CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
No image
B Composite 72.66
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$116,900

418 W Penn St · El Reno, OK 73036
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,592 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 164 Days on market
Built 1965 6,251 sqft lot Est $185k · 37% under ↓ 22% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering a bright and inviting interior with abundant natural light. Features include a spacious kitchen with ample counter space, generously sized bedrooms, and an open floor plan ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Fresh paint and new flooring throughout add a modern touch. Situated on a large lot with plenty of space for outdoor enjoyment. Move-in ready.

Key facts

  • 6,251 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1965

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in El Reno Original Town addition; Homestead not indicated
  • Financial info: Loan qualification possible; Not assumable
  • HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Existing property
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Interior lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central gas heating
  • Interior features: One living area; No fireplace; No study

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $117k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $117k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 4.8% in El Reno — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#95 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • El Reno (town): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #232 of 270 in OK (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Rose Witcher Es (387 students, 0% FRL); El Reno Hs (math 16% / reading 19%, grade F, #307 of 447 statewide, top 69%, 980 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 68% district-wide (68 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 280 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 260 units permitted in Canadian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $808 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Canadian County population projected at +64% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $102,872 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.60%
Cash-on-cash
15.39%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$184,672
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1014 W Woodson St 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,593 (+0%) 3mo $185,000 $116 78
421 N Barker Ave 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,574 (-1%) 4mo $61,000 $39 75
310 N Rock Island Ave 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,563 (-2%) 8mo $174,000 $111 71
1019 W London St 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,586 (-0%) 9mo $205,000 $129 62
601 S Macomb Ave 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,543 (-3%) 2mo $185,000 $120 58
518 S Ellison Ave 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,442 (-9%) 1mo $207,800 $144 56
1117 W London St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,508 (-5%) 6mo $136,000 $90 54
504 Lynn Dr 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,539 (-3%) 15mo $165,000 $107 52
306 N Barker Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,444 (-9%) 13mo $189,900 $132 52
118 N Foster Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,532 (-4%) 7mo $155,000 $101 52
901 W Wade St 0.44mi 3/2.5 1,364 (-14%) 8mo $155,000 $114 42
718 S Choctaw Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,360 (-15%) 3mo $181,000 $133 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.19% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$9,543
Equity at exit
$17,430
10-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$50,100
Equity at exit
$10,107

Cash invested: $32,732 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73036

Home prices YoY
-3.3%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
280
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,464 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$613
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $897/yr
Insurance
$49
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$307
Net cashflow
$420

Break-even live

Break-even rent $932
Max offer price $116,900
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,225
Closing costs
$3,507
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
605 W Clarke St El Reno, OK 3.0 2.0 1768 $1,395 $0.79 2d 1 0.14mi
819 S Wilson Ave El Reno, OK 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,325 $1.10 4d 1 0.81mi
819 S Wilson Ave Unit 819 El Reno, OK 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,325 $1.10 2d 1 0.82mi
1031 S Ellison Ave El Reno, OK 3.0 2.0 1601 $1,500 $0.94 2d 1 1.02mi
1109 S Ellison Ave El Reno, OK 2.0 2.0 1595 $1,360 $0.85 2d 1 1.11mi
1320 E Cavanaugh St El Reno, OK 3.0 2.0 1222 $1,400 $1.15 10d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $116,900 Active 164 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $116,900 Active 162 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $116,900 Active 161 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $116,900 Active 158 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $116,900 Active 157 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $116,900 Active 156 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    days on market $116,900 Active 153 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $116,900 Active 152 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $116,900 Active 151 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $116,900 Active 150 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $116,900 Active 149 DOM
  12. 2026-02-16
    price $116,900
  13. 2026-01-02
    listed $119,900 Active
  14. 2025-11-28
    historical
  15. 2025-08-20
    price $119,900
  16. 2025-04-30
    price $134,500
  17. 2025-01-25
    listed $149,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$897 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,052 · $88/mo
Expected delta
+$155/yr (+$13/mo · 17.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,563
− Mortgage interest
−$6,548
− Property taxes
−$897
− Insurance
−$584
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,405
− Management
−$1,405
− Depreciation
−$3,401
Taxable income
$3,323
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$797
After-tax cash flow
$4,240/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
El Reno
NCES district ID
4010650
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$44,689
Composite
12.01/100
National rank
#9664
State rank
#232 of 270 in OK

Livability — El Reno

Score
67/100
State rank
#95
US rank
#10933

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
El Reno, OK
County
Canadian County · 154,341 people
City population
21,387
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
Population (ZIP)
21,387
Household income
$59,915
Rent vs Own
37.1% rent · 62.9% own
Severe rent burden
580.0

Population outlook (Canadian County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
174,062 people
By 2030
195,170 · +12.1%
By 2040
239,293 · +37.5%
By 2050
285,457 · +64.0%
By 2075
403,766 · +132.0%
By 2100
498,766 · +186.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Native American 8% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Canadian

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.4) · D 28.8% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
+11.9pp toward D · 2008: -52.2pp · 2024: -40.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.4 2020: R+43.3 2016: R+51.2 2012: R+54.4 2008: R+52.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -11.37%
Current HPI
334.5896
Rent YoY
▲ 4.19%
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-22.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $116,900 MLSOK
  • 2026-01-02 Listed $119,900 MLSOK
  • 2025-11-28 Listing Removed MLSOK
  • 2025-08-20 Price Changed $119,900 MLSOK
  • 2025-04-30 Price Changed $134,500 MLSOK
  • 2025-01-25 Listed $149,900 MLSOK

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $897 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…