7342 S Debra Dr · Gilbert, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- Appreciation +9.2/10.0
- Cash flow +5.3/30.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$647,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move in Ready!! Adora Trails Beauty!!! This home features a welcoming curb appeal, manicured landscaping & 3-car garage! Inside you'll find sizable living & dining areas with upgraded wood-looking tile throughout and large sliding doors which are perfect for those cool nights. Recessed lighting, and neutral paint adds an airy feeling throughout. The den and loft are perfect for entertaining or a home office. The kitchen displays upgraded 42 inch maple cabinets, gas stove, pendant lamps, butlers pantry, shaker cabinets for abundant storage, upgraded granite countertops, SS appliances & an island for quick meals or casual conversations. The main bedroom offers carpet for extra coziness, a spacious walk-in closet, and a bathroom with double sinks. The sizable backyard Don't forget to visit the community's pool, clubhouse, lake, and so much more! Don't miss it!
Key facts
- Wood look flooring
- Shaker cabinets
- Recessed lighting
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $647k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $393k (39.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $321k (50.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $321k (50.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#1 in AZ, #240 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
- Chandler Unified District #80 (4242) (suburban): math 49% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #31 of 249 in AZ (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Charlotte Patterson Elementary (math 60% / reading 71%, grade B+, #92 of 1,109 statewide, top 9%, 851 students, 8% FRL); Willie & Coy Payne Jr. High (math 47% / reading 53%, grade C, #26 of 218 statewide, top 12%, 1,143 students, 11% FRL); Arizona College Prep High School (math 91% / reading 83%, grade A, #2 of 381 statewide, top 0%, 1,775 students, 7% FRL) — zoned schools average 9% FRL vs 25% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 53% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Chandler Unified District #80 (4242) average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 340 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $59k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $54k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$94k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 407 days — a 12% lower offer ($569k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $68k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 407 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 50% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.50% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.52%
- DSCR
- 0.58
- GRM
- 16.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $712,618
- List price
- $647,000
- Delta
- -9.21%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2480 E Haymore St | 0.30mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,888 (+0%) | 3mo | $1,080,000 | $374 | 75 |
| 2756 E Hickory St | 0.55mi | 4/2.5 | 2,873 (0%) | 2mo | $580,000 | $202 | 72 |
| 7637 S Barlow Dr | 0.50mi | 4/3.0 | 2,986 (+4%) | 1mo | $950,000 | $318 | 67 |
| 1933 E Lafayette Ave | 0.67mi | 4/2.5 | 2,873 (0%) | 4mo | $620,000 | $216 | 65 |
| 2813 E Muirfield St | 0.75mi | 4/2.5 | 2,871 (-0%) | 0mo | $720,000 | $251 | 65 |
| 7827 S Sequoia Dr | 0.65mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,925 (+2%) | 1mo | $875,000 | $299 | 57 |
| 1953 E Lafayette Ave | 0.65mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,900 (+1%) | 9mo | $650,000 | $224 | 54 |
| 2827 E Bellerive Dr | 0.55mi | 4/4.0 | 2,709 (-6%) | 7mo | $1,050,000 | $388 | 53 |
| 2742 E Villa Park Ct | 0.61mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,694 (-6%) | 1mo | $1,015,000 | $377 | 53 |
| 2952 E Augusta Ave | 0.71mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,938 (+2%) | 4mo | $689,990 | $235 | 51 |
| 2456 E Lindrick Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 | 2,615 (-9%) | 9mo | $650,000 | $249 | 45 |
| 7851 S Penrose Dr | 0.68mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 2,720 (-5%) | 6mo | $708,000 | $260 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.36% appreciation · 4.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $194,118
- Equity at exit
- $507,604
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.54×
- Total profit
- $640,991
- Equity at exit
- $1,023,304
Cash invested: $181,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85298
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 340
- Price-to-rent
- 16.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,212 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,393
- Tax from tax record
- −$204 /mo · $2,452/yr
- Insurance
- −$270
- HOA
- −$108
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$675
- Net cashflow
- $-1,437
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,071 | -5% $-1,254 | +0% $-1,437 | +5% $-1,620 | +10% $-1,803 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,691 | -5% $-1,564 | +0% $-1,437 | +5% $-1,310 | +10% $-1,183 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,111 | -0.5pp $-1,273 | base $-1,437 | +0.5pp $-1,605 | +1.0pp $-1,775 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $161,750
- Closing costs
- $19,410
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2751 E Mews Rd Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2658 | $2,749 | $1.03 | 0d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 7657 S Debra Dr Gilbert, AZ | 5.0 | 3.5 | 3512 | $3,700 | $1.05 | 0d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2756 E Hickory St Gilbert, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2873 | $2,995 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2756 E Hickory St Gilbert, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2873 | $2,995 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2220 E Flintlock Dr Gilbert, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2643 | $2,950 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3010 E Augusta Ave Gilbert, AZ | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2938 | $3,795 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2250 E Kelly Dr Gilbert, AZ | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1956 | $2,700 | $1.38 | 12d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 6770 S Tucana Ln Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2070 | $4,500 | $2.17 | 26d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3147 E Vallejo Dr Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2171 | $2,350 | $1.08 | 18d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2303 E Citadel Dr Gilbert, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2265 | $2,750 | $1.21 | 26d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4649 E Augusta Ave Chandler, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2192 | $2,350 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4649 E Augusta Ave Chandler, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2192 | $2,350 | $1.07 | 7d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $108 · $1,296/yr
