2802 Wayne St · Bellevue, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.7/30.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
What a deal! Well cared for ranch style home with great potential in old town Bellevue. With little TLC this home can be a true beauty! Features include, new roof in 2013, maintenance free siding, updated windows, and finished lower level with kitchen. This can be a great starter home or will make nice addition an investor's portfolio.
Key facts
- New furnace
- New air conditioner
- New roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-54 ($-647/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $181k (4.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (16.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $159k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.3% in Bellevue — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#1 in NE, #206 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, cost of living A+; Watch: commute D+.
- Bellevue Public Schools (suburban): math 47% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #67 of 111 in NE (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Betz Elementary School (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #427 of 502 statewide, top 87%, 285 students, 72% FRL); Bellevue Mission Middle School (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #86 of 128 statewide, top 73%, 391 students, 51% FRL); Bellevue East Sr High School (math 36% / reading 41%, grade F, #199 of 261 statewide, top 77%, 1,423 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 25% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Bellevue Public Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 84 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,612 units permitted in Sarpy County in 2024 (364 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sarpy County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $189k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.22%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $236,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2604 Jackson St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,882 (+3%) | 4mo | $244,000 | $130 | 78 |
| 2533 Franklin St | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,785 (-2%) | 14mo | $225,000 | $126 | 67 |
| 2521 Jackson St | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,680 (-8%) | 10mo | $200,000 | $119 | 66 |
| 3202 Reed Dr | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,848 (+2%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $130 | 66 |
| 2409 Calhoun St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,790 (-2%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $120 | 64 |
| 101 E 28 Ave | 0.24mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,745 (-4%) | 11mo | $219,500 | $126 | 64 |
| 2202 Madison St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,724 (-5%) | 4mo | $236,700 | $137 | 61 |
| 2603 Van Buren St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,641 (-10%) | 14mo | $219,900 | $134 | 60 |
| 808 W 33rd Ave | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,919 (+5%) | 13mo | $200,000 | $104 | 57 |
| 2002 Van Buren St | 0.73mi | 3/3.0 | 1,764 (-3%) | 7mo | $275,000 | $156 | 51 |
| 2201 Warren St | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 | 1,774 (-2%) | 12mo | $266,000 | $150 | 50 |
| 2009 Calhoun St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,720 (-6%) | 14mo | $265,000 | $154 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-30,281
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-14,549
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68005
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,585 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$236 /mo · $2,835/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$333
- Net cashflow
- $-54
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $77 | -5% $11 | +0% $-54 | +5% $-119 | +10% $-184 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-179 | -5% $-116 | +0% $-54 | +5% $9 | +10% $71 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $41 | -0.5pp $-6 | base $-54 | +0.5pp $-103 | +1.0pp $-153 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2304 Jackson St Bellevue, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $1,650 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1320 Englewood Dr Bellevue, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $2,300 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-02-10status Pending
-
2025-12-29$189,000 New
-
2014-02-12soldstatus $90,000
-
2014-02-07soldstatus $90,000 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
What a deal! Well cared for ranch style home with great potential in old town Bellevue. With little TLC this home can be a true beauty! Features include, new roof in 2013, maintenance free siding, updated windows, and finished lower level with kitchen. This can be a great starter home or will make nice addition an investor's portfolio.
-
2014-01-03historical 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
What a deal! Well cared for ranch style home with great potential in old town Bellevue. With little TLC this home can be a true beauty! Features include, new roof in 2013, maintenance free siding, updated windows, and finished lower level with kitchen. This can be a great starter home or will make nice addition an investor's portfolio.
-
2013-12-30$93,000 337-char remark
Show marketing remark (337 chars)
What a deal! Well cared for ranch style home with great potential in old town Bellevue. With little TLC this home can be a true beauty! Features include, new roof in 2013, maintenance free siding, updated windows, and finished lower level with kitchen. This can be a great starter home or will make nice addition an investor's portfolio.
-
2006-03-29soldstatus $121,000
-
2006-03-23soldstatus $121,000 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
3 bedroom walk-out ranch w/ huge privacy fenced backyard. Non-conforming 4th bedroom in basement. Full kitchen in upstairs and lower level. Could be used as 2 full units or mother-in-law quarters. New windows in the 90's, freshly painted, updated kitchen & bath. New roof in mid 90's, well maintained. Built-ins in living room & kitchen. Upstairs fridge to be changed to single style unit. No maintenance deck 14'4 x 15'10.
-
2006-02-20historical 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
3 bedroom walk-out ranch w/ huge privacy fenced backyard. Non-conforming 4th bedroom in basement. Full kitchen in upstairs and lower level. Could be used as 2 full units or mother-in-law quarters. New windows in the 90's, freshly painted, updated kitchen & bath. New roof in mid 90's, well maintained. Built-ins in living room & kitchen. Upstairs fridge to be changed to single style unit. No maintenance deck 14'4 x 15'10.
-
2005-11-10$126,000 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
3 bedroom walk-out ranch w/ huge privacy fenced backyard. Non-conforming 4th bedroom in basement. Full kitchen in upstairs and lower level. Could be used as 2 full units or mother-in-law quarters. New windows in the 90's, freshly painted, updated kitchen & bath. New roof in mid 90's, well maintained. Built-ins in living room & kitchen. Upstairs fridge to be changed to single style unit. No maintenance deck 14'4 x 15'10.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,022
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$2,835
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,522
- − Management
- −$1,522
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable loss
- −$3,887
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$933
- After-tax cash flow
- $286/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bellevue Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3103810
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,859
- Composite
- 42.36/100
- National rank
- #3248
- State rank
- #67 of 111 in NE
Livability — Bellevue
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #206
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bellevue, NE
- County
- Sarpy County · 161,202 people
- City population
- 55,788
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,984
- Household income
- $66,551
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 725.0
Population outlook (Sarpy County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 211,769 people
- By 2030
- 229,365 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 264,122 · +24.7%
- By 2050
- 298,087 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 381,667 · +80.2%
- By 2100
- 448,180 · +111.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 10% Black 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, United Kingdom, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sarpy
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.7) · D 43.5% · R 55.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: -15.9pp · 2024: -11.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.7 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+21.8 2012: R+23.6 2008: R+15.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -149.94%
- Current HPI
- 247.6885
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.30%
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+50.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-10 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2025-12-29 Listed $189,000 GPRMLS
- 2014-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2014-02-07 Sold (MLS) $90,000 GPRMLS
- 2014-01-03 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2013-12-30 Listed $93,000 GPRMLS
- 2006-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $121,000 Public Records
- 2006-03-23 Sold (MLS) $121,000 GPRMLS
- 2006-02-20 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2005-11-10 Listed $126,000 GPRMLS
Property tax history
-58.6%/yrLatest (2017): $153 · -93.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…