816 N 2nd St · Temple, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* Investor Special in Downtown Temple! * Spacious 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offering endless potential for investors, flippers, landlords, or buyers looking to build equity. Recent improvements include a * * new roof * * and * * foundation repairs * * , providing a strong head start on your renovation plans. Conveniently located less than 5 minutes from downtown dining, shopping, and everyday amenities, this property presents a great opportunity to renovate, add value, and customize to your vision. Whether you're looking for your next flip, rental property, or a home to make your own, this property is packed with potential. Sold as-is. Don't miss this opportunity to invest in a grow
Key facts
- 6,599 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1926
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: City lot, less than quarter acre
Exterior
- Parking: One carport space
- Utilities: Utilities details referenced in remarks
- Home design: Single-story home; Assessor-provided year built; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Fixer/Resale condition
- Construction: Composition/shingle roof; Construction details referenced in remarks
- Exterior features: Exterior details referenced in remarks; Water feature referenced in remarks
Interior
- Kitchen: Appliances referenced in remarks
- Bedrooms: One bedroom
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heating details referenced in remarks
- Interior features: Fireplace details referenced in remarks; Additional interior features referenced in remarks
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $444 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
- Recommended offer: $83k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 3.6% in Temple — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#122 in TX, #3,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute C-, crime D+.
- Temple ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #590 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 335 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,222 units permitted in Bell County in 2024 (246 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $584 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bell County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.54%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $164,780
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 810 N 6th St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,464 (-5%) | 9mo | $120,000 | $82 | 75 |
| 419 King Cir | 0.38mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,558 (+1%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $83 | 72 |
| 809 N Main St | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,316 (-14%) | 6mo | $209,900 | $159 | 65 |
| 817 N 8th St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,392 (-10%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $97 | 61 |
| 606 N 13th St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,628 (+6%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $107 | 60 |
| 606 N 1st St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,747 (+13%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $54 | 60 |
| 819 N 7th St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,746 (+13%) | 3mo | $153,716 | $88 | 59 |
| 1213 N Main St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,736 (+13%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $107 | 58 |
| 619 Ellen Ct | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 | 1,588 (+3%) | 10mo | $184,900 | $116 | 56 |
| 902 N 9th St | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 | 1,464 (-5%) | 20mo | $425,000 | $290 | 52 |
| 1311 N 1st St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,412 (-8%) | 21mo | $97,500 | $69 | 47 |
| 1319 N Main St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,670 (+8%) | 21mo | $249,900 | $150 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $15,378
- Equity at exit
- $12,599
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.24×
- Total profit
- $52,993
- Equity at exit
- $7,306
Cash invested: $23,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76501
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 335
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,477 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$443
- Tax from tax record
- −$244 /mo · $2,925/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $444
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $492 | -5% $468 | +0% $444 | +5% $421 | +10% $397 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $328 | -5% $386 | +0% $444 | +5% $503 | +10% $561 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $487 | -0.5pp $466 | base $444 | +0.5pp $423 | +1.0pp $400 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,125
- Closing costs
- $2,535
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 904 N Main St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1228 | $1,300 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 717 N 3rd St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1281 | $1,695 | $1.32 | 22d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 804 N 7th St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,500 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 214 E Munroe Ave Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1084 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1303 N 10th St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1119 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 701 East Avenue A Unit A Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,349 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1919 N 7th St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $1,975 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 209 S 18th St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 209 S 18th St Unit A Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,550 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 209 S 18th St Unit A Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,550 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 104 S 22nd St Unit B Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $1,435 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 503 E Union Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $1,395 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 101 W Victory Ave Temple, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,550 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 607 E Union Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1099 | $1,325 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 505 S 16th St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,070 | $0.98 | 14d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 509 S 16th St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,065 | $0.98 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 501 Henderson St Temple, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,050 | $0.86 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 503 Henderson St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,015 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 105 E Xavier Ave Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $1,395 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 917 Crockett Ct Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1917 | $1,550 | $0.81 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 518 S Knob St Unit B Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,015 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 512 E Walker Ave Temple, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,345 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2305 N 15th St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2122 | $2,000 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 703 S 16th St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,035 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 708 Henderson St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,025 | $0.94 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2408 N 15th St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1832 | $1,650 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 412 E Young Ave Unit B Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1193 | $1,150 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 507 E Zenith Ave Unit A Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1002 S 2nd St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,325 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1110 N 42nd St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1935 | $1,600 | $0.83 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 612 S 26th St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1237 | $1,195 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 420 S 27th St Temple, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1101 S 3rd St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1404 | $1,200 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2618 Goliad St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1228 | $1,450 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2618 Goliad St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1228 | $1,450 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1020 S 12th St Unit 12th St unit 1020 A Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1355 | $1,475 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 903 S 18th St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,295 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 708 S 28th St Unit 28th St unit 708 A Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1355 | $1,435 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 720 Frank Weise Blvd Unit A Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 805 S 24th St Temple, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1233 | $1,245 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-14pricedays on market $84,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-30remarks 635-char remark
-
2026-05-30$90,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,925 · $244/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,925 · $244/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,719
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,733
- − Property taxes
- −$2,925
- − Insurance
- −$422
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,418
- − Management
- −$1,418
- − Depreciation
- −$2,458
- Taxable income
- $4,345
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,043
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,290/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Temple ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4842330
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,120
- Composite
- 26.8/100
- National rank
- #7123
- State rank
- #590 of 826 in TX
Livability — Temple
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #3814
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Temple, TX
- County
- Bell County · 345,090 people
- City population
- 96,587
- Metro
- Killeen-Temple, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,752
- Household income
- $62,532
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 466.0
Population outlook (Bell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 371,114 people
- By 2030
- 389,104 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 420,592 · +13.3%
- By 2050
- 447,779 · +20.7%
- By 2075
- 499,130 · +34.5%
- By 2100
- 505,680 · +36.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 18% Black 17% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 20%
Political lean MEDSL · Bell
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.2) · D 41.3% · R 57.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -16.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.2 2020: R+8.5 2016: R+15.1 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -113.09%
- Current HPI
- 177.0555
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.44%
- Metro
- Killeen-Temple, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+12.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $90,000 CTXMLS
- 2024-03-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-03-21 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2023-12-01 Listed $139,500 NTREIS
- 2017-08-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-06-05 Listing Removed — CTXMLS
- 2017-06-01 Pending — CTXMLS
- 2017-05-27 Relisted — CTXMLS
- 2017-05-20 Pending — CTXMLS
- 2017-05-18 Listed $79,950 CTXMLS
- 2006-09-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-02-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,925 · -22.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…