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172 Roscommon Rd
D+ Composite 49.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.9/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$209,000

172 Roscommon Rd · Tuscaloosa, AL 35405
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,353 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 2009 $154/sqft · 12% below area Est $237k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WELL MAINTAINED AND THE SELLERS ARE MOTIVATED! THE OWNERS WILL REPLACE THE CARPET AND PADDING IN THE MASTER BEDROOM AND HAVE THE DUCTWORK CLEANED PRIOR TO CLOSING AND THE BUYER'S FINAL WALK-THRU. THE HOME HAS A SPACIOUS GREAT ROOM WITH RAISED CEILINGS AND HARDWOOD FLOORS. NICE SIZE KITCHEN WITH AMPLE CABINET AND COUNTER SPACE AND A KITCHEN EATING AREA. THE MASTER SUITE HAS A WALK-IN CLOSET, HIS AND HER VANTIES, A GARDEN TUB PLUS A WALK-IN SHOWER! THE TWO ADDITIONAL BEDROOMS ARE GREAT SIZE AS WELLL. THE BACK IS VERY PRIVATE WITH A COVERED PATIO AND LARGE PRIVACY FENCED BACK YARD AND A PLUS IS THAT THE BACK YARD ADJOINS AN OPEN FIELD. .. NO NEIGHBORS BEHIND YOU FOR ADDED PRIVACY.

Key facts

  • Garden home
  • Backyard
  • Fresh landscaping

Tags

GARDEN HOMEBRICK AND VINYL EXTERIORFRESH LANDSCAPINGCARPET FREE LIVING SPACESFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTBACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Braelin Village
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Concrete driveway
  • Utilities: Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Composition shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Rain gutters; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Has heating
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); No fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $209k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $82 ($988/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (16.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $175k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.4% in Tuscaloosa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#9 in AL, #2,909 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Tuscaloosa County (suburban): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #47 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Englewood Elementary School (math 19% / reading 48%, grade F, #318 of 627 statewide, top 51%, 512 students, 74% FRL); Hillcrest High School (math 18% / reading 26%, grade F, #142 of 305 statewide, top 51%, 1,356 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 45% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 457 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 73% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $140k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $174,919 (16.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.77%
Cash-on-cash
1.69%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$237,369
List price
$209,000
Delta
-11.95%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
198 Wexford Way Way 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,339 (-1%) 0mo $215,000 $161 94
200 Roscommon Rd 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,380 (+2%) 0mo $230,000 $167 94
128 Roscommon Rd Rd 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,438 (+6%) 3mo $235,000 $163 82
162 Wexford Way 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,269 (-6%) 6mo $214,900 $169 81
165 Roscommon Rd 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,473 (+9%) 7mo $215,000 $146 78
125 Roscommon Rd 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,272 (-6%) 9mo $225,000 $177 77
9046 Cotton Field Cir 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,478 (+9%) 5mo $204,150 $138 70
335 Old Bridge Rd 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,508 (+12%) 3mo $258,900 $172 63
333 Prairie Field Drive Dr 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,465 (+8%) 6mo $255,900 $175 58
481 Prairie Field Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,525 (+13%) 10mo $255,000 $167 46
9332 Parkway Gardens Loop 0.69mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,497 (+11%) 3mo $284,900 $190 43
9218 Parkway Gardens Loop 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,497 (+11%) 3mo $274,900 $184 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.2%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-24,326
Equity at exit
$31,163
10-year hold
IRR
0.9%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$4,122
Equity at exit
$18,071

Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35405

Home prices YoY
-26.9%
Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
457
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,749 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,096
Tax from tax record
$116 /mo · $1,398/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$367
Net cashflow
$82

