209 Malita St · Franklin, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 75.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom ranch that sits on a spacious corner lot. Hardwood floors throughout. Open floor plan with living area, dining area into the kitchen. Make this home your own with some TLC.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Corner lot
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $582 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 3.9% in Franklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#461 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Franklin City Public School District (town): math 23% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #127 of 131 in VA (top 97%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.99%
- DSCR
- 2.11
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,177
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -28.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 835 Cool Spring St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-2%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $168 | 82 |
| 407 Hall St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,178 (+5%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $64 | 76 |
| 311 Washington St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+7%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $200 | 62 |
| 515 Middle St | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,168 (+4%) | 3mo | $89,900 | $77 | 60 |
| 803 Walnut St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (-8%) | 7mo | $107,500 | $104 | 58 |
| 419 Bruce St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (-11%) | 11mo | $152,000 | $152 | 57 |
| 313 Delk St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,075 (-4%) | 10mo | $214,900 | $200 | 54 |
| 729 Oak St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,049 (-6%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $205 | 48 |
| 412 Bracey St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,030 (-8%) | 4mo | $225,900 | $219 | 47 |
| 806 Fontaine St Unit B | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+7%) | 11mo | $230,000 | $192 | 46 |
| 303 Magnolia St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-14%) | 11mo | $130,000 | $135 | 46 |
| 207 S College Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (-11%) | 12mo | $192,900 | $193 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $20,892
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.36×
- Total profit
- $65,893
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23851
- Home prices YoY
- -10.2%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,529 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $723/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$321
- Net cashflow
- $582
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116 Holland Cir Franklin, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,800 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2300 South St Unit 1 Franklin, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,600 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 313 Council Rd Franklin, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $975 | $0.97 | 19d | 1 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-04-10$109,900 Active 182-char remark
Show marketing remark (182 chars)
3 bedroom ranch that sits on a spacious corner lot. Hardwood floors throughout. Open floor plan with living area, dining area into the kitchen. Make this home your own with some TLC.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $723 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $819 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$96/yr (+$8/mo · 13.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 75% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,353
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$723
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,468
- − Management
- −$1,468
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $5,692
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,366
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,623/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101410
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -48.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,138
- Composite
- 30.47/100
- National rank
- #6227
- State rank
- #127 of 131 in VA
Livability — Franklin
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #461
- US rank
- #19645
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Franklin, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,481
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,817 people
- By 2030
- 7,480 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 6,803 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 6,124 · -21.7%
- By 2075
- 4,484 · -42.6%
- By 2100
- 2,967 · -62.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 44% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.8) · D 60.9% · R 38.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.3pp toward R · 2008: 28.1pp · 2024: 22.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.8 2020: D+25.6 2016: D+27.1 2012: D+30.7 2008: D+28.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.51%
- Current HPI
- 293.564
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $109,900 REINMLS
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $723 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…