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13 Candlewood Ln
D- Composite 35.06
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.3/30.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$485,000

13 Candlewood Ln · Hoschton, GA 30548
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,225 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 2022 0.32 ac lot $150/sqft · 28% below area Est $669k · 28% under $78/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PRICE IMPROVEMENT. A great opportunity for buyers looking for elegance and affordability. located in the sought-after Twin Lakes subdivision. This Beautiful 5 Bedroom 3 bath home is just 4 years old and is in pristine condition. It's like getting a new construction home without the wait. Enjoy a life-style upgrade with resort-style amenities including swim and tennis, walking trail and a beautiful lake. The kitchen has an Oversized island with plenty of space to prepare meals and add bar stools. This home comes with stainless-steel appliances, including refrigerator, stove, dishwasher, Washer and Dryer. The bedrooms are built to impress with one located on the main level for convenience. This model has many upgrades including a large loft area upstairs, a handyman area in the garage, a 20k remote lawn sprinkler system and LOTS of storage space. Make your appointment to see this Awesome home today and you'll be Dazzled*

Key facts

  • Large loft area
  • Walking trail
  • Open concept

Tags

RESORT STYLE AMENITIESWALKING TRAILOVERSIZED ISLANDOPEN CONCEPTSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESLARGE LOFT AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: GPS; Road surface and frontage: Other; County: Jackson, GA
  • HOA & community: Annual association fee ($940) covering swim and tennis; Community clubhouse; Community lake; Playground; Pool; Tennis courts

Exterior

  • Parking: Two garage spaces; Two total parking spaces; Driveway and garage with garage door opener; Open parking available
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service available; Cable available; Natural gas available; Phone service available
  • Home design: Two levels; Resale property; Stone construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Stone exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Private entrance; Storage; Tennis courts; Rear porch; Platform dock

Interior

  • Kitchen: Breakfast bar; Stain-finish cabinets; Kitchen island; Other solid-surface counters; Pantry; View to family room; Double oven; Range; Range hood; Self-cleaning oven; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom; Four upper-level bedrooms; Oversized master bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom; Two full upper-level bathrooms; Master bath with separate his-and-hers vanities, separate tub and shower, and whirlpool tub
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Walk-in closets; Double pane windows; Plantation shutters; Storm shutters; Loft; No common walls; Living room fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater; Other utility features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $485k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-855 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $334k (31.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $329k (32.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $329k (32.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.8% in Hoschton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#71 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Jackson County (rural): math 38% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #50 of 174 in GA (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: West Jackson Elementary School (math 46% / reading 41%, grade F, #364 of 1,228 statewide, top 30%, 1,184 students, 30% FRL); West Jackson Middle School (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #135 of 470 statewide, top 29%, 1,502 students, 28% FRL); Jackson County High School (math 20% / reading 17%, grade F, #254 of 424 statewide, top 61%, 1,833 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools average 28% FRL vs 44% district-wide (15 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.4%/yr); 751 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,167 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (59 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($111k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($470k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $329,287 (32.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
4.18%
Cash-on-cash
-7.56%
DSCR
0.66
GRM
12.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$669,051
List price
$485,000
Delta
-27.51%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
142 Candlewood Ln 0.13mi 5/4.0 3,326 (+3%) 2mo $549,900 $165 84
152 Candlewood Ln 0.14mi 6/4.0 (+1) 3,305 (+2%) 2mo $579,900 $175 79
709 Michigan Cir 0.12mi 4/2.5 (-1) 3,023 (-6%) 2mo $525,000 $174 76
737 Crystal Lake Pkwy 0.48mi 5/3.5 3,419 (+6%) 2mo $549,990 $161 64
795 Crystal Lake Pkwy 0.54mi 4/2.5 (-1) 3,146 (-2%) 1mo $412,990 $131 63
857 Crystal Lake Pkwy 0.60mi 4/2.5 (-1) 3,141 (-3%) 1mo $431,990 $138 60
168 Warrior Ct 0.67mi 4/3.5 (-1) 3,135 (-3%) 0mo $424,990 $136 57
847 Crystal Lake Pkwy 0.59mi 5/3.0 2,793 (-13%) 1mo $422,990 $151 49
226 Coffee Ln 0.71mi 4/3.5 (-1) 3,422 (+6%) 2mo $569,900 $167 48
226 Coffee Ln 0.71mi 4/3.5 (-1) 3,422 (+6%) 2mo $569,900 $167 48
158 Warrior Ct 0.66mi 5/3.0 2,793 (-13%) 1mo $429,990 $154 46
210 Bear Way 0.64mi 4/4.0 (-1) 2,936 (-9%) 0mo $807,000 $275 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-33.0%
Equity multiple
-0.05×
Total profit
$-142,607
Equity at exit
$72,315
10-year hold
IRR
-62.5%
Equity multiple
-0.70×
Total profit
$-231,161
Equity at exit
$41,934