- Likely covers
- gaslandscapingpool
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $647,000 Active 407 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $649,000 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $649,000 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $649,000 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $649,000 Active 401 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $649,000 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $649,000 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $649,000 Active 395 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $649,000 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $649,000 Active 393 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $649,000 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $649,000 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $649,000 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $649,000 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $649,000 Active 386 DOM
-
2026-04-20price $669,500 881-char remark
Show marketing remark (881 chars)
Move in Ready!! Adora Trails Beauty!!! This home features a welcoming curb appeal, manicured landscaping & 3-car garage! Inside you'll find sizable living & dining areas with upgraded wood-looking tile throughout and large sliding doors which are perfect for those cool nights. Recessed lighting, and neutral paint adds an airy feeling throughout. The den and loft are perfect for entertaining or a home office. The kitchen displays upgraded 42 inch maple cabinets, gas stove, pendant lamps, butlers pantry, shaker cabinets for abundant storage, upgraded granite countertops, SS appliances & an island for quick meals or casual conversations. The main bedroom offers carpet for extra coziness, a spacious walk-in closet, and a bathroom with double sinks. The sizable backyard Don't forget to visit the community's pool, clubhouse, lake, and so much more! Don't miss it!
-
2026-04-08price $672,500 881-char remark
Show marketing remark (881 chars)
Move in Ready!! Adora Trails Beauty!!! This home features a welcoming curb appeal, manicured landscaping & 3-car garage! Inside you'll find sizable living & dining areas with upgraded wood-looking tile throughout and large sliding doors which are perfect for those cool nights. Recessed lighting, and neutral paint adds an airy feeling throughout. The den and loft are perfect for entertaining or a home office. The kitchen displays upgraded 42 inch maple cabinets, gas stove, pendant lamps, butlers pantry, shaker cabinets for abundant storage, upgraded granite countertops, SS appliances & an island for quick meals or casual conversations. The main bedroom offers carpet for extra coziness, a spacious walk-in closet, and a bathroom with double sinks. The sizable backyard Don't forget to visit the community's pool, clubhouse, lake, and so much more! Don't miss it!
-
2026-03-06price $675,000 881-char remark
Show marketing remark (881 chars)
Move in Ready!! Adora Trails Beauty!!! This home features a welcoming curb appeal, manicured landscaping & 3-car garage! Inside you'll find sizable living & dining areas with upgraded wood-looking tile throughout and large sliding doors which are perfect for those cool nights. Recessed lighting, and neutral paint adds an airy feeling throughout. The den and loft are perfect for entertaining or a home office. The kitchen displays upgraded 42 inch maple cabinets, gas stove, pendant lamps, butlers pantry, shaker cabinets for abundant storage, upgraded granite countertops, SS appliances & an island for quick meals or casual conversations. The main bedroom offers carpet for extra coziness, a spacious walk-in closet, and a bathroom with double sinks. The sizable backyard Don't forget to visit the community's pool, clubhouse, lake, and so much more! Don't miss it!
-
2026-01-03status Active 881-char remark
Show marketing remark (881 chars)
Move in Ready!! Adora Trails Beauty!!! This home features a welcoming curb appeal, manicured landscaping & 3-car garage! Inside you'll find sizable living & dining areas with upgraded wood-looking tile throughout and large sliding doors which are perfect for those cool nights. Recessed lighting, and neutral paint adds an airy feeling throughout. The den and loft are perfect for entertaining or a home office. The kitchen displays upgraded 42 inch maple cabinets, gas stove, pendant lamps, butlers pantry, shaker cabinets for abundant storage, upgraded granite countertops, SS appliances & an island for quick meals or casual conversations. The main bedroom offers carpet for extra coziness, a spacious walk-in closet, and a bathroom with double sinks. The sizable backyard Don't forget to visit the community's pool, clubhouse, lake, and so much more! Don't miss it!
-
2026-01-01historical 881-char remark
Show marketing remark (881 chars)
Move in Ready!! Adora Trails Beauty!!! This home features a welcoming curb appeal, manicured landscaping & 3-car garage! Inside you'll find sizable living & dining areas with upgraded wood-looking tile throughout and large sliding doors which are perfect for those cool nights. Recessed lighting, and neutral paint adds an airy feeling throughout. The den and loft are perfect for entertaining or a home office. The kitchen displays upgraded 42 inch maple cabinets, gas stove, pendant lamps, butlers pantry, shaker cabinets for abundant storage, upgraded granite countertops, SS appliances & an island for quick meals or casual conversations. The main bedroom offers carpet for extra coziness, a spacious walk-in closet, and a bathroom with double sinks. The sizable backyard Don't forget to visit the community's pool, clubhouse, lake, and so much more! Don't miss it!
