13 Candlewood Ln · Hoschton, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +6.3/30.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$485,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICE IMPROVEMENT. A great opportunity for buyers looking for elegance and affordability. located in the sought-after Twin Lakes subdivision. This Beautiful 5 Bedroom 3 bath home is just 4 years old and is in pristine condition. It's like getting a new construction home without the wait. Enjoy a life-style upgrade with resort-style amenities including swim and tennis, walking trail and a beautiful lake. The kitchen has an Oversized island with plenty of space to prepare meals and add bar stools. This home comes with stainless-steel appliances, including refrigerator, stove, dishwasher, Washer and Dryer. The bedrooms are built to impress with one located on the main level for convenience. This model has many upgrades including a large loft area upstairs, a handyman area in the garage, a 20k remote lawn sprinkler system and LOTS of storage space. Make your appointment to see this Awesome home today and you'll be Dazzled*
Key facts
- Large loft area
- Walking trail
- Open concept
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: GPS; Road surface and frontage: Other; County: Jackson, GA
- HOA & community: Annual association fee ($940) covering swim and tennis; Community clubhouse; Community lake; Playground; Pool; Tennis courts
Exterior
- Parking: Two garage spaces; Two total parking spaces; Driveway and garage with garage door opener; Open parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service available; Cable available; Natural gas available; Phone service available
- Home design: Two levels; Resale property; Stone construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Construction: Stone exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Private entrance; Storage; Tennis courts; Rear porch; Platform dock
Interior
- Kitchen: Breakfast bar; Stain-finish cabinets; Kitchen island; Other solid-surface counters; Pantry; View to family room; Double oven; Range; Range hood; Self-cleaning oven; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom; Four upper-level bedrooms; Oversized master bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom; Two full upper-level bathrooms; Master bath with separate his-and-hers vanities, separate tub and shower, and whirlpool tub
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Walk-in closets; Double pane windows; Plantation shutters; Storm shutters; Loft; No common walls; Living room fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater; Other utility features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $485k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-855 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $334k (31.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $329k (32.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $329k (32.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.8% in Hoschton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#71 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Jackson County (rural): math 38% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #50 of 174 in GA (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: West Jackson Elementary School (math 46% / reading 41%, grade F, #364 of 1,228 statewide, top 30%, 1,184 students, 30% FRL); West Jackson Middle School (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #135 of 470 statewide, top 29%, 1,502 students, 28% FRL); Jackson County High School (math 20% / reading 17%, grade F, #254 of 424 statewide, top 61%, 1,833 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools average 28% FRL vs 44% district-wide (15 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.4%/yr); 751 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,167 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (59 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($111k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($470k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.56%
- DSCR
- 0.66
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $669,051
- List price
- $485,000
- Delta
- -27.51%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 142 Candlewood Ln | 0.13mi | 5/4.0 | 3,326 (+3%) | 2mo | $549,900 | $165 | 84 |
| 152 Candlewood Ln | 0.14mi | 6/4.0 (+1) | 3,305 (+2%) | 2mo | $579,900 | $175 | 79 |
| 709 Michigan Cir | 0.12mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 3,023 (-6%) | 2mo | $525,000 | $174 | 76 |
| 737 Crystal Lake Pkwy | 0.48mi | 5/3.5 | 3,419 (+6%) | 2mo | $549,990 | $161 | 64 |
| 795 Crystal Lake Pkwy | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 3,146 (-2%) | 1mo | $412,990 | $131 | 63 |
| 857 Crystal Lake Pkwy | 0.60mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 3,141 (-3%) | 1mo | $431,990 | $138 | 60 |
| 168 Warrior Ct | 0.67mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,135 (-3%) | 0mo | $424,990 | $136 | 57 |
| 847 Crystal Lake Pkwy | 0.59mi | 5/3.0 | 2,793 (-13%) | 1mo | $422,990 | $151 | 49 |
| 226 Coffee Ln | 0.71mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,422 (+6%) | 2mo | $569,900 | $167 | 48 |
| 226 Coffee Ln | 0.71mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,422 (+6%) | 2mo | $569,900 | $167 | 48 |
| 158 Warrior Ct | 0.66mi | 5/3.0 | 2,793 (-13%) | 1mo | $429,990 | $154 | 46 |
| 210 Bear Way | 0.64mi | 4/4.0 (-1) | 2,936 (-9%) | 0mo | $807,000 | $275 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -33.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.05×
- Total profit
- $-142,607
- Equity at exit
- $72,315
- IRR
- -62.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.70×
- Total profit
- $-231,161
- Equity at exit
- $41,934
Cash invested: $135,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30548
- Home prices YoY
- -23.7%
- Rents YoY
- -2.4%
- Active inventory
- 751
- Price-to-rent
- 12.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,293 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,543
