1000 Mallery Street Ext Unit B5 · St. Simons, GA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.54%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$310,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Mallery Villas B5 located on the South end of St Simons Island, great location to access restaurants, shopping, and the beach. This unit features a powder room, dining area, kitchen and living room on the main level as well as a screened in rear porch, upstairs you will find 2 bedrooms and a bathroom along with laundry.
Key facts
- Kitchen
- Living room
- Dining area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $310k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $310k).
- Recommended offer: $273k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 1.7% in St. Simons — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Glynn County (other): math 37% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #47 of 174 in GA (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: St. Simons Elementary School (math 64% / reading 57%, grade B-, #123 of 1,228 statewide, top 10%, 523 students, 48% FRL); Glynn Middle (math 42% / reading 58%, grade C, #68 of 470 statewide, top 15%, 815 students, 51% FRL); Glynn Academy (math 45% / reading 42%, grade F, #50 of 424 statewide, top 12%, 1,823 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 579 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 734 units permitted in Glynn County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($109k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Glynn County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 311 days — a 12% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $225k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 311 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.66%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $353,515
- List price
- $310,500
- Delta
- -12.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-40,258
- Equity at exit
- $46,297
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-28,224
- Equity at exit
- $26,846
Cash invested: $86,940 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31522
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 579
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,291 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,628
- Tax from tax record
- −$255 /mo · $3,055/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$395
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$691
- Net cashflow
- $193
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $369 | -5% $281 | +0% $193 | +5% $105 | +10% $17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-67 | -5% $63 | +0% $193 | +5% $323 | +10% $453 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $349 | -0.5pp $272 | base $193 | +0.5pp $112 | +1.0pp $30 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,625
- Closing costs
- $9,315
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 372 Moss Oak Cir St Simons Island, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $4,250 | $3.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1704 Frederica Rd #426 Saint Simons Island, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,150 | $1.87 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 122 Shady Brook Cir #100 Saint Simons Island, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $4,950 | $3.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $395 · $4,740/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $310,500 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $310,500 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $310,500 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $310,500 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $310,500 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $310,500 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $310,500 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $310,500 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $310,500 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $310,500 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $310,500 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $310,500 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $310,500 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $310,500 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $310,500 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $310,500 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $310,500 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $310,500 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $310,500 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-04-08price $319,500 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Mallery Villas B5 located on the South end of St Simons Island, great location to access restaurants, shopping, and the beach. This unit features a powder room, dining area, kitchen and living room on the main level as well as a screened in rear porch, upstairs you will find 2 bedrooms and a bathroom along with laundry.
-
2026-02-28historical
-
2026-01-05price $334,500
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Mallery Villas B5 located on the South end of St Simons Island, great location to access restaurants, shopping, and the beach. This unit features a powder room, dining area, kitchen and living room on the main level as well as a screened in rear porch, upstairs you will find 2 bedrooms and a bathroom along with laundry.
-
2026-01-05price $334,500 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Mallery Villas B5 located on the South end of St Simons Island, great location to access restaurants, shopping, and the beach. This unit features a powder room, dining area, kitchen and living room on the main level as well as a screened in rear porch, upstairs you will find 2 bedrooms and a bathroom along with laundry.
-
2025-08-15$339,500 Active 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Mallery Villas B5 located on the South end of St Simons Island, great location to access restaurants, shopping, and the beach. This unit features a powder room, dining area, kitchen and living room on the main level as well as a screened in rear porch, upstairs you will find 2 bedrooms and a bathroom along with laundry.
-
2025-08-13$339,500 New
-
2021-10-28soldstatus $224,900
-
2021-10-27soldstatus $224,900
-
2021-09-13$224,900
-
2004-09-30soldstatus $129,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,055 · $255/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,055 · $255/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 54% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,495
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,393
- − Property taxes
- −$3,055
- − Insurance
- −$1,552
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,160
- − Management
- −$3,160
- − HOA
- −$4,740
- − Depreciation
- −$9,033
- Taxable loss
- −$2,598
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$623
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,937/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Glynn County
- NCES district ID
- 1302400
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,554
- Composite
- 33.83/100
- National rank
- #5359
- State rank
- #47 of 174 in GA
Livability — St. Simons
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Simons, GA
- County
- Glynn County · 69,019 people
- Metro
- Brunswick, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,780
- Household income
- $108,632
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 339.0
Population outlook (Glynn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 91,404 people
- By 2030
- 94,806 · +3.7%
- By 2040
- 100,060 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 103,258 · +13.0%
- By 2075
- 107,970 · +18.1%
- By 2100
- 103,363 · +13.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Italian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Glynn
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.0) · D 36.8% · R 62.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.6pp toward R · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -26.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.0 2020: R+23.2 2016: R+28.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -564.58%
- Current HPI
- 191.6942
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.26%
- Metro
- Brunswick, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+147.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $319,500 GIAR
- 2026-02-28 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $334,500 GAMLS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $334,500 GIAR
- 2025-08-15 Listed $339,500 GIAR
- 2025-08-13 Listed $339,500 GAMLS
- 2021-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $224,900 Public Records
- 2021-10-27 Sold (MLS) $224,900 GIAR
- 2021-09-13 Listed $224,900 GIAR
- 2004-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $129,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,055 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…