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2721 Quail Run #5
B- Composite 67.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.7/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

2721 Quail Run #5 · Harlingen, TX 78550
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 780 sqft · Condo · 14 Days on market
Built 1982 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Light and bright 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo located in Treasure Hills. This beautifully updated second-floor unit offers a modern feel throughout, with all appliances conveying. Enjoy a large private balcony, assigned parking, and truly low-maintenance living, featuring a 2-year-old A/C system and a 2-year-old roof for added peace of mind. Ideal for owner-occupants or as an investment property. The HOA fee includes water, sewer, trash, and exterior maintenance. Conveniently located near Treasure Hills Elementary, UTRGV, hospitals, medical facilities, and dining. A great opportunity in a well-established Harlingen community.

Key facts

  • Private balcony
  • Assigned parking
  • Conveniently located

Tags

PRIVATE BALCONYASSIGNED PARKINGLOW MAINTENANCE LIVINGCONVENIENTLY LOCATEDWELL ESTABLISHED COMMUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 3.8% in Harlingen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#217 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, commute F.
  • Harlingen CISD (urban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #647 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 465 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.28%
Cash-on-cash
14.24%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$4,452
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
2.24×
Total profit
$27,667
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78550

Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
465
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,035 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$266

Break-even live

Break-even rent $699
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $321 -5% $293 +0% $266 +5% $238 +10% $210
Rent -10% $184 -5% $225 +0% $266 +5% $306 +10% $347
Rate -1.0pp $306 -0.5pp $286 base $266 +0.5pp $245 +1.0pp $224

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2805 Treasure Hills Blvd Unit 1 Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 1100 $900 $0.82 22d 1 0.05mi
2906 Treasure Hills Blvd Unit D Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 1100 $925 $0.84 44d 1 0.12mi
2906 Treasure Hills Blvd Unit D Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 1100 $950 $0.86 22d 1 0.12mi
2901 Haine Dr Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1111 $1,389 $1.25 14d 1 0.37mi
2020 S 23rd St Harlingen, TX 3.0 1.0 961 $1,200 $1.25 22d 1 0.38mi
1802 Bobcat Ln Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,450 $1.32 14d 1 0.38mi
2901 Haine Dr Apt 108 Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.5 858 $1,129 $1.32 14d 1 0.42mi
2218 Bell St Unit 14 Harlingen, TX 1.0 1.0 620 $625 $1.01 44d 1 0.61mi
2218 Bell St Apt 15 Harlingen, TX 1.0 1.0 620 $625 $1.01 22d 1 0.61mi
1810 Atrium Place Dr Unit 12 Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 788 $1,100 $1.40 44d 1 0.64mi
1802 Atrium Place Dr Unit 3 Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1068 $1,400 $1.31 44d 1 0.66mi
1802 Atrium Place Dr Unit 11 Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 817 $1,150 $1.41 44d 1 0.66mi
1809 Atrium Place Dr Unit 3 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 950 $1,250 $1.32 44d 1 0.71mi
1801 Atrium Place Dr Unit 12 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,295 $1.18 14d 1 0.72mi
1801 Atrium Place Dr Unit 17 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,335 $1.21 44d 1 0.72mi
1608 Sam Houston Dr Harlingen, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 790 $839 $1.06 14d 11 0.74mi
902 S Loop 499 Harlingen, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 971 $995 $1.02 14d 16 0.87mi
1402 Vermont Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 834 $1,050 $1.26 14d 1 0.89mi
1402 Vermont Unit 3 Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1016 $1,200 $1.18 14d 1 0.93mi
2712 E Harrison Ave Unit 4 Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1118 $1,225 $1.10 44d 1 0.95mi
2712 E Harrison Ave Unit 3 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 908 $1,075 $1.18 22d 1 0.95mi
2712 E Harrison Ave Unit 3 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 908 $1,075 $1.18 44d 1 0.95mi
2708 E Harrison Ave Unit 2 Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1118 $1,225 $1.10 44d 1 0.96mi
2708 E Harrison Ave Unit 1 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 998 $1,075 $1.08 44d 1 0.96mi
2708 E Harrison Ave Unit 3 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 908 $1,075 $1.18 22d 1 0.96mi
2612 E Harrison Ave Unit 4 Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1118 $1,225 $1.10 44d 1 0.98mi
2809 E Harrison Ave Unit 2 Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1118 $1,225 $1.10 44d 1 0.99mi
2805 E Harrison Ave Apt 3 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 908 $1,075 $1.18 14d 1 0.99mi
2805 E Harrison Ave Apt 4 Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1118 $1,225 $1.10 22d 1 0.99mi
1501 Sam Houston Dr Apt 6H Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.5 1015 $775 $0.76 44d 1 1.06mi
1501 Sam Houston Dr Harlingen, TX 1.0 1.0 752 $650 $0.86 44d 1 1.07mi
1501 Sam Houston Dr Harlingen, TX 1.0 1.0 752 $650 $0.86 14d 1 1.07mi
1902 E Tyler Ave Harlingen, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1007 $903 $0.90 14d 6 1.08mi
4402 Glasscock Ave Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 845 $895 $1.06 44d 1 1.10mi
1722 Stone Dr Unit 2 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.5 1100 $1,000 $0.91 44d 1 1.14mi
504 Rock Cir Unit 1 Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.5 1050 $925 $0.88 22d 1 1.20mi
2002 E Van Buren Ave Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 1062 $1,150 $1.08 22d 1 1.24mi
3936 Bourbon St Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 880 $750 $0.85 22d 1 1.35mi
602 Scotch St Unit 16 Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $600 $0.67 22d 1 1.41mi
602 Scotch St Unit 8 Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $650 $0.72 44d 1 1.41mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrashexterior maint.parking
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    statusdays on market $79,900 Pending 14 DOM
  2. 2026-04-30
    status Active 628-char remark
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Light and bright 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo located in Treasure Hills. This beautifully updated second-floor unit offers a modern feel throughout, with all appliances conveying. Enjoy a large private balcony, assigned parking, and truly low-maintenance living, featuring a 2-year-old A/C system and a 2-year-old roof for added peace of mind. Ideal for owner-occupants or as an investment property. The HOA fee includes water, sewer, trash, and exterior maintenance. Conveniently located near Treasure Hills Elementary, UTRGV, hospitals, medical facilities, and dining. A great opportunity in a well-established Harlingen community.

