1036 Hillyer Ave · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 65.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Updated 3 bedroom/2 bath single level house. Updated with new paint, new flooring, new fixtures, new kitchen appliances including fridge, new granite countertops, new water heater & detached workshop!
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1933
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $185 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $149k (3.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $149k (3.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 5.5% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Miller Magnet Middle School (math 16% / reading 33%, grade F, #301 of 470 statewide, top 66%, 585 students, 100% FRL); Central High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #394 of 424 statewide, top 97%, 844 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 257 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,489/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 2674% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1933 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1933 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.11%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $99,268
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1293 Courtland Ave | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,114 (-2%) | 8mo | $131,740 | $62 | 74 |
| 2794 Napier Ave | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,247 (+4%) | 12mo | $167,980 | $75 | 69 |
| 2710 Napier Ave | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,330 (+8%) | 10mo | $70,000 | $30 | 67 |
| 2620 Stanislaus Cir | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,019 (-6%) | 3mo | $360,000 | $178 | 63 |
| 2713 Suwanee Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,879 (-13%) | 3mo | $85,500 | $46 | 61 |
| 2687 Hillcrest Ave | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,437 (+13%) | 13mo | $45,000 | $18 | 55 |
| 1197 Hillyer Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,858 (-14%) | 13mo | $85,000 | $46 | 54 |
| 1196 Courtland Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,836 (-15%) | 12mo | $63,000 | $34 | 52 |
| 1159 Huguenin Ave | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 2,020 (-6%) | 7mo | $45,000 | $22 | 52 |
| 2334 Napier Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,900 (-12%) | 3mo | $47,500 | $25 | 51 |
| 154 Buckingham Pl | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,840 (-15%) | 12mo | $104,000 | $57 | 23 |
| 154 Buckingham Pl | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,840 (-15%) | 13mo | $104,000 | $57 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-10,915
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $15,944
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31204
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 257
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,489 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,366/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$313
- Net cashflow
- $185
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $273 | -5% $229 | +0% $185 | +5% $141 | +10% $97 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $67 | -5% $126 | +0% $185 | +5% $244 | +10% $303 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $263 | -0.5pp $224 | base $185 | +0.5pp $145 | +1.0pp $104 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1025 Hillyer Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1738 | $1,800 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1025 Hillyer Ave Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1738 | $1,800 | $1.04 | 46d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2694 Cherokee Ave Unit A Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1985 | $1,250 | $0.63 | 46d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 2697 Napier Ave Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $895 | $0.58 | 23d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 2663 Hillcrest Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1931 | $1,395 | $0.72 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2794 Napier Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $1,175 | $0.70 | 46d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 919 Inverness Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1676 | $1,549 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1221 Brentwood Ave Macon, GA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2026 | $1,399 | $0.69 | 46d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1336 Winton Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1632 | $1,350 | $0.83 | 46d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1030 Radio Dr Macon, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2052 | $1,400 | $0.68 | 46d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2269 Robin Lyn Ct Macon, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1560 | $1,375 | $0.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2269 Robin Lyn Ct Unit 31204 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1560 | $1,375 | $0.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 240 Candler Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2635 | $1,850 | $0.70 | 15d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3258 Napier Ave Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2113 | $1,600 | $0.76 | 46d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3147 Westover Dr Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1705 | $1,475 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3320 Guthrie Dr Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,500 | $0.83 | 46d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1082 Lamont St Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2229 | $1,295 | $0.58 | 46d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1515 Burton Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1568 | $1,250 | $0.80 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1371 Ross St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1541 | $1,200 | $0.78 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 209 Ridgewood Ave Unit 209 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,200 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 201 Ridgewood Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,200 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 425 Rogers Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1646 | $1,375 | $0.84 | 15d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1347 Jackson St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $1,300 | $0.91 | 46d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-05-04historical
-
2026-05-01$155,000
-
2025-11-21status Under Contract
-
2025-11-21historical
-
2025-11-18$150,000 New
-
2022-11-23soldstatus $157,000
-
2022-11-22soldstatus $157,000 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Updated 3 bedroom/2 bath single level house. Updated with new paint, new flooring, new fixtures, new kitchen appliances including fridge, new granite countertops, new water heater & detached workshop!
-
2022-11-22soldstatus $157,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Updated 3 bedroom/2 bath single level house. Updated with new paint, new flooring, new fixtures, new kitchen appliances including fridge, new granite countertops, new water heater & detached workshop!
-
2022-10-24historical
-
2022-10-20historical
-
2022-10-12$160,000 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Updated 3 bedroom/2 bath single level house. Updated with new paint, new flooring, new fixtures, new kitchen appliances including fridge, new granite countertops, new water heater & detached workshop!
-
2022-10-12$160,000
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Updated 3 bedroom/2 bath single level house. Updated with new paint, new flooring, new fixtures, new kitchen appliances including fridge, new granite countertops, new water heater & detached workshop!
-
2022-10-12$160,000 New
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Updated 3 bedroom/2 bath single level house. Updated with new paint, new flooring, new fixtures, new kitchen appliances including fridge, new granite countertops, new water heater & detached workshop!
-
2021-06-14soldstatus $57,500
-
2021-06-08soldstatus $57,500
-
2021-04-20$69,900
-
2005-12-15soldstatus $88,000
-
2000-08-31soldstatus $68,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,366 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,426 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- +$60/yr (+$5/mo · 4.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,866
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$1,366
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,429
- − Management
- −$1,429
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$325
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$78
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,297/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,421
- Household income
- $38,784
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2674.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.44%
- Current HPI
- 194.5459
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.61%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+127.9% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $155,000 GAMLS
- 2025-11-21 Pending — GAMLS
- 2025-11-21 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-11-18 Listed $150,000 GAMLS
- 2022-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $157,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-22 Sold (MLS) $157,000 CGMLS
- 2022-11-22 Sold (MLS) $157,000 MGMLS
- 2022-10-24 Delisted — CGMLS
- 2022-10-20 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2022-10-12 Listed $160,000 GAMLS
- 2022-10-12 Listed $160,000 CGMLS
- 2022-10-12 Listed $160,000 MGMLS
- 2021-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
- 2021-06-08 Sold (MLS) $57,500 MGMLS
- 2021-04-20 Listed $69,900 MGMLS
- 2005-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
- 2000-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,366 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…