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209 Caddis Creek Rd
D+ Composite 48.11
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.9/30.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.4/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$220,000

209 Caddis Creek Rd · Columbia, SC 29063
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,156 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1998 9,583 sqft lot Est $210k · at est. $14/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this Irmo cutie with the front porch everyone wants and the updates buyers actually care about. Step inside to an open layout with easy-flow living spaces, hardwood floors, cathedral ceiling and a cozy wood-burning fireplace that makes the whole house feel inviting. The kitchen opens right into the living and dining areas and features updated countertops, upgraded appliances, and pantry storage — because nobody has ever said, “I wish I had less counter space. ” The renovated primary suite is the real showstopper with tile floors, a gorgeous vanity and an oversized tiled walk-in shower that feels like it is straight out of a boutique hotel. Out back, the wr

Key facts

  • Front porch
  • Open layout
  • Updated countertops

Tags

FRONT PORCHOPEN LAYOUTHARDWOOD FLOORSCATHEDRAL CEILINGWOOD BURNING FIREPLACEUPDATED COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Cable TV available
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present; Association maintains common areas and green spaces

Exterior

  • Parking: 4 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Storm doors and thermopane windows
  • Home design: Single-story home
  • Construction: Partial brick above foundation with vinyl siding; Crawlspace foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Covered back porch; Deck; Shed; Full gutters; Privacy wood fence in rear

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with pantry; Solid-surface countertops; Tiled floor and tiled backsplash; Painted cabinets; Smooth-surface range; Microwave above stove; Dishwasher; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Main-level primary bedroom with private bath, ceiling fan, private closet, tile floors and spa/multiple-head shower; Two additional main-level bedrooms with ceiling fans, private closets and hardwood floors (shared baths, tub/shower)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors in main living areas and bedrooms; Tile floors in primary bedroom and kitchen
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans throughout; Smoke detector; Pull-down access attic; Wood-burning fireplace with cathedral ceilings and hardwood floors in living area
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry in closet off kitchen; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (7.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $203k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 5.0% in Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#18 in SC, #2,436 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Lexington 05 (suburban): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #5 of 80 in SC (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Dutch Fork Elementary (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #344 of 597 statewide, top 60%, 475 students, 82% FRL); Dutch Fork High (math 54% / reading 86%, grade B+, #58 of 196 statewide, top 30%, 1,726 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 27% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 315 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $190k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $202,672 (7.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.52%
Cash-on-cash
4.38%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$210,392
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1003 Riverwalk Way 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,318 (+14%) 15mo $239,900 $182 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.8%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-25,818
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-21,662
Equity at exit
$19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29063

Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
315
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,027 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$117 /mo · $1,403/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$14
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$426
Net cashflow
$225

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,742
Max offer price $220,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
316 Stamport Cir Irmo, SC 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,575 $1.05 3d 1 0.20mi
101 Riverwalk Way Irmo, SC 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,750 $1.35 14d 1 1.03mi
174 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $1,875 $1.40 23d 1 1.29mi
356 Lake Murray Blvd Irmo, SC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1020 $2,537 $2.49 3d 23 1.31mi
185 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $1,975 $1.48 23d 1 1.39mi
193 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $1,975 $1.48 23d 1 1.41mi
197 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $1,875 $1.40 23d 1 1.41mi
201 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $1,975 $1.48 23d 1 1.42mi
200 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $1,975 $1.48 23d 1 1.43mi
204 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $1,875 $1.40 23d 1 1.43mi
209 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,125 $1.59 2d 1 1.44mi
208 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,125 $1.59 2d 1 1.44mi
211 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,025 $1.52 2d 1 1.45mi
210 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,025 $1.52 2d 1 1.45mi
213 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,025 $1.52 2d 1 1.45mi
212 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,025 $1.52 2d 1 1.45mi
215 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,125 $1.59 2d 1 1.45mi
214 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,125 $1.59 2d 1 1.45mi
217 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,125 $1.59 2d 1 1.46mi
220 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,125 $1.59 2d 1 1.46mi
219 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,025 $1.52 2d 1 1.46mi
100 Walden Heights Dr Irmo, SC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1030 $1,880 $1.83 3d 23 1.47mi
222 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,025 $1.52 2d 1 1.47mi
221 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,025 $1.52 2d 1 1.47mi
223 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,125 $1.59 2d 1 1.47mi
224 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,025 $1.52 2d 1 1.47mi
225 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,125 $1.59 2d 1 1.48mi
226 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,125 $1.59 2d 1 1.48mi
227 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,025 $1.52 2d 1 1.48mi
228 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,125 $1.59 2d 1 1.48mi
229 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,025 $1.52 2d 1 1.48mi
230 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,025 $1.52 2d 1 1.49mi
231 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,125 $1.59 2d 1 1.49mi
232 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,025 $1.52 2d 1 1.49mi
233 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,125 $1.59 2d 1 1.49mi
234 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,125 $1.59 2d 1 1.49mi
235 Winding Chestnut Dr Columbia, SC 3.0 2.5 1335 $2,025 $1.52 2d 1 1.50mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$14 · $168/yr

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    statusdays on market $220,000 Pending 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $220,000 Active - Contingent 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $220,000 Active - Contingent 16 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $220,000 Active - Contingent 15 DOM
  5. 2026-05-20
    historical Active - Contingent
  6. 2026-05-16
    listed $220,000 Active
  7. 2021-12-30
    soldstatus $190,000
  8. 2021-11-16
    historical
  9. 2021-11-12
    listed $165,000 Active
  10. 2015-08-31
    soldstatus $113,500
  11. 2011-11-09
    soldstatus $114,500
  12. 2005-08-31
    soldstatus $107,000
  13. 2000-02-29
    soldstatus $94,500
  14. 1998-05-27
    soldstatus $38,400
  15. 1998-03-10
    soldstatus $17,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,403 · $117/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,403 · $117/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,321
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$1,403
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,946
− Management
−$1,946
− HOA
−$168
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$965
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$232
After-tax cash flow
$2,929/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lexington 05
NCES district ID
4502820
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$67,732
Composite
45.28/100
National rank
#2656
State rank
#5 of 80 in SC

Livability — Columbia

Score
78/100
State rank
#18
US rank
#2436

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Richland County · 389,530 people
City population
335,994
Metro
Columbia, SC
Population (ZIP)
38,201
Household income
$91,973
Rent vs Own
19.4% rent · 80.6% own
Severe rent burden
962.0

Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
459,667 people
By 2030
487,524 · +6.1%
By 2040
542,035 · +17.9%
By 2050
595,371 · +29.5%
By 2075
732,998 · +59.5%
By 2100
820,415 · +78.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 26% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 4% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richland

2024 margin
Solid D (+34.6) · D 66.4% · R 31.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+5.7pp toward D · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 34.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+34.6 2020: D+38.3 2016: D+32.9 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+28.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -130.57%
Current HPI
204.0147
Rent YoY
▲ 0.78%
Metro
Columbia, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1194.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Contingent Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-05-16 Listed $220,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2021-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
  • 2021-11-16 Delisted Consolidated MLS
  • 2021-11-12 Listed $165,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2015-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $113,500 Public Records
  • 2011-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $114,500 Public Records
  • 2005-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $107,000 Public Records
  • 2000-02-29 Sold (Public Records) $94,500 Public Records
  • 1998-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $38,400 Public Records
  • 1998-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,403 · -74.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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