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146 Union St Duplex
C Composite 58.19
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.9/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$419,900

146 Union St · Manchester, CT 06042
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,520 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1962 0.28 ac lot Est $433k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Like new, side by side! Newer roof and windows, gleaming hardwood floors, new kitchen. Flat lot w/ storage shed. Separate parking. This property is a pleasure to show. Nothing to be done. You'll love this one!

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • 4 parking spots
  • Built 1962

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking and driveway; Total 4 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Above-ground propane tank
  • Home design: Multi-family property (2-family); Frame construction; Grey exterior
  • Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Aluminum siding; Concrete foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot with water view; Gutters; Private paved driveway

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms total (across both units)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating system; Propane-fueled heat; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: 10 total rooms; Full, unfinished basement; Attic with hatch access; Two-unit multi-family layout (2 units, 10 total rooms)
  • Laundry & utility: Separate basement laundry hookups for each unit; Basement hook-ups provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.8-bath units multifamily listed at $420k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $754 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $377/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $420k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.7% in Manchester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#59 in CT, #3,580 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
  • Manchester School District (suburban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #130 of 153 in CT (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Waddell School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #318 of 553 statewide, top 60%, 461 students, 53% FRL); Illing Middle School (math 18% / reading 35%, grade F, #151 of 175 statewide, top 87%, 846 students, 58% FRL); Manchester High School (math 26% / reading 47%, grade F, #118 of 194 statewide, top 61%, 1,673 students, 52% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,740/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($92k/yr) (locally 730% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $118k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $226k; list at $420k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $419,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
8.45%
Cash-on-cash
7.70%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$433,440
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
99 Union St 0.13mi 6/4.0 2,408 (-4%) 3mo $555,000 $230 76
17 North St 0.34mi 5/3.5 (-1) 2,672 (+6%) 3mo $360,000 $135 61
80 Westerly St 0.74mi 6/3.0 2,640 (+5%) 7mo $455,000 $172 48
74 Westerly St 0.73mi 6/5.0 2,562 (+2%) 5mo $440,000 $172 47
66 Westerly St 0.72mi 6/3.0 2,748 (+9%) 5mo $460,000 $167 43
86 Westerly St 0.74mi 6/3.0 2,748 (+9%) 6mo $440,000 $160 41
180 Hilliard St 0.67mi 6/3.0 2,204 (-12%) 7mo $401,000 $182 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.8% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-11,130
Equity at exit
$62,608
10-year hold
IRR
9.2%
Equity multiple
1.76×
Total profit
$89,889
Equity at exit
$36,305

Cash invested: $117,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06042

Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
14.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,740 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,202
Tax from tax record
$613 /mo · $7,359/yr
Insurance
$175
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$995
Net cashflow
$754

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,785
Max offer price $419,900
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $992 -5% $873 +0% $754 +5% $636 +10% $517
Rent -10% $380 -5% $567 +0% $754 +5% $942 +10% $1,129
Rate -1.0pp $966 -0.5pp $861 base $754 +0.5pp $646 +1.0pp $535

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,740

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$104,975
Closing costs
$12,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-04-25
    listed $419,900 Active
  3. 2012-02-23
    soldstatus $225,500 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    Like new, side by side! Newer roof and windows, gleaming hardwood floors, new kitchen. Flat lot w/ storage shed. Separate parking. This property is a pleasure to show. Nothing to be done. You'll love this one!

  4. 2012-02-23
    soldstatus $225,510
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    Like new, side by side! Newer roof and windows, gleaming hardwood floors, new kitchen. Flat lot w/ storage shed. Separate parking. This property is a pleasure to show. Nothing to be done. You'll love this one!

  5. 2012-01-02
    listed $224,900 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    Like new, side by side! Newer roof and windows, gleaming hardwood floors, new kitchen. Flat lot w/ storage shed. Separate parking. This property is a pleasure to show. Nothing to be done. You'll love this one!

  6. 2012-01-01
    historical
  7. 2011-07-01
    listed $249,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,359 · $613/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,172 · $681/mo
Expected delta
+$813/yr (+$68/mo · 11.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$56,880
− Mortgage interest
−$23,521
− Property taxes
−$7,359
− Insurance
−$2,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,550
− Management
−$4,550
− Depreciation
−$12,215
Taxable income
$2,584
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$620
After-tax cash flow
$8,432/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manchester School District
NCES district ID
0902310
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$63,391
Composite
24.54/100
National rank
#7643
State rank
#130 of 153 in CT

Livability — Manchester

Score
76/100
State rank
#59
US rank
#3580

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A- Crime B+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Hartford County · 754,208 people
City population
59,635
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
23,822
Household income
$91,892
Rent vs Own
39.4% rent · 60.6% own
Severe rent burden
730.0

Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
1,063,519

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Asian 14% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 6% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 7% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Capitol

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.15%
Current HPI
196.8782
Rent YoY
▲ 4.80%
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+68.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $419,900 Smart MLS
  • 2012-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $225,510 Public Records
  • 2012-02-23 Sold (MLS) $225,500 Smart MLS
  • 2012-01-02 Listed $224,900 Smart MLS
  • 2012-01-01 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2011-07-01 Listed $249,900 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,359 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…