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1602 Hovington Cir
D Composite 40.72
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.0/10.0

$175,000

1602 Hovington Cir · Sun City Center, FL 33573
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,314 sqft · Condo public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1983 $690/mo HOA · 36% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Back on the market! Is this the one for you? 2-bed, 2-bath condo with attached carport and GOLF CART GARAGE now for sale in amenity-rich 55+ community of Kings Point! Enjoy a peaceful view and NO BACKYARD NEIGHBOR from the COVERED & SCREENED LANAI looking out over the retired golf course turned conservation area. Enter through the COVERED & SCREENED FRONT PORCH to the foyer with its convenient coat closet. The kitchen boasts GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, SOLID WOOD CABINETRY, a small breakfast bar, and connects to the dining room with CHAIR RAIL feature! The BUILT-IN SHELVING in the living room is any book lover's or collector's dream, and the ample Family Room provides even further entertaining space. The Primary Bedroom includes a WALK-IN CLOSET and EN-SUITE BATHROOM complete with shower stall and single sink vanity! The secondary bedroom is across from the Laundry Closet and accessed by a pocket door, and the secondary bathroom features a single sink vanity and tub/shower combination. Kings Point is a bustling gated and golf cart friendly community known for a myriad of recreation facilities, indoor/outdoor heated pools, a state-of-the art fitness center, arts, crafts, tennis, pickle-ball, lawn bowling, auditorium with 800+ seating and over 200 clubs & activities. Don't miss this great opportunity; schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Utility room
  • Florida room
  • Screened lanai

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGFLORIDA ROOMSCREENED LANAIGOLF COURSE VIEWSUTILITY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Senior community; Condo land not included
  • Financial info: Total monthly fees $690; Total annual fees $8,280; Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Monthly condo fee $690; Association: Vesta Property Services (Kings Point/Vesta Property Services); Association approval required; Association amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, pool, spa/hot tub, tennis courts, pickleball courts, shuffleboard, golf, dog park, community mailbox, gated access

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Security: Gated community; 24-hour guard; Community security
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable connected; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Residential condominium; One story; Faces west; Floor 1
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of building number 1602
  • Exterior features: Rain gutters; Irrigation equipment; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Solid surface counters; Stone counters
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry; Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-179 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (18.1% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#178 in FL, #2,736 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 602 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $110k; list at $175k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $143,328 (18.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
5.06%
Cash-on-cash
-4.39%
DSCR
0.80
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.0%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-40,119
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-19.9%
Equity multiple
-0.04×
Total profit
$-51,039
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33573

Home prices YoY
-1.2%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
602
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,941 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$32 /mo · $388/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$690
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$408
Net cashflow
$-179

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,168
Max offer price $143,328
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-80 -5% $-130 +0% $-179 +5% $-229 +10% $-278
Rent -10% $-333 -5% $-256 +0% $-179 +5% $-103 +10% $-26
Rate -1.0pp $-91 -0.5pp $-135 base $-179 +0.5pp $-225 +1.0pp $-271

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2117 Harleston Pl Unit 2117 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1448 $2,500 $1.73 24d 1 0.14mi
1326 Idlewood Dr Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1642 $1,750 $1.07 16d 1 0.20mi
2124 Hailstone Cir Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 24d 1 0.21mi
2006 Hampstead Cir Unit N/A Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1474 $1,800 $1.22 24d 1 0.25mi
2102 Hereford Dr #513 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 24d 1 0.34mi
1415 Langley Dr Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1359 $1,850 $1.36 24d 1 0.44mi
2345 Glenmore Cir Unit 294 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 984 $1,500 $1.52 24d 1 0.52mi
110 Gloucester Blvd Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1136 $1,950 $1.72 24d 1 0.56mi
704 Tremont Greens Ln Unit 107 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 974 $1,700 $1.75 24d 1 0.76mi
2202 Clubhouse Dr #169 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 984 $1,450 $1.47 5d 1 0.78mi
822 McCallister Ave Unit 822 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1564 $1,975 $1.26 22d 1 0.80mi
323 Knottwood Ct Sun City Center, FL 1.0 1.0 908 $1,290 $1.42 24d 1 0.81mi
323 Knottwood Ct #1 Sun City Center, FL 1.0 1.0 908 $1,090 $1.20 5d 1 0.81mi
301 Kings Blvd #138 Sun City Center, FL 1.0 1.5 1020 $1,800 $1.76 22d 1 0.87mi
101 Cambridge Trl Sun City Center, FL 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.0 880 $1,650 $1.88 12d 1 0.87mi
3402 Salt Air Dr Ruskin, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1061 $1,977 $1.86 2d 44 0.94mi
3794 Maxwell Park Dr Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1506 $2,600 $1.73 4d 1 0.94mi
409 Feltham Trl Unit B Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 984 $1,650 $1.68 24d 1 1.02mi
403 Finchley Ct Unit B Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 960 $2,000 $2.08 24d 1 1.08mi
201 Bedford Trl Unit F128 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 960 $1,275 $1.33 24d 1 1.09mi
306 Fowling Ct Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 960 $1,700 $1.77 24d 1 1.14mi
1201 Fordham Dr Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1582 $1,950 $1.23 18d 1 1.17mi
3119 Sleepy River Ave Ruskin, FL 3.0 2.5 1421 $2,233 $1.57 2d 9 1.20mi
1161 Jameson Greens Dr Sun City Center, FL 3.0 2.0 1292 $1,900 $1.47 24d 1 1.20mi
1802 Bedford Ln Sun City Center, FL 1.0–2.0 2.0 952 $1,800 $1.89 11d 2 1.24mi
1802 Bedford Ter #182 Sun City Center, FL 1.0 1.5 960 $1,375 $1.43 22d 1 1.24mi
1237 Corinth Greens Dr #40 Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1610 $1,500 $0.93 21d 1 1.33mi
1703 Amhurst Cir Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1550 $1,995 $1.29 5d 1 1.36mi
1256 Corinth Greens Dr Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1450 $2,150 $1.48 15d 1 1.40mi
2068 Sifield Greens Way Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1414 $2,200 $1.56 24d 1 1.48mi
1528 Chevy Chase Dr Sun City Center, FL 2.0 2.0 1346 $2,000 $1.49 24d 1 1.48mi
1103 Villeroy Dr Sun City Center, FL 3.0 2.0 1490 $2,500 $1.68 11d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$690 · $8,280/yr
Likely covers
poolgymsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $175,000 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-04
    listed $175,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$388 · $32/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,452 · $121/mo
Expected delta
+$1,064/yr (+$89/mo · 274.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,297
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$388
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,864
− Management
−$1,864
− HOA
−$8,280
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$4,868
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,168
After-tax cash flow
$-983/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Sun City Center

Score
78/100
State rank
#178
US rank
#2736

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living B+ Crime B+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sun City Center, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
City population
35,362
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,362
Household income
$72,834
Rent vs Own
17.3% rent · 82.7% own
Severe rent burden
1382.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Black 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.27%
Current HPI
272.9767
Rent YoY
▲ 2.65%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+182.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $175,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2026-04-14 Sold (MLS) $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-31 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-06 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-31 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $165,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1993-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 1983-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $61,900 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $388 · +13.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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