- Tax from tax record
- −$633 /mo · $7,599/yr
- Insurance
- −$202
- HOA
- −$78
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$692
- Net cashflow
- $-855
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $121,250
- Closing costs
- $14,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 247 E Lake Dr Hoschton, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 4261 | $3,600 | $0.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 274 Canyon Ferry Way Hoschton, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2186 | $2,300 | $1.05 | 5d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 300 Peachtree Rd Hoschton, GA | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $2,507 | $1.25 | 2d | 3 | 1.12mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $78 · $936/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $485,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $485,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $485,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $485,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $485,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $485,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $485,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $489,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $489,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $489,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $489,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $489,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $489,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $489,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $489,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-24$489,000 New 771-char remark
Show marketing remark (934 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT. A great opportunity for buyers looking for elegance and affordability. located in the sought-after Twin Lakes subdivision. This Beautiful 5 Bedroom 3 bath home is just 4 years old and is in pristine condition. It's like getting a new construction home without the wait. Enjoy a life-style upgrade with resort-style amenities including swim and tennis, walking trail and a beautiful lake. The kitchen has an Oversized island with plenty of space to prepare meals and add bar stools. This home comes with stainless-steel appliances, including refrigerator, stove, dishwasher, Washer and Dryer. The bedrooms are built to impress with one located on the main level for convenience. This model has many upgrades including a large loft area upstairs, a handyman area in the garage, a 20k remote lawn sprinkler system and LOTS of storage space. Make your appointment to see this Awesome home today and you'll be Dazzled*
-
2026-04-24$489,000 Active 771-char remark
Show marketing remark (934 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT. A great opportunity for buyers looking for elegance and affordability. located in the sought-after Twin Lakes subdivision. This Beautiful 5 Bedroom 3 bath home is just 4 years old and is in pristine condition. It's like getting a new construction home without the wait. Enjoy a life-style upgrade with resort-style amenities including swim and tennis, walking trail and a beautiful lake. The kitchen has an Oversized island with plenty of space to prepare meals and add bar stools. This home comes with stainless-steel appliances, including refrigerator, stove, dishwasher, Washer and Dryer. The bedrooms are built to impress with one located on the main level for convenience. This model has many upgrades including a large loft area upstairs, a handyman area in the garage, a 20k remote lawn sprinkler system and LOTS of storage space. Make your appointment to see this Awesome home today and you'll be Dazzled*
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,599 · $633/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,599 · $633/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,514
- − Mortgage interest
- −$27,168
- − Property taxes
- −$7,599
- − Insurance
- −$2,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,161
- − Management
- −$3,161
- − HOA
- −$936
- − Depreciation
- −$14,109
- Taxable loss
- −$19,045
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,571
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,694/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson County
- NCES district ID
- 1302940
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,773
- Composite
- 33.08/100
- National rank
- #5566
- State rank
- #50 of 174 in GA
Livability — Hoschton
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #6303
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hoschton, GA
- County
- Barrow County · 133,377 people
- City population
- 24,602
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,232
- Household income
- $111,257
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 520.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,403 people
- By 2030
- 70,771 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 75,050 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 78,022 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 82,646 · +20.8%
- By 2100
- 80,701 · +18.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.1) · D 22.2% · R 77.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.8pp no change · 2008: -55.9pp · 2024: -55.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.1 2020: R+58.0 2016: R+63.9 2012: R+62.9 2008: R+55.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.49%
- Current HPI
- 236.1853
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.44%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-0.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Price Changed $485,000 GAMLS
- 2026-06-12 Price Changed $485,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $489,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $489,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+92.0%/yrLatest (2025): $7,599 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…