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9391 California Ave #17
C+ Composite 64.48
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

9391 California Ave #17 · Riverside, CA 92503
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured · 10 Days on market
Built 1973 Good condition Est $98k · 28% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home that is truly move-in ready! This charming home features updated finishes throughout, a spacious and inviting layout, and plenty of natural light. Perfect for anyone looking for comfort, convenience, and a low-maintenance lifestyle. Just bring your furniture and start enjoying your new home from day one. Don't miss this fantastic opportunity—it won't last long!

Key facts

  • Community pool
  • Built 1973
  • Listed 10 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot feature: 0-1 Unit/Acre; Elevation measured in feet; Living area source: public records
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Land lease $1,150 (land lease applies); Rent includes pool and water

Exterior

  • Parking: Located in Riverside Country Club park
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/Public water
  • Home design: Single-story/mobile home (mobile home remains); Double body type
  • Construction: Mobile width 12 ft and length 12 ft; Year built per public records
  • Exterior features: Community pool; Curbs

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric stove; Water heater unit
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: One-level home with front entry; Entry located at the front
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Has laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 3.0% in Riverside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#337 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, commute B+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D, crime F.
  • Riverside Unified (urban): math 36% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #574 of 1,400 in CA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.89%
Cap rate
15.95%
Cash-on-cash
34.47%
DSCR
2.53
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$97,920
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9391 California Ave #13 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+8%) 2mo $50,000 $40 85
9391 California Ave #118 0.03mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+8%) 8mo $114,900 $92 79
9391 California Ave #66 0.03mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+8%) 11mo $60,000 $48 76
9391 California #77 0.03mi 2/2.0 1,296 (+12%) 23mo $110,000 $85 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.4%
Equity multiple
2.28×
Total profit
$44,797
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
37.9%
Equity multiple
4.59×
Total profit
$125,666
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92503

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
196
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,366 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$497
Net cashflow
$1,005

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,092 -5% $1,049 +0% $1,005 +5% $962 +10% $919
Rent -10% $819 -5% $912 +0% $1,005 +5% $1,099 +10% $1,192
Rate -1.0pp $1,068 -0.5pp $1,037 base $1,005 +0.5pp $973 +1.0pp $940

