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8 & 10 N Kinzer Rd Duplex
B Composite 71.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$300,000

8 & 10 N Kinzer Rd · Gap, PA 17535
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,233 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1910 9,583 sqft lot $134/sqft · 7% above area Est $280k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

THIS PROPERTY IS GOING TO AUCTION ON THURSDAY MAY 21, 2026 @ 6:00 PM. THE LIST PRICE ONLY REFELCTS THE SUGGESTED STARTING BID. Renovated 2-unit, 2-story home with a 2-bay detached garage and storage shed on a . 22 acre lot. Unit 1 - first floor - features a dining room/kitchen area, living room with gas fireplace, office/family room with vaulted ceiling and skylights, bedroom with private bath and WIC, laundry area, closet and power room. Unit 2 - second floor - offers an open dining area/kitchen with walk-in pantry, bedroom with 2-closets, full bath with skylights and laundry. Partial basement with Bilco egress door, on-site well, public sewer, individual utilities, heat pump/central AC, 100-gallon LP tank. Projected rental income is $34,800. Outbuildings include a 24' x 21' insulated 2-car detached garage/shop and 8' x 12' storage shed. Nice macadam drive and parking area. Tremendous investment opportunity, professionally renovated, low maintenance, absolute move-in ready condition!

Key facts

  • Office family room
  • 2 unit home
  • Storage shed

Tags

2 UNIT HOMEDETACHED GARAGESTORAGE SHEDDINING ROOM KITCHEN AREALIVING ROOM WITH GAS FIREPLACEOFFICE FAMILY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $603/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
  • Recommended offer: $291k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#352 in PA, #3,089 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Pequea Valley SD (rural): math 27% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #390 of 539 in PA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
  • Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $250k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $291,000 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
11.12%
Cash-on-cash
17.23%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$280,000
List price
$300,000
Delta
7.14%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

2.86% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
2.32×
Total profit
$110,770
Equity at exit
$132,527
10-year hold
IRR
24.4%
Equity multiple
4.45×
Total profit
$289,576
Equity at exit
$202,420

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17535

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,119 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$350 /mo · $4,198/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$865
Net cashflow
$1,206

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,592
Max offer price $300,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,376 -5% $1,291 +0% $1,206 +5% $1,121 +10% $1,036
Rent -10% $881 -5% $1,043 +0% $1,206 +5% $1,369 +10% $1,531
Rate -1.0pp $1,357 -0.5pp $1,282 base $1,206 +0.5pp $1,128 +1.0pp $1,049

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,119

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-07
    listed $300,000 Active 999-char remark
    Show marketing remark (999 chars)

    THIS PROPERTY IS GOING TO AUCTION ON THURSDAY MAY 21, 2026 @ 6:00 PM. THE LIST PRICE ONLY REFELCTS THE SUGGESTED STARTING BID. Renovated 2-unit, 2-story home with a 2-bay detached garage and storage shed on a . 22 acre lot. Unit 1 - first floor - features a dining room/kitchen area, living room with gas fireplace, office/family room with vaulted ceiling and skylights, bedroom with private bath and WIC, laundry area, closet and power room. Unit 2 - second floor - offers an open dining area/kitchen with walk-in pantry, bedroom with 2-closets, full bath with skylights and laundry. Partial basement with Bilco egress door, on-site well, public sewer, individual utilities, heat pump/central AC, 100-gallon LP tank. Projected rental income is $34,800. Outbuildings include a 24' x 21' insulated 2-car detached garage/shop and 8' x 12' storage shed. Nice macadam drive and parking area. Tremendous investment opportunity, professionally renovated, low maintenance, absolute move-in ready condition!

  2. 2017-08-15
    soldstatus $249,500
  3. 2010-06-01
    soldstatus $260,000
  4. 2006-11-06
    soldstatus $114,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,198 · $350/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,469 · $372/mo
Expected delta
+$271/yr (+$23/mo · 6.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$49,428
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$4,198
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,954
− Management
−$3,954
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable income
$10,290
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,470
After-tax cash flow
$12,002/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pequea Valley SD
NCES district ID
4218900
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$58,968
Composite
31.56/100
National rank
#5955
State rank
#390 of 539 in PA

Livability — Gap

Score
77/100
State rank
#352
US rank
#3089

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,651

Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
561,011 people
By 2030
570,969 · +1.8%
By 2040
585,929 · +4.4%
By 2050
591,056 · +5.4%
By 2075
594,747 · +6.0%
By 2100
558,850 · -0.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Polish 6% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
63% English-only · German/W. Germanic 34% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster

2024 margin
R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.86%
Current HPI
254.8178
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+163.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $300,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $249,500 Public Records
  • 2010-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records
  • 2006-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $114,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,198 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…