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5281-5287 Country Club Rd #21
C- Composite 52.82
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.0/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

5281-5287 Country Club Rd #21 · Carbondale, IL 62966
None bd · None ba · 750 sqft · Condo · 184 Days on market
Built 1953 Fair condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention investors!!! This is a prime opportunity for immediate reliable income. Down a quiet gravel drive you will find the (21 trailer hookup) trailer park. There are many happily established long-term residents who enjoy living here, so the income is consistent. Two trailers will come with the land, but the rest of them are privately owned and pay rent for the hookup location. This is the deal you have been looking for, don't let it pass you by! Any and all buyer requests will be entertained, so put them in your offer and we will bring them to our sellers!

Key facts

  • Built 1953
  • Listed 184 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a condo listed at $150k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.9% in Carbondale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#375 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Murphysboro CUSD 186 (town): math 9% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #585 of 620 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.44%
Cash-on-cash
7.68%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-7,158
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
5.1%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$15,918
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62966

Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,652 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax est. 1.5%
$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$347
Net cashflow
$269

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,312
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $373 -5% $321 +0% $269 +5% $217 +10% $165
Rent -10% $138 -5% $204 +0% $269 +5% $334 +10% $399
Rate -1.0pp $344 -0.5pp $307 base $269 +0.5pp $230 +1.0pp $190

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1210 Black Diamond Dr Carbondale, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1486 $1,652 $1.11 44d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $150,000 Active 184 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 183 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 182 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 181 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 180 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $150,000 Active 178 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 177 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 175 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 174 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 173 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 172 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $150,000 Active 169 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 167 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 166 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 165 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $150,000 Active 164 DOM
  17. 2025-09-30
    status Active 566-char remark
    Show marketing remark (566 chars)

    Attention investors!!! This is a prime opportunity for immediate reliable income. Down a quiet gravel drive you will find the (21 trailer hookup) trailer park. There are many happily established long-term residents who enjoy living here, so the income is consistent. Two trailers will come with the land, but the rest of them are privately owned and pay rent for the hookup location. This is the deal you have been looking for, don't let it pass you by! Any and all buyer requests will be entertained, so put them in your offer and we will bring them to our sellers!

  18. 2025-09-30
    historical 566-char remark
    Show marketing remark (566 chars)

    Attention investors!!! This is a prime opportunity for immediate reliable income. Down a quiet gravel drive you will find the (21 trailer hookup) trailer park. There are many happily established long-term residents who enjoy living here, so the income is consistent. Two trailers will come with the land, but the rest of them are privately owned and pay rent for the hookup location. This is the deal you have been looking for, don't let it pass you by! Any and all buyer requests will be entertained, so put them in your offer and we will bring them to our sellers!

  19. 2025-09-19
    status Pending 566-char remark
    Show marketing remark (566 chars)

    Attention investors!!! This is a prime opportunity for immediate reliable income. Down a quiet gravel drive you will find the (21 trailer hookup) trailer park. There are many happily established long-term residents who enjoy living here, so the income is consistent. Two trailers will come with the land, but the rest of them are privately owned and pay rent for the hookup location. This is the deal you have been looking for, don't let it pass you by! Any and all buyer requests will be entertained, so put them in your offer and we will bring them to our sellers!

  20. 2025-07-01
    status Active 566-char remark
    Show marketing remark (566 chars)

    Attention investors!!! This is a prime opportunity for immediate reliable income. Down a quiet gravel drive you will find the (21 trailer hookup) trailer park. There are many happily established long-term residents who enjoy living here, so the income is consistent. Two trailers will come with the land, but the rest of them are privately owned and pay rent for the hookup location. This is the deal you have been looking for, don't let it pass you by! Any and all buyer requests will be entertained, so put them in your offer and we will bring them to our sellers!

  21. 2025-07-01
    status Active 566-char remark
    Show marketing remark (566 chars)

    Attention investors!!! This is a prime opportunity for immediate reliable income. Down a quiet gravel drive you will find the (21 trailer hookup) trailer park. There are many happily established long-term residents who enjoy living here, so the income is consistent. Two trailers will come with the land, but the rest of them are privately owned and pay rent for the hookup location. This is the deal you have been looking for, don't let it pass you by! Any and all buyer requests will be entertained, so put them in your offer and we will bring them to our sellers!

  22. 2025-07-01
    historical 566-char remark
    Show marketing remark (566 chars)

    Attention investors!!! This is a prime opportunity for immediate reliable income. Down a quiet gravel drive you will find the (21 trailer hookup) trailer park. There are many happily established long-term residents who enjoy living here, so the income is consistent. Two trailers will come with the land, but the rest of them are privately owned and pay rent for the hookup location. This is the deal you have been looking for, don't let it pass you by! Any and all buyer requests will be entertained, so put them in your offer and we will bring them to our sellers!

  23. 2025-07-01
    historical 566-char remark
    Show marketing remark (566 chars)

    Attention investors!!! This is a prime opportunity for immediate reliable income. Down a quiet gravel drive you will find the (21 trailer hookup) trailer park. There are many happily established long-term residents who enjoy living here, so the income is consistent. Two trailers will come with the land, but the rest of them are privately owned and pay rent for the hookup location. This is the deal you have been looking for, don't let it pass you by! Any and all buyer requests will be entertained, so put them in your offer and we will bring them to our sellers!

  24. 2024-08-27
    listed Active 566-char remark
    Show marketing remark (566 chars)

    Attention investors!!! This is a prime opportunity for immediate reliable income. Down a quiet gravel drive you will find the (21 trailer hookup) trailer park. There are many happily established long-term residents who enjoy living here, so the income is consistent. Two trailers will come with the land, but the rest of them are privately owned and pay rent for the hookup location. This is the deal you have been looking for, don't let it pass you by! Any and all buyer requests will be entertained, so put them in your offer and we will bring them to our sellers!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,830
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,250
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,586
− Management
−$1,586
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$891
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$214
After-tax cash flow
$3,012/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 40/100 Moderate rehab

This multi-family property requires moderate renovations, including driveway repair and landscaping, to improve its curb appeal and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Gravel driveway — Needs replacement or repair
  • Major Overgrown vegetation — Needs trimming and landscaping

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and could attract more renters/investors
  • Both Driveway repair/replacement — Improves access and overall property appearance

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Gravel driveway · Needs replacement or repair Major $15,000–50,000
Overgrown vegetation · Needs trimming and landscaping Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $30,000–100,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and could attract more renters/investors
  • Both Driveway repair/replacement — Improves access and overall property appearance

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Murphysboro CUSD 186
NCES district ID
1727610
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
10% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$36,963
Composite
7.97/100
National rank
#9925
State rank
#585 of 620 in IL

Livability — Carbondale

Score
70/100
State rank
#375
US rank
#7806

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
22,946
Population (ZIP)
13,995

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,093 people
By 2030
59,628 · +0.9%
By 2040
59,495 · +0.7%
By 2050
58,811 · -0.5%
By 2075
57,683 · -2.4%
By 2100
55,337 · -6.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 8% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 47.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 3.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+3.5 2020: D+1.3 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+10.3 2008: D+21.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.39%
Current HPI
95.9393
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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