Duplex
146 Union St · Manchester, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.1/30.0
- ARV discount +8.9/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$419,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Like new, side by side! Newer roof and windows, gleaming hardwood floors, new kitchen. Flat lot w/ storage shed. Separate parking. This property is a pleasure to show. Nothing to be done. You'll love this one!
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- 4 parking spots
- Built 1962
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking and driveway; Total 4 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Above-ground propane tank
- Home design: Multi-family property (2-family); Frame construction; Grey exterior
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Aluminum siding; Concrete foundation
- Exterior features: Level lot with water view; Gutters; Private paved driveway
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms total (across both units)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating system; Propane-fueled heat; Electric hot water
- Interior features: 10 total rooms; Full, unfinished basement; Attic with hatch access; Two-unit multi-family layout (2 units, 10 total rooms)
- Laundry & utility: Separate basement laundry hookups for each unit; Basement hook-ups provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.8-bath units multifamily listed at $420k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $754 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $377/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $420k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.7% in Manchester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#59 in CT, #3,580 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- Manchester School District (suburban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #130 of 153 in CT (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Waddell School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #318 of 553 statewide, top 60%, 461 students, 53% FRL); Illing Middle School (math 18% / reading 35%, grade F, #151 of 175 statewide, top 87%, 846 students, 58% FRL); Manchester High School (math 26% / reading 47%, grade F, #118 of 194 statewide, top 61%, 1,673 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,740/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($92k/yr) (locally 730% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $118k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $226k; list at $420k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.70%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $433,440
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 Union St | 0.13mi | 6/4.0 | 2,408 (-4%) | 3mo | $555,000 | $230 | 76 |
| 17 North St | 0.34mi | 5/3.5 (-1) | 2,672 (+6%) | 3mo | $360,000 | $135 | 61 |
| 80 Westerly St | 0.74mi | 6/3.0 | 2,640 (+5%) | 7mo | $455,000 | $172 | 48 |
| 74 Westerly St | 0.73mi | 6/5.0 | 2,562 (+2%) | 5mo | $440,000 | $172 | 47 |
| 66 Westerly St | 0.72mi | 6/3.0 | 2,748 (+9%) | 5mo | $460,000 | $167 | 43 |
| 86 Westerly St | 0.74mi | 6/3.0 | 2,748 (+9%) | 6mo | $440,000 | $160 | 41 |
| 180 Hilliard St | 0.67mi | 6/3.0 | 2,204 (-12%) | 7mo | $401,000 | $182 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-11,130
- Equity at exit
- $62,608
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $89,889
- Equity at exit
- $36,305
Cash invested: $117,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06042
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 14.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,740 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,202
- Tax from tax record
- −$613 /mo · $7,359/yr
- Insurance
- −$175
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$995
- Net cashflow
- $754
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $992 | -5% $873 | +0% $754 | +5% $636 | +10% $517 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $380 | -5% $567 | +0% $754 | +5% $942 | +10% $1,129 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $966 | -0.5pp $861 | base $754 | +0.5pp $646 | +1.0pp $535 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1.8 | $4,740 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.8 | $2,370 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.8 | $2,370 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,740 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $104,975
- Closing costs
- $12,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-01status Under Contract
-
2026-04-25$419,900 Active
-
2012-02-23soldstatus $225,500 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Like new, side by side! Newer roof and windows, gleaming hardwood floors, new kitchen. Flat lot w/ storage shed. Separate parking. This property is a pleasure to show. Nothing to be done. You'll love this one!
-
2012-02-23soldstatus $225,510
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Like new, side by side! Newer roof and windows, gleaming hardwood floors, new kitchen. Flat lot w/ storage shed. Separate parking. This property is a pleasure to show. Nothing to be done. You'll love this one!
-
2012-01-02$224,900 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Like new, side by side! Newer roof and windows, gleaming hardwood floors, new kitchen. Flat lot w/ storage shed. Separate parking. This property is a pleasure to show. Nothing to be done. You'll love this one!
-
2012-01-01historical
-
2011-07-01$249,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,359 · $613/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,172 · $681/mo
- Expected delta
- +$813/yr (+$68/mo · 11.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $56,880
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,521
- − Property taxes
- −$7,359
- − Insurance
- −$2,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,550
- − Management
- −$4,550
- − Depreciation
- −$12,215
- Taxable income
- $2,584
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$620
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,432/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manchester School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902310
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,391
- Composite
- 24.54/100
- National rank
- #7643
- State rank
- #130 of 153 in CT
Livability — Manchester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #59
- US rank
- #3580
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hartford County · 754,208 people
- City population
- 59,635
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,822
- Household income
- $91,892
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 730.0
Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 1,063,519
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Asian 14% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 6% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 7% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Capitol
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.15%
- Current HPI
- 196.8782
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.80%
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+68.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-25 Listed $419,900 Smart MLS
- 2012-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $225,510 Public Records
- 2012-02-23 Sold (MLS) $225,500 Smart MLS
- 2012-01-02 Listed $224,900 Smart MLS
- 2012-01-01 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2011-07-01 Listed $249,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $7,359 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…