3770 Wheatland Rd · Fincastle, VA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.7/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$38,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This property features a four-room home built in 1960 along with a 1997 single-wide, offering multiple possibilities for redevelopment or investment. Both structures are being sold as-is and are currently not safe for entry--please do not access the buildings. Situated on a . 54-acre lot, the property includes an existing well and septic system (condition unknown), providing a strong starting point for your next project. Whether you're looking to renovate, rebuild, or create rental income potential, this property offers a unique opportunity for those with vision. Property conveys with all personal property; seller will not make repairs or remove personal property.
Key facts
- Four-room home
- 1997 single-wide
- Existing well
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listed by Wainwright & Co., REALTORS®
- Financial info: Annual tax amount reported
Exterior
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1960
- Construction: Built in 1960
- Exterior features: Approximately 0.54-acre lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (main level)
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Heating: Other (see remarks); Cooling: Other (see remarks)
- Interior features: Wood doors
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($919 rent vs $38k).
- Recommended offer: $37k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.7% vs local median 1.5% in Fincastle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#213 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A, cost of living B; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Botetourt County Public School District (rural): math 76% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #6 of 131 in VA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Breckinridge Elementary (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A-, #313 of 1,108 statewide, top 32%, 195 students, 33% FRL); Central Academy Middle (math 77% / reading 83%, grade A+, #24 of 342 statewide, top 8%, 369 students, 42% FRL); James River High (math 98% / reading 87%, grade A+, #3 of 319 statewide, top 1%, 460 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 36% FRL vs 19% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Botetourt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $263 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Botetourt County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.86%
- DSCR
- 3.44
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $33,012
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3770 Wheatland Rd | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 524 (0%) | 1mo | $33,000 | $63 | 94 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $20,633
- Equity at exit
- $5,666
- IRR
- 50.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.94×
- Total profit
- $52,576
- Equity at exit
- $3,286
Cash invested: $10,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24090
- Home prices YoY
- -13.7%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $919 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$199
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $291/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$193
- Net cashflow
- $420
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,500
- Closing costs
- $1,140
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-04-29price $38,000
-
2026-03-27$50,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $291 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $312 · $26/mo
- Expected delta
- +$20/yr (+$2/mo · 7.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,025
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,129
- − Property taxes
- −$291
- − Insurance
- −$987
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$882
- − Management
- −$882
- − Depreciation
- −$1,105
- Taxable income
- $4,749
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,140
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,900/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Botetourt County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100420
- Math proficiency
- 76% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 82% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,125
- Composite
- 68.07/100
- National rank
- #355
- State rank
- #6 of 131 in VA
Livability — Fincastle
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #213
- US rank
- #6888
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,612
Population outlook (Botetourt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,273 people
- By 2030
- 34,457 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 34,051 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 32,841 · -4.2%
- By 2075
- 30,720 · -10.4%
- By 2100
- 26,395 · -23.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Pacific Islander 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Botetourt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.9pp toward R · 2008: -33.2pp · 2024: -45.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.1 2020: R+44.5 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+33.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.26%
- Current HPI
- 191.3602
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-24.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — MLSRV
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $38,000 MLSRV
- 2026-03-27 Listed $50,000 MLSRV
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $291 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…