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510 S Ohio St
B+ Composite 76.61
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$68,500

510 S Ohio St · Humansville, MO 65674
5 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,164 sqft · Other public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1930 0.33 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for your next investment property? Look no further. This property features 5 bedroom 2 bathroom with a detached 2 car garage/ workshop and has so much potential. Other features include tall ceilings, several windows to bring in natural light and a full HVAC system and hot water heater that is approximately 3 years old. This home has so much to offer whether you are looking for your next flip, rental or a place to call home. Schedule your showing today! Home is being sold AS IS

Key facts

  • 0.33 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1930

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $483 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 3.7% in Humansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#209 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Humansville R-IV (rural): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #247 of 324 in MO (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Humansville Elem. (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #850 of 1,115 statewide, top 78%, 177 students, 0% FRL); Humansville Middle School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #189 of 391 statewide, top 51%, 104 students, 0% FRL); Humansville High (math 30% / reading 70%, grade D+, #117 of 521 statewide, top 23%, 87 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 74% district-wide (74 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 188 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($474 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (6.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,445 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
14.76%
Cash-on-cash
30.24%
DSCR
2.35
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.1%
Equity multiple
3.65×
Total profit
$50,738
Equity at exit
$43,266
10-year hold
IRR
38.2%
Equity multiple
7.52×
Total profit
$125,063
Equity at exit
$78,636

Cash invested: $19,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65674

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
42
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,149 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$359
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $440/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$241
Net cashflow
$483

Break-even live

Break-even rent $537
Max offer price $68,500
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,125
Closing costs
$2,055
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $68,500 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $68,500 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $68,500 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $68,500 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    pricedays on market $68,500 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $70,000 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $70,000 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $70,000 Active 16 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 15 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    statusdays on market $70,000 Active 12 DOM
  16. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  17. 2026-04-12
    listed $70,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$440 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$664 · $55/mo
Expected delta
+$224/yr (+$19/mo · 50.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,789
− Mortgage interest
−$3,837
− Property taxes
−$440
− Insurance
−$342
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,103
− Management
−$1,103
− Depreciation
−$1,993
Taxable income
$4,970
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,193
After-tax cash flow
$4,607/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Humansville R-IV
NCES district ID
2915300
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$31,710
Composite
27.32/100
National rank
#6994
State rank
#247 of 324 in MO

Livability — Humansville

Score
67/100
State rank
#209
US rank
#10507

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Humansville, MO
Population (ZIP)
2,760

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,229 people
By 2030
31,227 · +-0.0%
By 2040
31,104 · -0.4%
By 2050
30,553 · -2.2%
By 2075
29,332 · -6.1%
By 2100
26,387 · -15.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 6% German 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.6% · R 80.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-29.5pp toward R · 2008: -32.1pp · 2024: -61.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.6 2020: R+59.5 2016: R+56.9 2012: R+43.2 2008: R+32.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.05%
Current HPI
322.9732
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending SOMO
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $70,000 SOMO

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $440 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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