9391 California Ave #17 · Riverside, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 19 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home that is truly move-in ready! This charming home features updated finishes throughout, a spacious and inviting layout, and plenty of natural light. Perfect for anyone looking for comfort, convenience, and a low-maintenance lifestyle. Just bring your furniture and start enjoying your new home from day one. Don't miss this fantastic opportunity—it won't last long!
Key facts
- Community pool
- Built 1973
- Listed 10 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot feature: 0-1 Unit/Acre; Elevation measured in feet; Living area source: public records
- HOA & community: Senior community; Land lease $1,150 (land lease applies); Rent includes pool and water
Exterior
- Parking: Located in Riverside Country Club park
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/Public water
- Home design: Single-story/mobile home (mobile home remains); Double body type
- Construction: Mobile width 12 ft and length 12 ft; Year built per public records
- Exterior features: Community pool; Curbs
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric stove; Water heater unit
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: One-level home with front entry; Entry located at the front
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Has laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 3.0% in Riverside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#337 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, commute B+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D, crime F.
- Riverside Unified (urban): math 36% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #574 of 1,400 in CA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.47%
- DSCR
- 2.53
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $97,920
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9391 California Ave #13 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $40 | 85 |
| 9391 California Ave #118 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 8mo | $114,900 | $92 | 79 |
| 9391 California Ave #66 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 11mo | $60,000 | $48 | 76 |
| 9391 California #77 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,296 (+12%) | 23mo | $110,000 | $85 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $44,797
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 37.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.59×
- Total profit
- $125,666
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92503
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,366 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$497
- Net cashflow
- $1,005
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,092 | -5% $1,049 | +0% $1,005 | +5% $962 | +10% $919 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $819 | -5% $912 | +0% $1,005 | +5% $1,099 | +10% $1,192 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,068 | -0.5pp $1,037 | base $1,005 | +0.5pp $973 | +1.0pp $940 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4620 Van Buren Blvd Riverside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 665 | $2,495 | $3.75 | 2d | 13 | 0.29mi |
| 4119 Van Buren Blvd Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $2,025 | $2.24 | 24d | 2 | 0.30mi |
| 4119 Van Buren Blvd Unit 25 Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $2,025 | $2.24 | 22d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 4115 Van Buren Blvd Apt 2 Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $2,025 | $2.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 4115 Van Buren Blvd Apt 2 Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,995 | $2.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 9400 Garfield St Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $2,150 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 4273 Wheeler St Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,595 | $2.60 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3928 Everest Ave Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1324 | $2,000 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 9145 Audrey St Unit 1 Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,400 | $2.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3904 Stotts St Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,575 | $2.34 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4185 Selma Ave Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,750 | $2.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4743 Jackson St #64 Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 861 | $2,095 | $2.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3918 Jackson St Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4853 Jackson St Unit C Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,900 | $1.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4853 Jackson St Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $2,100 | $2.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4859 Jackson St Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1226 | $2,495 | $2.04 | 15d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4859 Jackson St Unit B Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1226 | $2,495 | $2.04 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 9090 Colony Pl Unit B Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $2,100 | $2.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3750 Myers St Riverside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 803 | $2,100 | $2.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 7721 Janet Ave Unit C Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,799 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 7721 Janet Ave Unit A Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,449 | $2.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3688 Taft St Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $3,250 | $2.56 | 2d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4486 Santee Pl Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,000 | $2.14 | 20d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3905 Dawes St Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1193 | $2,555 | $2.14 | 3d | 5 | 0.94mi |
| 5910 Warren St Unit A7 Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,950 | $2.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5910 Warren St Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,950 | $2.60 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 6195 Pegasus Dr Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $2,228 | $2.75 | 3d | 3 | 1.00mi |
| 3626 Jackson St Unit 3636-L Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,250 | $2.37 | 5d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 8641 Garfield St Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $2,995 | $2.67 | 22d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 8641 Garfield St Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $2,995 | $2.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 10150 Cook Ave Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $3,045 | $2.07 | 5d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 8715 Magnolia Ave Riverside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1150 | $2,200 | $1.91 | 44d | 4 | 1.07mi |
| 9535 Hannah Way Unit 30 Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1465 | $3,295 | $2.25 | 17d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 9535 Hannah Way Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1465 | $3,195 | $2.18 | 2d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 9525 Hannah Way Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1464 | $3,300 | $2.25 | 10d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 9513 Hannah Way Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1464 | $3,195 | $2.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3644 Harrison St Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 805 | $2,845 | $3.53 | 44d | 38 | 1.14mi |
| 3644 Harrison St Unit 104 Riverside, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 773 | $2,445 | $3.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3708 Broadmoor St Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,695 | $2.25 | 4d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 9174 Indiana Ave Riverside, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 941 | $2,738 | $2.91 | 2d | 14 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 415-char remark
-
2026-06-09$125,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 23 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,394
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,272
- − Management
- −$2,272
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $10,713
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,571
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,494/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This beautifully remodeled mobile home is move-in ready with good condition and minimal maintenance required. It offers a great opportunity for investors looking to increase its value through targeted updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting and increase its value
- Both Landscaping — Landscaping can improve curb appeal and add value for both resale and rental
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental ↑
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting and increase its value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Landscaping can improve curb appeal and add value for both resale and rental ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riverside Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0633150
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,038
- Composite
- 40.8/100
- National rank
- #7563
- State rank
- #574 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Riverside
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #337
- US rank
- #11613
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Riverside, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 367,890
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 88,395
- Household income
- $96,268
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2337.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 61% White 24% Two or more races 15% Asian 8% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 52%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 44% English-only · Spanish 45% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -414.52%
- Current HPI
- 393.407
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Coming Soon $125,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…