Cash invested: $135,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30548

Home prices YoY
-23.7%
Rents YoY
-2.4%
Active inventory
751
Price-to-rent
12.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,293 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,543
Tax from tax record
$633 /mo · $7,599/yr
Insurance
$202
HOA
$78
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$692
Net cashflow
$-855

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,376
Max offer price $333,893
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$121,250
Closing costs
$14,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
247 E Lake Dr Hoschton, GA 4.0 2.5 4261 $3,600 $0.84 43d 1 0.25mi
274 Canyon Ferry Way Hoschton, GA 4.0 2.5 2186 $2,300 $1.05 5d 1 0.68mi
300 Peachtree Rd Hoschton, GA 3.0–4.0 2.5 2000 $2,507 $1.25 2d 3 1.12mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$78 · $936/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $485,000 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $485,000 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $485,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $485,000 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $485,000 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $485,000 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $485,000 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $489,000 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $489,000 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $489,000 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $489,000 Active 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $489,000 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $489,000 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $489,000 Active 37 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $489,000 Active 36 DOM
  16. 2026-04-24
    listed $489,000 New 771-char remark
    Show marketing remark (934 chars)

    PRICE IMPROVEMENT. A great opportunity for buyers looking for elegance and affordability. located in the sought-after Twin Lakes subdivision. This Beautiful 5 Bedroom 3 bath home is just 4 years old and is in pristine condition. It's like getting a new construction home without the wait. Enjoy a life-style upgrade with resort-style amenities including swim and tennis, walking trail and a beautiful lake. The kitchen has an Oversized island with plenty of space to prepare meals and add bar stools. This home comes with stainless-steel appliances, including refrigerator, stove, dishwasher, Washer and Dryer. The bedrooms are built to impress with one located on the main level for convenience. This model has many upgrades including a large loft area upstairs, a handyman area in the garage, a 20k remote lawn sprinkler system and LOTS of storage space. Make your appointment to see this Awesome home today and you'll be Dazzled*

  17. 2026-04-24
    listed $489,000 Active 771-char remark
    Show marketing remark (934 chars)

    PRICE IMPROVEMENT. A great opportunity for buyers looking for elegance and affordability. located in the sought-after Twin Lakes subdivision. This Beautiful 5 Bedroom 3 bath home is just 4 years old and is in pristine condition. It's like getting a new construction home without the wait. Enjoy a life-style upgrade with resort-style amenities including swim and tennis, walking trail and a beautiful lake. The kitchen has an Oversized island with plenty of space to prepare meals and add bar stools. This home comes with stainless-steel appliances, including refrigerator, stove, dishwasher, Washer and Dryer. The bedrooms are built to impress with one located on the main level for convenience. This model has many upgrades including a large loft area upstairs, a handyman area in the garage, a 20k remote lawn sprinkler system and LOTS of storage space. Make your appointment to see this Awesome home today and you'll be Dazzled*

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,599 · $633/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,599 · $633/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,514
− Mortgage interest
−$27,168
− Property taxes
−$7,599
− Insurance
−$2,425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,161
− Management
−$3,161
− HOA
−$936
− Depreciation
−$14,109
Taxable loss
−$19,045
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,571
After-tax cash flow
$-5,694/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson County
NCES district ID
1302940
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$56,773
Composite
33.08/100
National rank
#5566
State rank
#50 of 174 in GA

Livability — Hoschton

Score
72/100
State rank
#71
US rank
#6303

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hoschton, GA
County
Barrow County · 133,377 people
City population
24,602
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
26,232
Household income
$111,257
Rent vs Own
12.0% rent · 88.0% own
Severe rent burden
520.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,403 people
By 2030
70,771 · +3.5%
By 2040
75,050 · +9.7%
By 2050
78,022 · +14.1%
By 2075
82,646 · +20.8%
By 2100
80,701 · +18.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.1) · D 22.2% · R 77.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.8pp no change · 2008: -55.9pp · 2024: -55.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.1 2020: R+58.0 2016: R+63.9 2012: R+62.9 2008: R+55.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.49%
Current HPI
236.1853
Rent YoY
▼ -2.44%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Price Changed $485,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-06-12 Price Changed $485,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $489,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $489,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+92.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,599 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…