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2031 Blake Bottom Rd NW #1
D- Composite 39.57
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.3/30.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.2/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$274,900

2031 Blake Bottom Rd NW #1 · Huntsville, AL 35806
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,412 sqft · Townhouse public records · 119 Days on market
Built 2008 $195/sqft · 9% below area Est $295k · 7% under $105/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The townhome you've been waiting for! Beautifully maintained, single-level in a prime location near MidCity, Bridge Street, Redstone Arsenal, and Research Park. The living space features vaulted ceilings, hardwood floors, a fireplace, and lots of natural lighting. The kitchen showcases marble floors, abundant storage space, and an eat-in breakfast nook. The spacious primary suite offers vaulted ceilings, a large bathroom with a separate tub/shower and walk-in closet. Out back, enjoy the covered patio and a privacy-fenced yard with a detached storage building and storm shelter. The community also features a common area with beautiful creek. Call today to schedule your private showing!

Key facts

  • Natural lighting
  • Marble floors
  • Vaulted ceilings

Tags

PRIME LOCATIONVAULTED CEILINGSHARDWOOD FLOORSFIREPLACENATURAL LIGHTINGMARBLE FLOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-607 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $168k (39.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (48.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (48.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($250k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $142,615 (48.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 48% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.52%
Cap rate
3.64%
Cash-on-cash
-9.47%
DSCR
0.58
GRM
16.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$295,213
List price
$274,900
Delta
-6.88%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 2.57% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
2.43×
Total profit
$110,341
Equity at exit
$247,652
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
5.60×
Total profit
$353,970
Equity at exit
$534,070

Cash invested: $76,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35806

Home prices YoY
20.0%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
213
Price-to-rent
16.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,426 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $874/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$105
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$-607

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,195
Max offer price $167,609
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-452 -5% $-530 +0% $-607 +5% $-685 +10% $-763
Rent -10% $-720 -5% $-664 +0% $-607 +5% $-551 +10% $-495
Rate -1.0pp $-469 -0.5pp $-537 base $-607 +0.5pp $-679 +1.0pp $-751

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,725
Closing costs
$8,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1457 Jeff Rd NW Huntsville, AL 2.0 2.0 1370 $1,495 $1.09 24d 1 0.82mi
177 Sagebrook Dr Madison, AL 3.0 3.0 1826 $1,695 $0.93 45d 1 1.32mi
125 Foster Way Dr Huntsville, AL 2.0 2.0 937 $1,350 $1.44 45d 1 1.38mi
121 Foster Way Dr Huntsville, AL 2.0 2.0 937 $1,295 $1.38 45d 1 1.39mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$105 · $1,260/yr

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $274,900 Active 119 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $274,900 Active 118 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $274,900 Active 117 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $274,900 Active 116 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $274,900 Active 114 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $274,900 Active 111 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $274,900 Active 110 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $274,900 Active 109 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $274,900 Active 108 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $274,900 Active 103 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $274,900 Active 102 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $274,900 Active 101 DOM
  13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $274,900 Active 100 DOM
  14. 2026-04-28
    soldstatus $265,000
  15. 2026-02-19
    listed $274,900 Active 692-char remark
    Show marketing remark (692 chars)

    The townhome you've been waiting for! Beautifully maintained, single-level in a prime location near MidCity, Bridge Street, Redstone Arsenal, and Research Park. The living space features vaulted ceilings, hardwood floors, a fireplace, and lots of natural lighting. The kitchen showcases marble floors, abundant storage space, and an eat-in breakfast nook. The spacious primary suite offers vaulted ceilings, a large bathroom with a separate tub/shower and walk-in closet. Out back, enjoy the covered patio and a privacy-fenced yard with a detached storage building and storm shelter. The community also features a common area with beautiful creek. Call today to schedule your private showing!

  16. 2024-06-14
    historical $1,545
  17. 2024-05-29
    price $1,545
  18. 2024-04-17
    price $1,595
  19. 2024-03-14
    listed $1,650
  20. 2023-06-22
    soldstatus $255,000
  21. 2023-06-21
    soldstatus $255,000 Sold 689-char remark
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    Beautifully maintained Townhome. This one level low maintenance Townhome is centrally located near Mid City, Bridge Street, Redstone Arsenal, and Research Park. Step right in onto the marble foyer floors and into the main living area with soaring vaulted ceilings. Large primary suite, spacious kitchen with marble floors, 2nd bedroom and full bath complete this comfortable home. Beautiful hardwood floors and crown molding in main living areas. Property includes a detached storage building located directly off the covered patio in the privacy fenced back yard. This building could be your work or hobby shed and is equipped with a large storm shelter. Common area with gorgeous creek!

  22. 2023-05-23
    status Pending 689-char remark
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    Beautifully maintained Townhome. This one level low maintenance Townhome is centrally located near Mid City, Bridge Street, Redstone Arsenal, and Research Park. Step right in onto the marble foyer floors and into the main living area with soaring vaulted ceilings. Large primary suite, spacious kitchen with marble floors, 2nd bedroom and full bath complete this comfortable home. Beautiful hardwood floors and crown molding in main living areas. Property includes a detached storage building located directly off the covered patio in the privacy fenced back yard. This building could be your work or hobby shed and is equipped with a large storm shelter. Common area with gorgeous creek!

  23. 2023-05-18
    listed $250,000 Active 689-char remark
    Show marketing remark (689 chars)

    Beautifully maintained Townhome. This one level low maintenance Townhome is centrally located near Mid City, Bridge Street, Redstone Arsenal, and Research Park. Step right in onto the marble foyer floors and into the main living area with soaring vaulted ceilings. Large primary suite, spacious kitchen with marble floors, 2nd bedroom and full bath complete this comfortable home. Beautiful hardwood floors and crown molding in main living areas. Property includes a detached storage building located directly off the covered patio in the privacy fenced back yard. This building could be your work or hobby shed and is equipped with a large storm shelter. Common area with gorgeous creek!

  24. 2018-10-25
    soldstatus $162,000
  25. 2018-10-19
    soldstatus $162,000
  26. 2018-08-18
    listed $164,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$874 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,127 · $94/mo
Expected delta
+$253/yr (+$21/mo · 28.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,114
− Mortgage interest
−$15,399
− Property taxes
−$874
− Insurance
−$1,374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,369
− Management
−$1,369
− HOA
−$1,260
− Depreciation
−$7,997
Taxable loss
−$12,529
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,007
After-tax cash flow
$-4,281/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
0102220
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$66,058
Composite
37.15/100
National rank
#4483
State rank
#19 of 129 in AL

Livability — Huntsville

Score
82/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1082

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Madison County · 380,832 people
City population
220,435
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
29,161
Household income
$86,768
Rent vs Own
54.2% rent · 45.8% own
Severe rent burden
1249.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 71.67%
Current HPI
430.5866
Rent YoY
▲ 2.57%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+60.7% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $265,000 Public Records
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $274,900 VMLS
  • 2024-06-14 Rental Removed $1,545 RENTLY
  • 2024-05-29 Price Changed $1,545 RENTLY
  • 2024-04-17 Price Changed $1,595 RENTLY
  • 2024-03-14 Listed for Rent $1,650 RENTLY
  • 2023-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $255,000 Public Records
  • 2023-06-21 Sold (MLS) $255,000 VMLS
  • 2023-05-23 Pending VMLS
  • 2023-05-18 Listed $250,000 VMLS
  • 2018-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $162,000 Public Records
  • 2018-10-19 Sold (MLS) $162,000 VMLS
  • 2018-08-18 Listed $164,900 VMLS

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $874 · +52.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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