161 Cooper Rd · Dresden, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$22,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity for investors, renovators, or buyers looking for a project property with potential. This single-level home sits on a grassy lot with mature trees, a covered carport, and a small covered entry/porch area. The exterior features a metal roof, red trim, and a spacious yard with room for cleanup, landscaping, or future improvements.
Key facts
- Small covered entry
- Metal roof
- Covered carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 920 (source: owner)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport with 1 covered space (total 1 parking space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Metal roof; Construction materials: Other; Foundation: Other; Year built detail: Model
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.14 acres (dimensions 50 x 345)
Interior
- Kitchen: No built-in appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on main level) — approx. 12x12 and 10x12
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating system listed; Has cooling (type: Other)
- Interior features: Redecorated; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Water heater noted as energy-efficient feature
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $22k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $537 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($872 rent vs $22k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#111 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Weakley County (rural): math 34% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #32 of 139 in TN (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Dresden Elementary (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #191 of 952 statewide, top 22%, 467 students, 0% FRL); Dresden High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #86 of 332 statewide, top 27%, 314 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 50% district-wide (50 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 69 units permitted in Weakley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $156 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $675 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Weakley County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $22k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 34.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 102.36%
- DSCR
- 5.55
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 5.86×
- Total profit
- $30,591
- Equity at exit
- $3,355
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.23×
- Total profit
- $70,753
- Equity at exit
- $1,945
Cash invested: $6,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38225
- Home prices YoY
- -5.5%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $872 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$118
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $286/yr
- Insurance
- −$9
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$183
- Net cashflow
- $537
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $550 | -5% $544 | +0% $537 | +5% $531 | +10% $525 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $469 | -5% $503 | +0% $537 | +5% $572 | +10% $606 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $549 | -0.5pp $543 | base $537 | +0.5pp $532 | +1.0pp $526 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,625
- Closing costs
- $675
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-19statusdays on market $22,500 Pending 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $22,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $22,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $22,500 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $22,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $22,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13price $22,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $25,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $25,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 347-char remark
-
2026-06-07$25,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $286 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $286 · $24/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,459
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,260
- − Property taxes
- −$286
- − Insurance
- −$112
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$837
- − Management
- −$837
- − Depreciation
- −$655
- Taxable income
- $6,473
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,553
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,895/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Weakley County
- NCES district ID
- 4704470
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,389
- Composite
- 29.77/100
- National rank
- #6434
- State rank
- #32 of 139 in TN
Livability — Dresden
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #11253
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dresden, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,183
Population outlook (Weakley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,862 people
- By 2030
- 30,688 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 27,935 · -12.3%
- By 2050
- 25,485 · -20.0%
- By 2075
- 21,080 · -33.8%
- By 2100
- 18,214 · -42.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Weakley
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.4) · D 20.3% · R 78.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.2pp toward R · 2008: -31.1pp · 2024: -58.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.4 2020: R+53.7 2016: R+51.4 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+31.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -14.59%
- Current HPI
- 248.5832
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+78.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Listed $25,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $286 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…