 3d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 416 Crawford Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 844 | $1,499 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 312 Banff Cir Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,175 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 251 Midlothian Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1058 | $1,499 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 10063 Northgate Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 10309 Galloway Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $1,295 | $1.45 | 13d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 329 Midlothian Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,195 | $1.40 | 4d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 323 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,175 | $1.38 | 3d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 437 Lancashire Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1082 | $1,395 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 432 Midlothian Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,350 | $1.21 | 11d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 157 Perthshire Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $1,850 | $2.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 10019 Northgate Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 991 | $1,150 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 10327 Renfrew Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 844 | $1,199 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 409 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,095 | $1.28 | 5d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 138 Grampian Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $1,499 | $1.72 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 10617 Dunkeld Cir Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $1,299 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 10617 Dunkeld Cir Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $1,299 | $1.49 | 8d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 241 Grampian Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,250 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 237 Grampian Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $1,499 | $1.72 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 457 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,350 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 10650 Dunkeld Cir Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,250 | $1.46 | 8d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 10518 Gretna Cir Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1082 | $1,450 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 10213 Durness Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,225 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 10519 Renfrew Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 982 | $1,399 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 255 Chambers Rd St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 10527 Prestwick Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 854 | $1,395 | $1.63 | 8d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 117 Glen Garry Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,175 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 10524 Durness Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 225 Ben Nevis Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $1,250 | $1.43 | 4d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 10613 Spring Garden Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $1,169 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 257 Glen Garry Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $1,025 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 10401 Hobkirk Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 18d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 10201 Gourock Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 886 | $1,275 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 743 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,025 | $1.10 | 8d | 1 | 0.65mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $51,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $51,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $51,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $51,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $51,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $51,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $51,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $51,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $51,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $51,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-04-10status Pending
-
2026-01-19$51,000 Active
-
2025-12-09status Active
-
2025-10-28status Pending
-
2025-10-02status Active
-
2025-09-03status Pending
-
2025-07-22$54,200 Active
-
2025-07-18historical
-
2020-11-06soldstatus $99,000
-
2019-11-05soldstatus $19,000
-
2019-10-24soldstatus Closed 78-char remark
Show marketing remark (78 chars)
Property is being sold as-is. Seller to pay for no inspections and/or repairs.
-
2019-10-16status Pending 78-char remark
Show marketing remark (78 chars)
Property is being sold as-is. Seller to pay for no inspections and/or repairs.
-
2019-10-04$19,900 Active 78-char remark
Show marketing remark (78 chars)
Property is being sold as-is. Seller to pay for no inspections and/or repairs.
-
2016-03-15soldstatus $1,231,000
-
2011-09-21soldstatus $11,000
-
2006-04-20soldstatus $66,000
-
2004-07-09soldstatus $41,500
-
2004-07-08soldstatus $52,900
-
2000-11-14soldstatus $59,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $979 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $979 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,044
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,857
- − Property taxes
- −$979
- − Insurance
- −$255
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,364
- − Management
- −$1,364
- − Depreciation
- −$1,484
- Taxable income
- $8,743
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,098
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,923/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riverview Gardens
- NCES district ID
- 2926670
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,759
- Composite
- 4.22/100
- National rank
- #10058
- State rank
- #324 of 324 in MO
Livability — Glasgow Village
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #756
- US rank
- #23451
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Glasgow Village, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,684
- Household income
- $43,422
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1863.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 82% White 13% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.70%
- Current HPI
- 130.6765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.59%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
-14.9% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-19 Listed $51,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-09 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-28 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-02 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-03 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-22 Listed $54,200 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-18 Coming Soon — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
- 2019-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
- 2019-10-24 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-16 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-04 Listed $19,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $1,231,000 Public Records
- 2011-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
- 2006-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
- 2004-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $41,500 Public Records
- 2004-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $52,900 Public Records
- 2000-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2022): $979 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…