418 W Penn St · El Reno, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$116,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering a bright and inviting interior with abundant natural light. Features include a spacious kitchen with ample counter space, generously sized bedrooms, and an open floor plan ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Fresh paint and new flooring throughout add a modern touch. Situated on a large lot with plenty of space for outdoor enjoyment. Move-in ready.
Key facts
- 6,251 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1965
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in El Reno Original Town addition; Homestead not indicated
- Financial info: Loan qualification possible; Not assumable
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Existing property
- Construction: Vinyl exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Interior lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central gas heating
- Interior features: One living area; No fireplace; No study
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $117k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $117k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 4.8% in El Reno — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#95 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- El Reno (town): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #232 of 270 in OK (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Rose Witcher Es (387 students, 0% FRL); El Reno Hs (math 16% / reading 19%, grade F, #307 of 447 statewide, top 69%, 980 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 68% district-wide (68 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 280 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 260 units permitted in Canadian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $808 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Canadian County population projected at +64% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.39%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $184,672
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1014 W Woodson St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,593 (+0%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $116 | 78 |
| 421 N Barker Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,574 (-1%) | 4mo | $61,000 | $39 | 75 |
| 310 N Rock Island Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,563 (-2%) | 8mo | $174,000 | $111 | 71 |
| 1019 W London St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,586 (-0%) | 9mo | $205,000 | $129 | 62 |
| 601 S Macomb Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,543 (-3%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $120 | 58 |
| 518 S Ellison Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,442 (-9%) | 1mo | $207,800 | $144 | 56 |
| 1117 W London St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (-5%) | 6mo | $136,000 | $90 | 54 |
| 504 Lynn Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,539 (-3%) | 15mo | $165,000 | $107 | 52 |
| 306 N Barker Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,444 (-9%) | 13mo | $189,900 | $132 | 52 |
| 118 N Foster Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,532 (-4%) | 7mo | $155,000 | $101 | 52 |
| 901 W Wade St | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 | 1,364 (-14%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $114 | 42 |
| 718 S Choctaw Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,360 (-15%) | 3mo | $181,000 | $133 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $9,543
- Equity at exit
- $17,430
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $50,100
- Equity at exit
- $10,107
Cash invested: $32,732 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73036
- Home prices YoY
- -3.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 280
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,464 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$613
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $897/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $420
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,225
- Closing costs
- $3,507
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605 W Clarke St El Reno, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1768 | $1,395 | $0.79 | 2d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 819 S Wilson Ave El Reno, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,325 | $1.10 | 4d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 819 S Wilson Ave Unit 819 El Reno, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,325 | $1.10 | 2d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1031 S Ellison Ave El Reno, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1601 | $1,500 | $0.94 | 2d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1109 S Ellison Ave El Reno, OK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1595 | $1,360 | $0.85 | 2d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1320 E Cavanaugh St El Reno, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $1,400 | $1.15 | 10d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $116,900 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $116,900 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $116,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $116,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $116,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $116,900 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $116,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $116,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $116,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $116,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $116,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-02-16price $116,900
-
2026-01-02$119,900 Active
-
2025-11-28historical
-
2025-08-20price $119,900
-
2025-04-30price $134,500
-
2025-01-25$149,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $897 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,052 · $88/mo
- Expected delta
- +$155/yr (+$13/mo · 17.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,563
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,548
- − Property taxes
- −$897
- − Insurance
- −$584
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,405
- − Management
- −$1,405
- − Depreciation
- −$3,401
- Taxable income
- $3,323
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$797
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,240/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- El Reno
- NCES district ID
- 4010650
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,689
- Composite
- 12.01/100
- National rank
- #9664
- State rank
- #232 of 270 in OK
Livability — El Reno
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #95
- US rank
- #10933
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- El Reno, OK
- County
- Canadian County · 154,341 people
- City population
- 21,387
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,387
- Household income
- $59,915
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 580.0
Population outlook (Canadian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,062 people
- By 2030
- 195,170 · +12.1%
- By 2040
- 239,293 · +37.5%
- By 2050
- 285,457 · +64.0%
- By 2075
- 403,766 · +132.0%
- By 2100
- 498,766 · +186.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Native American 8% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Canadian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.4) · D 28.8% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.9pp toward D · 2008: -52.2pp · 2024: -40.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.4 2020: R+43.3 2016: R+51.2 2012: R+54.4 2008: R+52.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -11.37%
- Current HPI
- 334.5896
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.19%
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-22.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $116,900 MLSOK
- 2026-01-02 Listed $119,900 MLSOK
- 2025-11-28 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2025-08-20 Price Changed $119,900 MLSOK
- 2025-04-30 Price Changed $134,500 MLSOK
- 2025-01-25 Listed $149,900 MLSOK
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $897 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…