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4620 Van Buren Blvd Riverside, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 665 $2,495 $3.75 2d 13 0.29mi
4119 Van Buren Blvd Riverside, CA 2.0 1.0 905 $2,025 $2.24 24d 2 0.30mi
4119 Van Buren Blvd Unit 25 Riverside, CA 2.0 1.0 905 $2,025 $2.24 22d 1 0.30mi
4115 Van Buren Blvd Apt 2 Riverside, CA 2.0 1.0 905 $2,025 $2.24 44d 1 0.31mi
4115 Van Buren Blvd Apt 2 Riverside, CA 2.0 1.0 905 $1,995 $2.20 21d 1 0.31mi
9400 Garfield St Riverside, CA 2.0 2.0 940 $2,150 $2.29 24d 1 0.46mi
4273 Wheeler St Riverside, CA 3.0 2.0 1000 $2,595 $2.60 3d 1 0.48mi
3928 Everest Ave Riverside, CA 2.0 1.0 1324 $2,000 $1.51 24d 1 0.53mi
9145 Audrey St Unit 1 Riverside, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $2,400 $2.82 44d 1 0.58mi
3904 Stotts St Riverside, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,575 $2.34 45d 1 0.58mi
4185 Selma Ave Riverside, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,750 $2.75 44d 1 0.61mi
4743 Jackson St #64 Riverside, CA 2.0 1.5 861 $2,095 $2.43 24d 1 0.65mi
3918 Jackson St Riverside, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,000 $2.22 24d 1 0.66mi
4853 Jackson St Unit C Riverside, CA 2.0 1.0 968 $1,900 $1.96 44d 1 0.79mi
4853 Jackson St Riverside, CA 2.0 1.0 968 $2,100 $2.17 44d 1 0.79mi
4859 Jackson St Riverside, CA 3.0 1.5 1226 $2,495 $2.04 15d 1 0.81mi
4859 Jackson St Unit B Riverside, CA 3.0 1.5 1226 $2,495 $2.04 22d 1 0.81mi
9090 Colony Pl Unit B Riverside, CA 2.0 1.0 888 $2,100 $2.36 44d 1 0.84mi
3750 Myers St Riverside, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 803 $2,100 $2.61 44d 1 0.90mi
7721 Janet Ave Unit C Riverside, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,799 $2.00 24d 1 0.91mi
7721 Janet Ave Unit A Riverside, CA 3.0 2.0 900 $2,449 $2.72 24d 1 0.91mi
3688 Taft St Riverside, CA 3.0 2.0 1268 $3,250 $2.56 2d 1 0.92mi
4486 Santee Pl Riverside, CA 3.0 2.0 1400 $3,000 $2.14 20d 1 0.93mi
3905 Dawes St Riverside, CA 2.0 2.0 1193 $2,555 $2.14 3d 5 0.94mi
5910 Warren St Unit A7 Riverside, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,950 $2.60 24d 1 0.97mi
5910 Warren St Riverside, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,950 $2.60 17d 1 0.97mi
6195 Pegasus Dr Riverside, CA 2.0 1.0 810 $2,228 $2.75 3d 3 1.00mi
3626 Jackson St Unit 3636-L Riverside, CA 2.0 1.0 950 $2,250 $2.37 5d 1 1.01mi
8641 Garfield St Riverside, CA 3.0 2.0 1122 $2,995 $2.67 22d 1 1.03mi
8641 Garfield St Riverside, CA 3.0 2.0 1122 $2,995 $2.67 24d 1 1.03mi
10150 Cook Ave Riverside, CA 3.0 2.0 1469 $3,045 $2.07 5d 1 1.07mi
8715 Magnolia Ave Riverside, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1150 $2,200 $1.91 44d 4 1.07mi
9535 Hannah Way Unit 30 Riverside, CA 3.0 3.0 1465 $3,295 $2.25 17d 1 1.09mi
9535 Hannah Way Riverside, CA 3.0 3.0 1465 $3,195 $2.18 2d 1 1.09mi
9525 Hannah Way Riverside, CA 3.0 3.0 1464 $3,300 $2.25 10d 1 1.14mi
9513 Hannah Way Riverside, CA 3.0 3.0 1464 $3,195 $2.18 21d 1 1.14mi
3644 Harrison St Riverside, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 805 $2,845 $3.53 44d 38 1.14mi
3644 Harrison St Unit 104 Riverside, CA 1.0 1.0 773 $2,445 $3.16 24d 1 1.14mi
3708 Broadmoor St Riverside, CA 2.0 1.0 1200 $2,695 $2.25 4d 1 1.14mi
9174 Indiana Ave Riverside, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 941 $2,738 $2.91 2d 14 1.26mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    remarks 415-char remark
  8. 2026-06-09
    listed $125,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 23 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,394
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,272
− Management
−$2,272
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$10,713
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,571
After-tax cash flow
$9,494/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This beautifully remodeled mobile home is move-in ready with good condition and minimal maintenance required. It offers a great opportunity for investors looking to increase its value through targeted updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental
  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting and increase its value
  • Both Landscaping — Landscaping can improve curb appeal and add value for both resale and rental

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental
  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting and increase its value
  • Both Landscaping — Landscaping can improve curb appeal and add value for both resale and rental

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Riverside Unified
NCES district ID
0633150
Math proficiency
36% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$62,038
Composite
40.8/100
National rank
#7563
State rank
#574 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Riverside

Score
66/100
State rank
#337
US rank
#11613

Category grades

Amenities C Commute B+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Riverside, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
367,890
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
88,395
Household income
$96,268
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
2337.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 61% White 24% Two or more races 15% Asian 8% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 52%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
44% English-only · Spanish 45% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -414.52%
Current HPI
393.407
Rent YoY
▲ 3.41%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Coming Soon $125,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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