1602 Hovington Cir · Sun City Center, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Appreciation +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Back on the market! Is this the one for you? 2-bed, 2-bath condo with attached carport and GOLF CART GARAGE now for sale in amenity-rich 55+ community of Kings Point! Enjoy a peaceful view and NO BACKYARD NEIGHBOR from the COVERED & SCREENED LANAI looking out over the retired golf course turned conservation area. Enter through the COVERED & SCREENED FRONT PORCH to the foyer with its convenient coat closet. The kitchen boasts GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, SOLID WOOD CABINETRY, a small breakfast bar, and connects to the dining room with CHAIR RAIL feature! The BUILT-IN SHELVING in the living room is any book lover's or collector's dream, and the ample Family Room provides even further entertaining space. The Primary Bedroom includes a WALK-IN CLOSET and EN-SUITE BATHROOM complete with shower stall and single sink vanity! The secondary bedroom is across from the Laundry Closet and accessed by a pocket door, and the secondary bathroom features a single sink vanity and tub/shower combination. Kings Point is a bustling gated and golf cart friendly community known for a myriad of recreation facilities, indoor/outdoor heated pools, a state-of-the art fitness center, arts, crafts, tennis, pickle-ball, lawn bowling, auditorium with 800+ seating and over 200 clubs & activities. Don't miss this great opportunity; schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Utility room
- Florida room
- Screened lanai
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Senior community; Condo land not included
- Financial info: Total monthly fees $690; Total annual fees $8,280; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly condo fee $690; Association: Vesta Property Services (Kings Point/Vesta Property Services); Association approval required; Association amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, pool, spa/hot tub, tennis courts, pickleball courts, shuffleboard, golf, dog park, community mailbox, gated access
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Security: Gated community; 24-hour guard; Community security
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable connected; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Residential condominium; One story; Faces west; Floor 1
- Construction: Stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of building number 1602
- Exterior features: Rain gutters; Irrigation equipment; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Solid surface counters; Stone counters
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry; Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-179 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (18.1% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#178 in FL, #2,736 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 602 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $175k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.39%
- DSCR
- 0.80
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-40,119
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -19.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.04×
- Total profit
- $-51,039
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33573
- Home prices YoY
- -1.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 602
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,941 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $388/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$690
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$408
- Net cashflow
- $-179
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-80 | -5% $-130 | +0% $-179 | +5% $-229 | +10% $-278 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-333 | -5% $-256 | +0% $-179 | +5% $-103 | +10% $-26 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-91 | -0.5pp $-135 | base $-179 | +0.5pp $-225 | +1.0pp $-271 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2117 Harleston Pl Unit 2117 Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $2,500 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1326 Idlewood Dr Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1642 | $1,750 | $1.07 | 16d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2124 Hailstone Cir Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2006 Hampstead Cir Unit N/A Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2102 Hereford Dr #513 Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1415 Langley Dr Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1359 | $1,850 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2345 Glenmore Cir Unit 294 Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 110 Gloucester Blvd Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $1,950 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 704 Tremont Greens Ln Unit 107 Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 974 | $1,700 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2202 Clubhouse Dr #169 Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,450 | $1.47 | 5d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 822 McCallister Ave Unit 822 Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $1,975 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 323 Knottwood Ct Sun City Center, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $1,290 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 323 Knottwood Ct #1 Sun City Center, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $1,090 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 301 Kings Blvd #138 Sun City Center, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1020 | $1,800 | $1.76 | 22d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 101 Cambridge Trl Sun City Center, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 880 | $1,650 | $1.88 | 12d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3402 Salt Air Dr Ruskin, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1061 | $1,977 | $1.86 | 2d | 44 | 0.94mi |
| 3794 Maxwell Park Dr Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1506 | $2,600 | $1.73 | 4d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 409 Feltham Trl Unit B Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,650 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 403 Finchley Ct Unit B Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $2,000 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 201 Bedford Trl Unit F128 Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,275 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 306 Fowling Ct Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,700 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1201 Fordham Dr Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1582 | $1,950 | $1.23 | 18d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3119 Sleepy River Ave Ruskin, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $2,233 | $1.57 | 2d | 9 | 1.20mi |
| 1161 Jameson Greens Dr Sun City Center, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $1,900 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1802 Bedford Ln Sun City Center, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $1,800 | $1.89 | 11d | 2 | 1.24mi |
| 1802 Bedford Ter #182 Sun City Center, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,375 | $1.43 | 22d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1237 Corinth Greens Dr #40 Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $1,500 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1703 Amhurst Cir Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,995 | $1.29 | 5d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1256 Corinth Greens Dr Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,150 | $1.48 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2068 Sifield Greens Way Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $2,200 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1528 Chevy Chase Dr Sun City Center, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $2,000 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1103 Villeroy Dr Sun City Center, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $2,500 | $1.68 | 11d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $690 · $8,280/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgymsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-10status $175,000 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-04$175,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $388 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,452 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,064/yr (+$89/mo · 274.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,297
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$388
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,864
- − Management
- −$1,864
- − HOA
- −$8,280
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$4,868
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,168
- After-tax cash flow
- $-983/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sun City Center
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #178
- US rank
- #2736
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sun City Center, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
- City population
- 35,362
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,362
- Household income
- $72,834
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1382.0
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Black 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.27%
- Current HPI
- 272.9767
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.65%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+182.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $175,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2026-04-14 Sold (MLS) $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-31 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-06 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-31 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-20 Listed $165,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1983-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $61,900 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $388 · +13.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…