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21927 366
C+ Composite 62.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

21927 366 · Gladewater, TX 75647
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily · 249 Days on market
Built 1984 Fair condition 10 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity! Log home with stone fireplace, four bedrooms and two full baths. Inside laundry room with cozy kitchen. Two bedrooms upstairs and two bedrooms in an add on to the back of the original log house. This house has great bones and all on ten wooded acres perfect for private and peaceful country life just minutes from town.

Key facts

  • Cozy kitchen
  • Stone fireplace
  • Inside laundry room

Tags

LOG HOMESTONE FIREPLACEINSIDE LAUNDRY ROOMCOZY KITCHENTEN WOODED ACRES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $407 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.9% in Gladewater — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#805 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, amenities F.
  • Gladewater ISD (suburban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #594 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 179 active listings in the ZIP; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 249 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 249 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.78%
Cash-on-cash
12.47%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.2%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$3,284
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
11.8%
Equity multiple
1.93×
Total profit
$36,372
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75647

Home prices YoY
-8.2%
Active inventory
179
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,740 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax est. 1.5%
$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$407

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,225
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $504 -5% $456 +0% $407 +5% $359 +10% $311
Rent -10% $270 -5% $339 +0% $407 +5% $476 +10% $545
Rate -1.0pp $478 -0.5pp $443 base $407 +0.5pp $371 +1.0pp $334

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $140,000 Pending 249 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $140,000 Active 246 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $140,000 Active 245 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,000 Active 244 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 243 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $140,000 Active 242 DOM
  7. 2025-12-05
    status Active 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Log home with stone fireplace, four bedrooms and two full baths. Inside laundry room with cozy kitchen. Two bedrooms upstairs and two bedrooms in an add on to the back of the original log house. This house has great bones and all on ten wooded acres perfect for private and peaceful country life just minutes from town.

  8. 2025-11-28
    status Pending 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Log home with stone fireplace, four bedrooms and two full baths. Inside laundry room with cozy kitchen. Two bedrooms upstairs and two bedrooms in an add on to the back of the original log house. This house has great bones and all on ten wooded acres perfect for private and peaceful country life just minutes from town.

  9. 2025-11-10
    status Active 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Log home with stone fireplace, four bedrooms and two full baths. Inside laundry room with cozy kitchen. Two bedrooms upstairs and two bedrooms in an add on to the back of the original log house. This house has great bones and all on ten wooded acres perfect for private and peaceful country life just minutes from town.

  10. 2025-09-01
    status Pending 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Log home with stone fireplace, four bedrooms and two full baths. Inside laundry room with cozy kitchen. Two bedrooms upstairs and two bedrooms in an add on to the back of the original log house. This house has great bones and all on ten wooded acres perfect for private and peaceful country life just minutes from town.

  11. 2025-07-15
    listed $140,000 Active 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Log home with stone fireplace, four bedrooms and two full baths. Inside laundry room with cozy kitchen. Two bedrooms upstairs and two bedrooms in an add on to the back of the original log house. This house has great bones and all on ten wooded acres perfect for private and peaceful country life just minutes from town.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,884
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$2,100
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,671
− Management
−$1,671
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$2,827
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$679
After-tax cash flow
$4,209/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This log home requires significant repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value. Immediate attention to the roof, exterior, and flooring is necessary.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Severe weathering
  • Major exterior — Overgrown vegetation
  • Major flooring — Significant wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and exterior cleaning — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Painting interior and exterior — Improves appearance and value
  • Both Roof repair — Critical for structural integrity and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Severe weathering Major $15,000–50,000
exterior · Overgrown vegetation Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · Significant wear Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and exterior cleaning — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Painting interior and exterior — Improves appearance and value
  • Both Roof repair — Critical for structural integrity and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gladewater ISD
NCES district ID
4820760
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$41,485
Composite
26.62/100
National rank
#7177
State rank
#594 of 826 in TX

Livability — Gladewater

Score
64/100
State rank
#805
US rank
#14670

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
13,457

Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,890 people
By 2030
261,665 · +5.1%
By 2040
286,114 · +15.0%
By 2050
308,006 · +23.8%
By 2075
354,171 · +42.3%
By 2100
372,828 · +49.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Smith

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -27.12%
Current HPI
303.1316
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

5 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-05 Relisted LAAR
  • 2025-11-28 Pending LAAR
  • 2025-11-10 Relisted LAAR
  • 2025-09-01 Pending LAAR
  • 2025-07-15 Listed $140,000 LAAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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