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1245 Rainbow Ln
D Composite 44.25
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$22,000

1245 Rainbow Ln · Vidor, TX 77662
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1948 0.33 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

1245 Vidor, Texas – Investor Opportunity This property has been uninhabitable for many years and features an unconventional layout. The owner has priced it close to lot value, recognizing that redevelopment or major renovations will be required. Lot is ideal for investors or buyers seeking a clean slate to create value. Property is being sold as-is

Key facts

  • Clean slate
  • Lot value
  • 0.33 acre lot

Tags

UNCONVENTIONAL LAYOUTLOT VALUECLEAN SLATE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $22k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $640 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $22k).
  • Cap rate 41.2% vs local median 4.6% in Vidor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#576 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Vidor ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #422 of 826 in TX (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Vidor H S (math 56% / reading 40%, grade D, #571 of 1,632 statewide, top 36%, 1,193 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 242 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 235 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $152 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $660 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 47% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $22,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.56%
Cap rate
41.20%
Cash-on-cash
124.67%
DSCR
6.55
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.04×
Total profit
$37,212
Equity at exit
$3,280
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.79×
Total profit
$84,952
Equity at exit
$1,902

Cash invested: $6,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77662

Active inventory
242
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,003 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$115
Tax est. 1.5%
$28 /mo · $330/yr
Insurance
$9
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$640

Break-even live

Break-even rent $192
Max offer price $22,000
Occupancy floor 31%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $655 -5% $648 +0% $640 +5% $632 +10% $625
Rent -10% $561 -5% $600 +0% $640 +5% $680 +10% $719
Rate -1.0pp $651 -0.5pp $646 base $640 +0.5pp $634 +1.0pp $628

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,500
Closing costs
$660
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
475 S Denver St Vidor, TX 2.0 1.0 660 $850 $1.29 22d 1 1.22mi
475 S Denver St Vidor, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0 910 $850 $0.93 45d 2 1.25mi
475 S Denver St Unit St216 Vidor, TX 2.0 1.0 880 $850 $0.97 15d 1 1.25mi
240 Mill St Unit B Vidor, TX 1.0 1.0 880 $995 $1.13 15d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-04-07
    status Pending 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    1245 Vidor, Texas – Investor Opportunity This property has been uninhabitable for many years and features an unconventional layout. The owner has priced it close to lot value, recognizing that redevelopment or major renovations will be required. Lot is ideal for investors or buyers seeking a clean slate to create value. Property is being sold as-is

  2. 2025-12-21
    status Pending
  3. 2025-12-16
    status Active 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    1245 Vidor, Texas – Investor Opportunity This property has been uninhabitable for many years and features an unconventional layout. The owner has priced it close to lot value, recognizing that redevelopment or major renovations will be required. Lot is ideal for investors or buyers seeking a clean slate to create value. Property is being sold as-is

  4. 2025-12-16
    price $22,000 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    1245 Vidor, Texas – Investor Opportunity This property has been uninhabitable for many years and features an unconventional layout. The owner has priced it close to lot value, recognizing that redevelopment or major renovations will be required. Lot is ideal for investors or buyers seeking a clean slate to create value. Property is being sold as-is

  5. 2025-12-16
    price $22,000
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    1245 Vidor, Texas – Investor Opportunity This property has been uninhabitable for many years and features an unconventional layout. The owner has priced it close to lot value, recognizing that redevelopment or major renovations will be required. Lot is ideal for investors or buyers seeking a clean slate to create value. Property is being sold as-is

  6. 2025-12-16
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    1245 Vidor, Texas – Investor Opportunity This property has been uninhabitable for many years and features an unconventional layout. The owner has priced it close to lot value, recognizing that redevelopment or major renovations will be required. Lot is ideal for investors or buyers seeking a clean slate to create value. Property is being sold as-is

  7. 2025-10-04
    status Pending 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    1245 Vidor, Texas – Investor Opportunity This property has been uninhabitable for many years and features an unconventional layout. The owner has priced it close to lot value, recognizing that redevelopment or major renovations will be required. Lot is ideal for investors or buyers seeking a clean slate to create value. Property is being sold as-is

  8. 2025-09-27
    status Pending
  9. 2025-09-25
    listed $15,000 Active 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    1245 Vidor, Texas – Investor Opportunity This property has been uninhabitable for many years and features an unconventional layout. The owner has priced it close to lot value, recognizing that redevelopment or major renovations will be required. Lot is ideal for investors or buyers seeking a clean slate to create value. Property is being sold as-is

  10. 2025-09-23
    listed $15,000 Active
  11. 2021-08-16
    historical
  12. 2021-04-19
    listed $82,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 7% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,031
− Mortgage interest
−$1,232
− Property taxes
−$330
− Insurance
−$110
− Repairs & maintenance
−$962
− Management
−$962
− Depreciation
−$640
Taxable income
$7,794
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,870
After-tax cash flow
$5,809/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vidor ISD
NCES district ID
4844160
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$44,169
Composite
33.95/100
National rank
#5331
State rank
#422 of 826 in TX

Livability — Vidor

Score
67/100
State rank
#576
US rank
#11001

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Vidor, TX
County
Orange County · 87,112 people
City population
25,041
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
Population (ZIP)
25,041
Household income
$72,243
Rent vs Own
19.6% rent · 80.4% own
Severe rent burden
401.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,065 people
By 2030
89,591 · +1.7%
By 2040
91,982 · +4.4%
By 2050
93,023 · +5.6%
By 2075
94,871 · +7.7%
By 2100
88,155 · +0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.4% · R 83.1%
2008→2024 swing
-19.6pp toward R · 2008: -47.1pp · 2024: -66.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.8 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+54.3 2008: R+47.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.46%
Current HPI
141.0844
Rent YoY
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-73.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Pending MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-12-21 Pending HARMLS
  • 2025-12-16 Relisted MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-12-16 Price Changed $22,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-12-16 Price Changed $22,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-16 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2025-10-04 Pending MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-09-27 Pending HARMLS
  • 2025-09-25 Listed $15,000 MCALLENMLS
  • 2025-09-23 Listed $15,000 HARMLS
  • 2021-08-16 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2021-04-19 Listed $82,000 HARMLS

Property tax history

+8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,367 · +45.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…