  3. 2026-02-10
    status Pending 628-char remark
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Light and bright 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo located in Treasure Hills. This beautifully updated second-floor unit offers a modern feel throughout, with all appliances conveying. Enjoy a large private balcony, assigned parking, and truly low-maintenance living, featuring a 2-year-old A/C system and a 2-year-old roof for added peace of mind. Ideal for owner-occupants or as an investment property. The HOA fee includes water, sewer, trash, and exterior maintenance. Conveniently located near Treasure Hills Elementary, UTRGV, hospitals, medical facilities, and dining. A great opportunity in a well-established Harlingen community.

  4. 2026-01-19
    listed $79,900 Active 628-char remark
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Light and bright 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo located in Treasure Hills. This beautifully updated second-floor unit offers a modern feel throughout, with all appliances conveying. Enjoy a large private balcony, assigned parking, and truly low-maintenance living, featuring a 2-year-old A/C system and a 2-year-old roof for added peace of mind. Ideal for owner-occupants or as an investment property. The HOA fee includes water, sewer, trash, and exterior maintenance. Conveniently located near Treasure Hills Elementary, UTRGV, hospitals, medical facilities, and dining. A great opportunity in a well-established Harlingen community.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,421
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,198
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$994
− Management
−$994
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$2,036
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$489
After-tax cash flow
$2,698/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained, updated condo is move-in ready with modern finishes and a fresh exterior. Potential buyers and renters will appreciate the energy-efficient updates and curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace blinds with energy-efficient shades — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace blinds with energy-efficient shades — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harlingen CISD
NCES district ID
4822530
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,182
Composite
24.94/100
National rank
#7566
State rank
#647 of 826 in TX

Livability — Harlingen

Score
73/100
State rank
#217
US rank
#5347

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harlingen, TX
County
Cameron County · 310,734 people
City population
95,667
Metro
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
Population (ZIP)
53,335
Household income
$49,007
Rent vs Own
49.5% rent · 50.5% own
Severe rent burden
2251.0

Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
441,603 people
By 2030
448,113 · +1.5%
By 2040
456,385 · +3.3%
By 2050
456,294 · +3.3%
By 2075
423,851 · -4.0%
By 2100
342,787 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 83% Two or more races 29% White 14% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 76%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
51% English-only · Spanish 48%

Political lean MEDSL · Cameron

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.60%
Current HPI
167.7038
Rent YoY
▲ 3.45%
Metro
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Relisted RGVMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Pending RGVMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Listed $79,900 RGVMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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