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22 W Airport Rd 🔨 Auction
D Composite 42.87
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1

22 W Airport Rd · Milan, TN 38358
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,777 sqft · SingleFamily · 15 Days on market
Built 1910 21 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This online-only auction features a house and 2.101 +/- acre Tract and 18.835 +/- acre Tract that offers an excellent opportunity for investors, renovators, or anyone seeking acreage in a rural setting. The property features a fixer-upper home with plenty of potential for restoration and remodeling to suit your needs. Whether you're looking for a project property or a tract of land with multiple possibilities, this is an opportunity you won't want to miss. Online Only Real Estate Auction ending June 23rd at 7:00 PM! Bid online from anywhere and purchase at your price subject to auction terms and conditions. Survey on file.

Key facts

  • Fixer-upper home
  • 18.835 acre tract
  • 2.101 acre tract

Tags

2.101 ACRE TRACT18.835 ACRE TRACTFIXER-UPPER HOMERURAL SETTINGPROJECT PROPERTYTRACT OF LAND

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property sits on approximately 20.94 acres (house on ~2.101 acres plus an additional tract of ~18.835 acres); Road frontage on a county road
  • Financial info:
  • HOA & community:

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking for 1 vehicle
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Single family residence; One and one-half levels; 1 story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Partial chain-link fencing; Secluded, wooded, pasture/farm-like lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Ceiling fan cooling available
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen
  • Laundry & utility:

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $1 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $1 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $957 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#78 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Trenton (town): math 24% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #99 of 139 in TN (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Gibson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $0 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $0 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gibson County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
121184.00%
Cap rate
1148822.32%
Cash-on-cash
4102914.38%
DSCR
182557.60
GRM
0.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
217829.72×
Total profit
$60,992
Equity at exit
$0
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
470353.65×
Total profit
$131,699
Equity at exit
$0

Cash invested: $0 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 38358

Home prices YoY
-24.4%
Active inventory
81

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,212 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$0
Tax est. 1.5%
$0 /mo · $0/yr
Insurance
$0
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$957

Break-even live

Break-even rent
Max offer price $1
Occupancy floor 16%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$0
Closing costs
$0
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $1 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    remarks 630-char remark
  12. 2026-06-04
    listed $1 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,542
− Mortgage interest
−$0
− Property taxes
−$0
− Insurance
−$0
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,163
− Management
−$1,163
− Depreciation
−$0
Taxable income
$12,215
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,932
After-tax cash flow
$8,557/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Trenton
NCES district ID
4704100
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$33,930
Composite
19.7/100
National rank
#8723
State rank
#99 of 139 in TN

Livability — Milan

Score
68/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#9084

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
12,511
Population (ZIP)
12,511

Population outlook (Gibson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,793 people
By 2030
48,221 · -1.2%
By 2040
46,793 · -4.1%
By 2050
44,909 · -8.0%
By 2075
40,191 · -17.6%
By 2100
33,574 · -31.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 17% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Gibson

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.6% · R 75.5%
2008→2024 swing
-23.2pp toward R · 2008: -28.8pp · 2024: -52.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.0 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+32.1 2008: R+28.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.28%
Current HPI
208.8671
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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