500 Elm Dr #203 · Paradise, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Furnished upstairs condo just moments from the world-famous Las Vegas Strip and directly adjacent to the Las Vegas Convention Center. Perfectly positioned in the heart of Las Vegas, this gated community offers easy access to world-class dining, shopping, entertainment, and major resorts including Wynn, Encore, and Resorts World. This spacious upstairs unit features soaring vaulted ceilings and an expansive loft-style primary bedroom with a private bathroom measuring approximately 22x13. With 308 additional square feet compared to lower-level units, the open layout offers exceptional space and flexibility. Enjoy relaxing pool views from the private balcony, covered parking, and a prime locat
Key facts
- $185 HOA
- Parking
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Association pool (community)
- HOA & community: PARADISE COLONY HOA; Monthly HOA fee; HOA fee covers association management, insurance, grounds maintenance, trash and water; Association amenities include gated access, barbecue and pool
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Covered parking; Detached 1-car carport; Guest parking
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Underground utilities; Public water; Public sewer; No photovoltaics
- Home design: Multi-family property; 1 story; Resale condition; Property faces east; Has attached unit
- Construction: Tile roof; Drywall construction
- Exterior features: Balcony; Desert landscaping; Landscaped grounds; Less than quarter acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Breakfast bar/counter; Laminate countertops; Track lighting; Electric range
- Bedrooms: 2 possible bedrooms; Upstairs bedroom with ceiling fan, closet and loft
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air (electric) — two units; Electric heating with multiple heating units; Wall furnace
- Interior features: Furnished; Ceiling fan(s); Skylights; Pot rack; Window treatments; Blinds; Drapes; Double-pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $153k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#10 in NV, #3,494 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A-, cost of living B; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime D-.
- Clark County School District (urban): math 21% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 17 in NV (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.4%/yr); 178 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 51% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 14,754 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (2,301 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,650/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 2744% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $76k; list at $155k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.37%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-17,527
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-17,817
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89169
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Rents YoY
- -4.4%
- Active inventory
- 178
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,650 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $561/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$185
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$347
- Net cashflow
- $194
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3550 Paradise Rd Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 947 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 44d | 20 | 0.11mi |
| 3776 Howard Hughes Pkwy Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1548 | $2,357 | $1.52 | 2d | 9 | 0.23mi |
| 595 S Royal Crest Cir #18 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,575 | $1.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3930 Paradise Rd Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 999 | $2,241 | $2.24 | 3d | 87 | 0.28mi |
| 3930 University Center Dr Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1200 | $1,725 | $1.44 | 44d | 2 | 0.60mi |
| 818 E Flamingo Rd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1158 | $1,395 | $1.20 | 2d | 34 | 0.63mi |
| 260 E Flamingo Rd Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $2,475 | $2.43 | 3d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 260 E Flamingo Rd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 881 | $1,600 | $1.82 | 44d | 4 | 0.67mi |
| 260 E Flamingo Rd Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $2,372 | $2.33 | 24d | 2 | 0.67mi |
| 230 E Flamingo Rd #335 Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 1.0 | 727 | $1,600 | $2.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 350 E Desert Inn Rd Unit H203 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.5 | 849 | $1,725 | $2.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 270 E Flamingo Rd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 877 | $1,695 | $1.93 | 44d | 7 | 0.70mi |
| 900 E Desert Inn Rd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1077 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 44d | 5 | 0.72mi |
| 210 E Flamingo Rd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 833 | $1,795 | $2.15 | 44d | 6 | 0.72mi |
| 220 E Flamingo Rd #229 Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 1.0 | 692 | $2,195 | $3.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 220 E Flamingo Rd #229 Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 1.0 | 692 | $2,195 | $3.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 220 E Flamingo Rd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 863 | $1,595 | $1.85 | 44d | 7 | 0.76mi |
| 1061 E Flamingo Rd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 967 | $1,117 | $1.15 | 15d | 35 | 0.94mi |
| 2831 Geary Pl #2909 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $1,899 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2000 Fashion Show Dr Unit 1501424P Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 1.0 | 592 | $5,942 | $10.04 | 2d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 205 E Harmon Ave Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1182 | $1,650 | $1.40 | 44d | 5 | 1.19mi |
| 1601 E Katie Ave Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 809 | $1,325 | $1.64 | 44d | 13 | 1.22mi |
| 2700 Las Vegas Blvd S Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1283 | $2,792 | $2.18 | 12d | 4 | 1.23mi |
| 2700 Las Vegas Blvd S Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1226 | $2,200 | $1.79 | 18d | 4 | 1.23mi |
| 322 Karen Ave Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1109 | $2,240 | $2.02 | 3d | 3 | 1.24mi |
| 322 Karen Ave Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1109 | $2,250 | $2.03 | 4d | 3 | 1.24mi |
| 222 Karen Ave #1004 Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 1.5 | 814 | $2,300 | $2.83 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 222 Karen Ave #1105 Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 1.5 | 814 | $1,990 | $2.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 222 Karen Ave #306 Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 2.0 | 814 | $2,300 | $2.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 222 Karen Ave #3203 Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 2.0 | 814 | $2,500 | $3.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 222 Karen Ave #2904 Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 1.5 | 814 | $2,200 | $2.70 | 2d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 222 Karen Ave #3005 Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 1.5 | 814 | $2,400 | $2.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4674 Monterey Cir #1 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1700 E Viking Rd Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,662 | $1.53 | 44d | 3 | 1.30mi |
| 145 E Harmon Ave Unit 1332448P Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 1.0 | 548 | $3,796 | $6.93 | 2d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 511 E Sahara Ave Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,195 | $1.33 | 44d | 3 | 1.41mi |
| 3700 Las Vegas Blvd S #672 Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 1.0 | 606 | $2,500 | $4.13 | 8d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $185 · $2,220/yr
- Likely covers
- gaspoolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $155,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$155,000 Active
-
2026-05-18historical $155,000
-
2004-07-13soldstatus $76,000
-
1985-11-26soldstatus $52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $561 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $914 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- +$353/yr (+$29/mo · 63.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$561
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,584
- − Management
- −$1,584
- − HOA
- −$2,220
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$116
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$28
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,360/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clark County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200060
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,611
- Composite
- 26.48/100
- National rank
- #7211
- State rank
- #11 of 17 in NV
Livability — Paradise
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #10
- US rank
- #3494
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paradise, NV
- County
- Clark County · 2,306,105 people
- City population
- 227,885
- Metro
- Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,171
- Household income
- $40,904
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2744.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,504,101 people
- By 2030
- 2,693,770 · +7.6%
- By 2040
- 3,061,208 · +22.2%
- By 2050
- 3,400,072 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 4,139,522 · +65.3%
- By 2100
- 4,596,916 · +83.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 33% White 30% Black 23% Two or more races 13% Asian 9% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21% Cuban 5%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 27% Tagalog/Filipino 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 47.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+10.7 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -136.91%
- Current HPI
- 272.6449
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.43%
- Metro
- Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
+198.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $155,000 GLVAR
- 2026-05-18 Coming Soon $155,000 GLVAR
- 2004-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
- 1985-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $561 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…