41 Winifred St · Waggaman, LA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.59%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$117,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a practical layout and comfortable living space, ready for its next chapter. While it could benefit from some updates and TLC, it provides a strong foundation for customization and value growth. Whether you're a first-time buyer looking to personalize your space or an investor searching for opportunity, this property presents plenty of potential at an approachable price point. Newer Roof & HVAC.
Key facts
- Hvac
- Newer roof
- 5,222 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $117k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $531 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $117k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 4.7% in Waggaman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#226 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $809 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 33y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $117k implies a 161% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.90%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $176,548
- List price
- $117,000
- Delta
- -33.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Halle Pl | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-4%) | 1mo | $39,540 | $43 | 79 |
| 32 Dolores Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (+5%) | 7mo | $156,000 | $156 | 76 |
| 112 Four Oclock Ln | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 971 (+2%) | 11mo | $134,500 | $139 | 65 |
| 11 Helis Dr | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 980 (+3%) | 17mo | $146,000 | $149 | 64 |
| 358 Azalea Dr | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,065 (+12%) | 10mo | $110,000 | $103 | 57 |
| 216 Azalea Dr | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+5%) | 17mo | $154,500 | $155 | 56 |
| 41 Camellia Ln | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,069 (+12%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $136 | 51 |
| 31 Helis Dr | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,070 (+13%) | 14mo | $90,000 | $84 | 51 |
| 369 Blossom Ct | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,050 (+10%) | 12mo | $180,000 | $171 | 50 |
| 41 Evergold Ln | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 852 (-10%) | 15mo | $79,000 | $93 | 49 |
| 41 Four O'clock Ln | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,083 (+14%) | 11mo | $110,000 | $102 | 47 |
| 117 Jasmine Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,049 (+10%) | 14mo | $171,000 | $163 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $9,917
- Equity at exit
- $17,445
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $33,032
- Equity at exit
- $10,116
Cash invested: $32,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70094
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,704 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$614
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,030/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $531
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,250
- Closing costs
- $3,510
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 371 Joseph Pl Westwego, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1090 | $1,700 | $1.56 | 14d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 240 Azalea Dr Westwego, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 240 Azalea Dr Westwego, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,480 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 44 Daffodil Ln Westwego, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,600 | $1.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 10017 River Rd Westwego, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 2d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 10542 Jefferson Hwy Apt 11 River Ridge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $1,095 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 216 Marion Ct New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,300 | $1.73 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-01status $117,000 Pending 91 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $117,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $117,000 437-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a practical layout and comfortable living space, ready for its next chapter. While it could benefit from some updates and TLC, it provides a strong foundation for customization and value growth. Whether you're a first-time buyer looking to personalize your space or an investor searching for opportunity, this property presents plenty of potential at an approachable price point. Newer Roof & HVAC.
-
2026-05-12price $117,000 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a practical layout and comfortable living space, ready for its next chapter. While it could benefit from some updates and TLC, it provides a strong foundation for customization and value growth. Whether you're a first-time buyer looking to personalize your space or an investor searching for opportunity, this property presents plenty of potential at an approachable price point. Newer Roof & HVAC.
-
2026-04-07price $127,000 437-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a practical layout and comfortable living space, ready for its next chapter. While it could benefit from some updates and TLC, it provides a strong foundation for customization and value growth. Whether you're a first-time buyer looking to personalize your space or an investor searching for opportunity, this property presents plenty of potential at an approachable price point. Newer Roof & HVAC.
-
2026-04-07price $127,000 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a practical layout and comfortable living space, ready for its next chapter. While it could benefit from some updates and TLC, it provides a strong foundation for customization and value growth. Whether you're a first-time buyer looking to personalize your space or an investor searching for opportunity, this property presents plenty of potential at an approachable price point. Newer Roof & HVAC.
-
2026-02-27$137,000 Active 437-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a practical layout and comfortable living space, ready for its next chapter. While it could benefit from some updates and TLC, it provides a strong foundation for customization and value growth. Whether you're a first-time buyer looking to personalize your space or an investor searching for opportunity, this property presents plenty of potential at an approachable price point. Newer Roof & HVAC.
-
2026-02-27$137,000 Active 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a practical layout and comfortable living space, ready for its next chapter. While it could benefit from some updates and TLC, it provides a strong foundation for customization and value growth. Whether you're a first-time buyer looking to personalize your space or an investor searching for opportunity, this property presents plenty of potential at an approachable price point. Newer Roof & HVAC.
-
1997-03-27soldstatus $44,800
-
1997-03-01soldstatus $44,800
-
1996-11-05$42,200
-
1996-11-05$42,200
-
1993-12-10soldstatus $33,300
-
1993-07-21$32,000
-
1993-07-21$32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,030 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,030 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 59% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,445
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,554
- − Property taxes
- −$1,030
- − Insurance
- −$1,382
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,636
- − Management
- −$1,636
- − Depreciation
- −$3,404
- Taxable income
- $4,803
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,153
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,223/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200840
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,421
- Composite
- 25.19/100
- National rank
- #7511
- State rank
- #44 of 98 in LA
Livability — Waggaman
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #226
- US rank
- #17364
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waggaman, LA
- County
- Jefferson Parish · 426,999 people
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,130
- Household income
- $53,597
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1457.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 451,696 people
- By 2030
- 455,451 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 458,308 · +1.5%
- By 2050
- 461,031 · +2.1%
- By 2075
- 476,351 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 499,377 · +10.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 46% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Scottish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Vietnamese 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.9) · D 42.5% · R 55.5% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.6pp toward D · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -12.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.9 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+14.8 2012: R+18.4 2008: R+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.56%
- Current HPI
- 102.9992
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.80%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+265.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $117,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $117,000 GSREIN
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $127,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $127,000 GSREIN
- 2026-02-27 Listed $137,000 GSREIN
- 2026-02-27 Listed $137,000 AcadianaMLS
- 1997-03-27 Sold (MLS) $44,800 GSREIN
- 1997-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $44,800 Public Records
- 1996-11-05 Listed $42,200 GSREIN
- 1996-11-05 Listed $42,200 AcadianaMLS
- 1993-12-10 Sold (MLS) $33,300 GSREIN
- 1993-07-21 Listed $32,000 GSREIN
- 1993-07-21 Listed $32,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,030 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…