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,645
Max offer price $209,000
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,250
Closing costs
$6,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
146 Wexford Way Tuscaloosa, AL 4.0 2.0 1498 $1,745 $1.16 21d 1 0.07mi
9046 Cotton Field Cir Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.0 1478 $1,645 $1.11 43d 1 0.19mi
9332 Parkway Gardens Loop Tuscaloosa, AL 4.0 2.0 1497 $1,706 $1.14 43d 1 0.67mi
9212 Parkway Gardens Loop Tuscaloosa, AL 4.0 2.0 1774 $1,796 $1.01 43d 1 0.70mi
9230 Parkway Gardens Loop Tuscaloosa, AL 4.0 2.0 1774 $1,995 $1.12 43d 1 0.73mi
9576 Havenridge Loop Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.0 1493 $1,795 $1.20 43d 1 0.77mi
9594 Havenridge Loop Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.0 1679 $1,795 $1.07 43d 1 0.78mi
9295 Havenridge Loop Tuscaloosa, AL 4.0 2.0 1583 $1,745 $1.10 43d 1 0.92mi
801 Stonebrook Cir Tuscaloosa, AL 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1397 $2,500 $1.79 21d 11 1.45mi
815 Stonebrook Cir Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.5 1745 $2,450 $1.40 43d 1 1.46mi
8470 Rutherford Dr Duncanville, AL 3.0 2.0 1560 $1,400 $0.90 21d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $209,000 Pending 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $209,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $209,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $209,000 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $209,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $209,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $209,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $209,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    statusdays on market $209,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-05-03
    status Pending 550-char remark
  11. 2026-04-30
    listed $209,000 Active 550-char remark
  12. 2026-03-26
    status Active
  13. 2026-03-11
    status Pending
  14. 2026-02-21
    historical $1,600
  15. 2026-02-18
    listed $1,600
  16. 2026-02-14
    historical $1,600
  17. 2026-02-13
    listed $218,000 Active
  18. 2026-01-21
    listed $1,600
  19. 2026-01-21
    historical $1,600
  20. 2025-04-24
    listed $1,600
  21. 2022-05-28
    price $1,400
  22. 2018-10-18
    soldstatus $140,000
  23. 2018-10-16
    soldstatus $140,000
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    WELL MAINTAINED AND THE SELLERS ARE MOTIVATED! THE OWNERS WILL REPLACE THE CARPET AND PADDING IN THE MASTER BEDROOM AND HAVE THE DUCTWORK CLEANED PRIOR TO CLOSING AND THE BUYER'S FINAL WALK-THRU. THE HOME HAS A SPACIOUS GREAT ROOM WITH RAISED CEILINGS AND HARDWOOD FLOORS. NICE SIZE KITCHEN WITH AMPLE CABINET AND COUNTER SPACE AND A KITCHEN EATING AREA. THE MASTER SUITE HAS A WALK-IN CLOSET, HIS AND HER VANTIES, A GARDEN TUB PLUS A WALK-IN SHOWER! THE TWO ADDITIONAL BEDROOMS ARE GREAT SIZE AS WELLL. THE BACK IS VERY PRIVATE WITH A COVERED PATIO AND LARGE PRIVACY FENCED BACK YARD AND A PLUS IS THAT THE BACK YARD ADJOINS AN OPEN FIELD. .. NO NEIGHBORS BEHIND YOU FOR ADDED PRIVACY.

  24. 2018-08-29
    listed $149,600
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    WELL MAINTAINED AND THE SELLERS ARE MOTIVATED! THE OWNERS WILL REPLACE THE CARPET AND PADDING IN THE MASTER BEDROOM AND HAVE THE DUCTWORK CLEANED PRIOR TO CLOSING AND THE BUYER'S FINAL WALK-THRU. THE HOME HAS A SPACIOUS GREAT ROOM WITH RAISED CEILINGS AND HARDWOOD FLOORS. NICE SIZE KITCHEN WITH AMPLE CABINET AND COUNTER SPACE AND A KITCHEN EATING AREA. THE MASTER SUITE HAS A WALK-IN CLOSET, HIS AND HER VANTIES, A GARDEN TUB PLUS A WALK-IN SHOWER! THE TWO ADDITIONAL BEDROOMS ARE GREAT SIZE AS WELLL. THE BACK IS VERY PRIVATE WITH A COVERED PATIO AND LARGE PRIVACY FENCED BACK YARD AND A PLUS IS THAT THE BACK YARD ADJOINS AN OPEN FIELD. .. NO NEIGHBORS BEHIND YOU FOR ADDED PRIVACY.

  25. 2013-10-29
    soldstatus $203,000
  26. 2013-10-28
    soldstatus $136,500
  27. 2013-04-30
    listed $138,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,398 · $116/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,398 · $116/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 55% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,990
− Mortgage interest
−$11,707
− Property taxes
−$1,398
− Insurance
−$1,045
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,679
− Management
−$1,679
− Depreciation
−$6,080
Taxable loss
−$2,598
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$624
After-tax cash flow
$1,611/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tuscaloosa County
NCES district ID
0103390
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$53,000
Composite
28.88/100
National rank
#6641
State rank
#47 of 129 in AL

Livability — Tuscaloosa

Score
77/100
State rank
#9
US rank
#2909

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute C Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Tuscaloosa County · 206,491 people
City population
134,228
Metro
Tuscaloosa, AL
Population (ZIP)
49,420
Household income
$62,301
Rent vs Own
45.6% rent · 54.4% own
Severe rent burden
1963.0

Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,293 people
By 2030
240,551 · +5.4%
By 2040
263,856 · +15.6%
By 2050
286,491 · +25.5%
By 2075
335,783 · +47.1%
By 2100
370,520 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 56% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
2008→2024 swing
-4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.25%
Current HPI
193.1929
Rent YoY
▲ 5.42%
Metro
Tuscaloosa, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.9% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Pending WAMLS
  • 2026-05-30 Relisted WAMLS
  • 2026-05-03 Pending WAMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $209,000 WAMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Relisted WAMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Pending WAMLS
  • 2026-02-21 Rental Removed $1,600 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-02-18 Listed for Rent $1,600 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-02-14 Rental Removed $1,600 WAMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $218,000 WAMLS
  • 2026-01-21 Listed for Rent $1,600 WAMLS
  • 2026-01-21 Rental Removed $1,600 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-04-24 Listed for Rent $1,600 APPFOLIO
  • 2022-05-28 Price Changed $1,400 RENT.
  • 2018-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2018-10-16 Sold (MLS) $140,000 WAMLS
  • 2018-08-29 Listed $149,600 WAMLS
  • 2013-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $203,000 Public Records
  • 2013-10-28 Sold (MLS) $136,500 WAMLS
  • 2013-04-30 Listed $138,500 WAMLS

Property tax history

+12.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,398 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…