165 W 250 N · Elmo, UT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $453 – $841
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.5/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$299,973
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 5 units. confirmed
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- 0.57 acre lot
- Built 1977
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5 × 7-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $447/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $300k).
- Recommended offer: $264k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#112 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Emery District (rural): math 43% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #52 of 80 in UT (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cleveland School (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #355 of 585 statewide, top 63%, 181 students, 55% FRL); Canyon View Middle School (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #109 of 138 statewide, top 80%, 200 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 37% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 55 units permitted in Emery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
- Emery County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 260 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask is 39896% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 260 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.94%
- DSCR
- 2.42
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $177,315
- Equity at exit
- $133,507
- IRR
- 37.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.16×
- Total profit
- $433,441
- Equity at exit
- $204,689
Cash invested: $83,992 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84521
- Home prices YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 22.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,454 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$375 /mo · $4,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,145
- Net cashflow
- $2,236
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,443 | -5% $2,339 | +0% $2,236 | +5% $2,132 | +10% $2,028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,805 | -5% $2,020 | +0% $2,236 | +5% $2,451 | +10% $2,666 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,387 | -0.5pp $2,312 | base $2,236 | +0.5pp $2,158 | +1.0pp $2,079 |
5-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5× units | 7 | — | $5,455 |
| #1 | 7 | — | $1,091 |
| #2 | 7 | — | $1,091 |
| #3 | 7 | — | $1,091 |
| #4 | 7 | — | $1,091 |
| #5 | 7 | — | $1,091 |
| Total (5 units) | $5,454 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,993
- Closing costs
- $8,999
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-04-27status Under Contract
-
2026-04-07$750
-
2025-12-07historical $650
-
2025-12-07historical $650
-
2025-11-05$650
-
2025-11-05$650
-
2025-10-25historical $650
-
2025-10-25historical $650
-
2025-09-23$650
-
2025-09-23$900
-
2025-08-10$299,973 Active
-
2023-06-16soldstatus Closed 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2023-05-16status Under Contract 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2023-05-11price $260,000 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2023-01-02$249,900 Active 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2022-12-21historical
-
2022-07-11price $249,900
-
2022-05-28$279,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $65,448
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,803
- − Property taxes
- −$4,500
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,236
- − Management
- −$5,236
- − Depreciation
- −$8,726
- Taxable income
- $23,447
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,627
- After-tax cash flow
- $21,200/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Emery District
- NCES district ID
- 4900270
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,076
- Composite
- 33.71/100
- National rank
- #5381
- State rank
- #52 of 80 in UT
Livability — Elmo
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #112
- US rank
- #9435
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elmo, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 591
Population outlook (Emery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,137 people
- By 2030
- 8,406 · -8.0%
- By 2040
- 7,030 · -23.1%
- By 2050
- 5,829 · -36.2%
- By 2075
- 3,587 · -60.7%
- By 2100
- 2,532 · -72.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Pacific Islander 9% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 11% Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Emery
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+74.6) · D 12.0% · R 86.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.0pp toward R · 2008: -53.6pp · 2024: -74.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+74.6 2020: R+74.7 2016: R+70.9 2012: R+71.9 2008: R+53.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.92%
- Current HPI
- 113.8147
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
+7.2% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2026-04-07 Listed for Rent $750 WFRMLS
- 2025-12-07 Rental Removed $650 RENTLAR
- 2025-12-07 Rental Removed $650 RENTLAR
- 2025-11-05 Listed for Rent $650 RENTLAR
- 2025-11-05 Listed for Rent $650 RENTLAR
- 2025-10-25 Rental Removed $650 RENTLAR
- 2025-10-25 Rental Removed $650 RENTLAR
- 2025-09-23 Listed for Rent $650 RENTLAR
- 2025-09-23 Listed for Rent $900 RENTLAR
- 2025-08-10 Listed $299,973 WFRMLS
- 2023-06-16 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2023-05-16 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2023-05-11 Price Changed $260,000 WFRMLS
- 2023-01-02 Listed $249,900 WFRMLS
- 2022-12-21 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2022-07-11 Price Changed $249,900 WFRMLS
- 2022-05-28 Listed $279,900 WFRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…