2721 Quail Run #5 · Harlingen, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.7/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Light and bright 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo located in Treasure Hills. This beautifully updated second-floor unit offers a modern feel throughout, with all appliances conveying. Enjoy a large private balcony, assigned parking, and truly low-maintenance living, featuring a 2-year-old A/C system and a 2-year-old roof for added peace of mind. Ideal for owner-occupants or as an investment property. The HOA fee includes water, sewer, trash, and exterior maintenance. Conveniently located near Treasure Hills Elementary, UTRGV, hospitals, medical facilities, and dining. A great opportunity in a well-established Harlingen community.
Key facts
- Private balcony
- Assigned parking
- Conveniently located
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 3.8% in Harlingen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#217 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, commute F.
- Harlingen CISD (urban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #647 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 465 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.24%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $4,452
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.24×
- Total profit
- $27,667
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78550
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 465
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,035 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$217
- Net cashflow
- $266
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $321 | -5% $293 | +0% $266 | +5% $238 | +10% $210 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $184 | -5% $225 | +0% $266 | +5% $306 | +10% $347 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $306 | -0.5pp $286 | base $266 | +0.5pp $245 | +1.0pp $224 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2805 Treasure Hills Blvd Unit 1 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $900 | $0.82 | 22d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 2906 Treasure Hills Blvd Unit D Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $925 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2906 Treasure Hills Blvd Unit D Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 22d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2901 Haine Dr Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $1,389 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2020 S 23rd St Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 961 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1802 Bobcat Ln Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2901 Haine Dr Apt 108 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 858 | $1,129 | $1.32 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2218 Bell St Unit 14 Harlingen, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $625 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2218 Bell St Apt 15 Harlingen, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $625 | $1.01 | 22d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1810 Atrium Place Dr Unit 12 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $1,100 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1802 Atrium Place Dr Unit 3 Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1802 Atrium Place Dr Unit 11 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 817 | $1,150 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1809 Atrium Place Dr Unit 3 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1801 Atrium Place Dr Unit 12 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1801 Atrium Place Dr Unit 17 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,335 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1608 Sam Houston Dr Harlingen, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 790 | $839 | $1.06 | 14d | 11 | 0.74mi |
| 902 S Loop 499 Harlingen, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 971 | $995 | $1.02 | 14d | 16 | 0.87mi |
| 1402 Vermont Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 834 | $1,050 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1402 Vermont Unit 3 Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1016 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2712 E Harrison Ave Unit 4 Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,225 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2712 E Harrison Ave Unit 3 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 908 | $1,075 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2712 E Harrison Ave Unit 3 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 908 | $1,075 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2708 E Harrison Ave Unit 2 Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,225 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2708 E Harrison Ave Unit 1 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 998 | $1,075 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2708 E Harrison Ave Unit 3 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 908 | $1,075 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2612 E Harrison Ave Unit 4 Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,225 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2809 E Harrison Ave Unit 2 Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,225 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2805 E Harrison Ave Apt 3 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 908 | $1,075 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2805 E Harrison Ave Apt 4 Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,225 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1501 Sam Houston Dr Apt 6H Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1015 | $775 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1501 Sam Houston Dr Harlingen, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $650 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1501 Sam Houston Dr Harlingen, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $650 | $0.86 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1902 E Tyler Ave Harlingen, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1007 | $903 | $0.90 | 14d | 6 | 1.08mi |
| 4402 Glasscock Ave Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 845 | $895 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1722 Stone Dr Unit 2 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 504 Rock Cir Unit 1 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $925 | $0.88 | 22d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2002 E Van Buren Ave Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,150 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3936 Bourbon St Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $750 | $0.85 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 602 Scotch St Unit 16 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $600 | $0.67 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 602 Scotch St Unit 8 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $650 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrashexterior maint.parking
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-01statusdays on market $79,900 Pending 14 DOM
-
2026-04-30status Active 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Light and bright 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo located in Treasure Hills. This beautifully updated second-floor unit offers a modern feel throughout, with all appliances conveying. Enjoy a large private balcony, assigned parking, and truly low-maintenance living, featuring a 2-year-old A/C system and a 2-year-old roof for added peace of mind. Ideal for owner-occupants or as an investment property. The HOA fee includes water, sewer, trash, and exterior maintenance. Conveniently located near Treasure Hills Elementary, UTRGV, hospitals, medical facilities, and dining. A great opportunity in a well-established Harlingen community.
-
2026-02-10status Pending 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Light and bright 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo located in Treasure Hills. This beautifully updated second-floor unit offers a modern feel throughout, with all appliances conveying. Enjoy a large private balcony, assigned parking, and truly low-maintenance living, featuring a 2-year-old A/C system and a 2-year-old roof for added peace of mind. Ideal for owner-occupants or as an investment property. The HOA fee includes water, sewer, trash, and exterior maintenance. Conveniently located near Treasure Hills Elementary, UTRGV, hospitals, medical facilities, and dining. A great opportunity in a well-established Harlingen community.
-
2026-01-19$79,900 Active 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Light and bright 2-bedroom, 1-bath condo located in Treasure Hills. This beautifully updated second-floor unit offers a modern feel throughout, with all appliances conveying. Enjoy a large private balcony, assigned parking, and truly low-maintenance living, featuring a 2-year-old A/C system and a 2-year-old roof for added peace of mind. Ideal for owner-occupants or as an investment property. The HOA fee includes water, sewer, trash, and exterior maintenance. Conveniently located near Treasure Hills Elementary, UTRGV, hospitals, medical facilities, and dining. A great opportunity in a well-established Harlingen community.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,421
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,198
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$994
- − Management
- −$994
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $2,036
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$489
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,698/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This well-maintained, updated condo is move-in ready with modern finishes and a fresh exterior. Potential buyers and renters will appreciate the energy-efficient updates and curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace blinds with energy-efficient shades — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace blinds with energy-efficient shades — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harlingen CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4822530
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,182
- Composite
- 24.94/100
- National rank
- #7566
- State rank
- #647 of 826 in TX
Livability — Harlingen
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #217
- US rank
- #5347
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harlingen, TX
- County
- Cameron County · 310,734 people
- City population
- 95,667
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,335
- Household income
- $49,007
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2251.0
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 83% Two or more races 29% White 14% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 76%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 48%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.60%
- Current HPI
- 167.7038
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.45%
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — RGVMLS
- 2026-02-10 Pending — RGVMLS
- 2026-01-19 Listed $79,900 RGVMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…