5281-5287 Country Club Rd #21 · Carbondale, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.0/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention investors!!! This is a prime opportunity for immediate reliable income. Down a quiet gravel drive you will find the (21 trailer hookup) trailer park. There are many happily established long-term residents who enjoy living here, so the income is consistent. Two trailers will come with the land, but the rest of them are privately owned and pay rent for the hookup location. This is the deal you have been looking for, don't let it pass you by! Any and all buyer requests will be entertained, so put them in your offer and we will bring them to our sellers!
Key facts
- Built 1953
- Listed 184 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a condo listed at $150k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.9% in Carbondale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#375 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Murphysboro CUSD 186 (town): math 9% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #585 of 620 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.68%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-7,158
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $15,918
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62966
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,652 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$347
- Net cashflow
- $269
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $373 | -5% $321 | +0% $269 | +5% $217 | +10% $165 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $138 | -5% $204 | +0% $269 | +5% $334 | +10% $399 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $344 | -0.5pp $307 | base $269 | +0.5pp $230 | +1.0pp $190 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1210 Black Diamond Dr Carbondale, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1486 | $1,652 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $150,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $150,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $150,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $150,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2025-09-30status Active 566-char remark
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
Attention investors!!! This is a prime opportunity for immediate reliable income. Down a quiet gravel drive you will find the (21 trailer hookup) trailer park. There are many happily established long-term residents who enjoy living here, so the income is consistent. Two trailers will come with the land, but the rest of them are privately owned and pay rent for the hookup location. This is the deal you have been looking for, don't let it pass you by! Any and all buyer requests will be entertained, so put them in your offer and we will bring them to our sellers!
-
2025-09-30historical 566-char remark
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
Attention investors!!! This is a prime opportunity for immediate reliable income. Down a quiet gravel drive you will find the (21 trailer hookup) trailer park. There are many happily established long-term residents who enjoy living here, so the income is consistent. Two trailers will come with the land, but the rest of them are privately owned and pay rent for the hookup location. This is the deal you have been looking for, don't let it pass you by! Any and all buyer requests will be entertained, so put them in your offer and we will bring them to our sellers!
-
2025-09-19status Pending 566-char remark
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
Attention investors!!! This is a prime opportunity for immediate reliable income. Down a quiet gravel drive you will find the (21 trailer hookup) trailer park. There are many happily established long-term residents who enjoy living here, so the income is consistent. Two trailers will come with the land, but the rest of them are privately owned and pay rent for the hookup location. This is the deal you have been looking for, don't let it pass you by! Any and all buyer requests will be entertained, so put them in your offer and we will bring them to our sellers!
-
2025-07-01status Active 566-char remark
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
Attention investors!!! This is a prime opportunity for immediate reliable income. Down a quiet gravel drive you will find the (21 trailer hookup) trailer park. There are many happily established long-term residents who enjoy living here, so the income is consistent. Two trailers will come with the land, but the rest of them are privately owned and pay rent for the hookup location. This is the deal you have been looking for, don't let it pass you by! Any and all buyer requests will be entertained, so put them in your offer and we will bring them to our sellers!
-
2025-07-01status Active 566-char remark
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
Attention investors!!! This is a prime opportunity for immediate reliable income. Down a quiet gravel drive you will find the (21 trailer hookup) trailer park. There are many happily established long-term residents who enjoy living here, so the income is consistent. Two trailers will come with the land, but the rest of them are privately owned and pay rent for the hookup location. This is the deal you have been looking for, don't let it pass you by! Any and all buyer requests will be entertained, so put them in your offer and we will bring them to our sellers!
-
2025-07-01historical 566-char remark
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
Attention investors!!! This is a prime opportunity for immediate reliable income. Down a quiet gravel drive you will find the (21 trailer hookup) trailer park. There are many happily established long-term residents who enjoy living here, so the income is consistent. Two trailers will come with the land, but the rest of them are privately owned and pay rent for the hookup location. This is the deal you have been looking for, don't let it pass you by! Any and all buyer requests will be entertained, so put them in your offer and we will bring them to our sellers!
-
2025-07-01historical 566-char remark
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
Attention investors!!! This is a prime opportunity for immediate reliable income. Down a quiet gravel drive you will find the (21 trailer hookup) trailer park. There are many happily established long-term residents who enjoy living here, so the income is consistent. Two trailers will come with the land, but the rest of them are privately owned and pay rent for the hookup location. This is the deal you have been looking for, don't let it pass you by! Any and all buyer requests will be entertained, so put them in your offer and we will bring them to our sellers!
-
2024-08-27Active 566-char remark
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
Attention investors!!! This is a prime opportunity for immediate reliable income. Down a quiet gravel drive you will find the (21 trailer hookup) trailer park. There are many happily established long-term residents who enjoy living here, so the income is consistent. Two trailers will come with the land, but the rest of them are privately owned and pay rent for the hookup location. This is the deal you have been looking for, don't let it pass you by! Any and all buyer requests will be entertained, so put them in your offer and we will bring them to our sellers!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,830
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,250
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,586
- − Management
- −$1,586
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $891
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$214
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,012/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This multi-family property requires moderate renovations, including driveway repair and landscaping, to improve its curb appeal and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Gravel driveway — Needs replacement or repair
- Major Overgrown vegetation — Needs trimming and landscaping
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and could attract more renters/investors
- Both Driveway repair/replacement — Improves access and overall property appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Gravel driveway · Needs replacement or repair | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Overgrown vegetation · Needs trimming and landscaping | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $30,000–100,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and could attract more renters/investors ↑
- Both Driveway repair/replacement — Improves access and overall property appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Murphysboro CUSD 186
- NCES district ID
- 1727610
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 10% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,963
- Composite
- 7.97/100
- National rank
- #9925
- State rank
- #585 of 620 in IL
Livability — Carbondale
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #375
- US rank
- #7806
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 22,946
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,995
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,093 people
- By 2030
- 59,628 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 59,495 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 58,811 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 57,683 · -2.4%
- By 2100
- 55,337 · -6.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 8% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 47.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+3.5 2020: D+1.3 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+10.3 2008: D+21.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.39%
- Current HPI
- 95.9393
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…