-
2025-12-08price $679,000 881-char remark
Show marketing remark (881 chars)
Move in Ready!! Adora Trails Beauty!!! This home features a welcoming curb appeal, manicured landscaping & 3-car garage! Inside you'll find sizable living & dining areas with upgraded wood-looking tile throughout and large sliding doors which are perfect for those cool nights. Recessed lighting, and neutral paint adds an airy feeling throughout. The den and loft are perfect for entertaining or a home office. The kitchen displays upgraded 42 inch maple cabinets, gas stove, pendant lamps, butlers pantry, shaker cabinets for abundant storage, upgraded granite countertops, SS appliances & an island for quick meals or casual conversations. The main bedroom offers carpet for extra coziness, a spacious walk-in closet, and a bathroom with double sinks. The sizable backyard Don't forget to visit the community's pool, clubhouse, lake, and so much more! Don't miss it!
-
2025-11-04price $686,000 881-char remark
Show marketing remark (881 chars)
Move in Ready!! Adora Trails Beauty!!! This home features a welcoming curb appeal, manicured landscaping & 3-car garage! Inside you'll find sizable living & dining areas with upgraded wood-looking tile throughout and large sliding doors which are perfect for those cool nights. Recessed lighting, and neutral paint adds an airy feeling throughout. The den and loft are perfect for entertaining or a home office. The kitchen displays upgraded 42 inch maple cabinets, gas stove, pendant lamps, butlers pantry, shaker cabinets for abundant storage, upgraded granite countertops, SS appliances & an island for quick meals or casual conversations. The main bedroom offers carpet for extra coziness, a spacious walk-in closet, and a bathroom with double sinks. The sizable backyard Don't forget to visit the community's pool, clubhouse, lake, and so much more! Don't miss it!
-
2025-06-10price $700,000 881-char remark
Show marketing remark (881 chars)
Move in Ready!! Adora Trails Beauty!!! This home features a welcoming curb appeal, manicured landscaping & 3-car garage! Inside you'll find sizable living & dining areas with upgraded wood-looking tile throughout and large sliding doors which are perfect for those cool nights. Recessed lighting, and neutral paint adds an airy feeling throughout. The den and loft are perfect for entertaining or a home office. The kitchen displays upgraded 42 inch maple cabinets, gas stove, pendant lamps, butlers pantry, shaker cabinets for abundant storage, upgraded granite countertops, SS appliances & an island for quick meals or casual conversations. The main bedroom offers carpet for extra coziness, a spacious walk-in closet, and a bathroom with double sinks. The sizable backyard Don't forget to visit the community's pool, clubhouse, lake, and so much more! Don't miss it!
-
2025-05-08$715,000 Active 881-char remark
Show marketing remark (881 chars)
Move in Ready!! Adora Trails Beauty!!! This home features a welcoming curb appeal, manicured landscaping & 3-car garage! Inside you'll find sizable living & dining areas with upgraded wood-looking tile throughout and large sliding doors which are perfect for those cool nights. Recessed lighting, and neutral paint adds an airy feeling throughout. The den and loft are perfect for entertaining or a home office. The kitchen displays upgraded 42 inch maple cabinets, gas stove, pendant lamps, butlers pantry, shaker cabinets for abundant storage, upgraded granite countertops, SS appliances & an island for quick meals or casual conversations. The main bedroom offers carpet for extra coziness, a spacious walk-in closet, and a bathroom with double sinks. The sizable backyard Don't forget to visit the community's pool, clubhouse, lake, and so much more! Don't miss it!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,452 · $204/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,270 · $356/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,819/yr (+$152/mo · 74.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥112°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,546
- − Mortgage interest
- −$36,242
- − Property taxes
- −$2,452
- − Insurance
- −$3,235
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,084
- − Management
- −$3,084
- − HOA
- −$1,296
- − Depreciation
- −$18,822
- Taxable loss
- −$29,668
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$7,120
- After-tax cash flow
- $-10,127/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chandler Unified District #80 (4242)
- NCES district ID
- 0401870
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,048
- Composite
- 47.54/100
- National rank
- #2268
- State rank
- #31 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Gilbert
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #240
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gilbert, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 281,769
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,114
- Household income
- $156,425
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 173.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.36%
- Current HPI
- 343.6932
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.31%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
-6.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $669,500 ARMLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $672,500 ARMLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $675,000 ARMLS
- 2026-01-03 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $679,000 ARMLS
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $686,000 ARMLS
- 2025-06-10 Price Changed $700,000 ARMLS
- 2025-05-08 Listed $715,000 ARMLS
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,452 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…