Duplex
815 Sawyer Ave · Vineland, NJ
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 71.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- ARV discount +6.0/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$339,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Discover the ideal investment opportunity in Vineland, NJ! 2 Family Duplex with new 2boilers, 2 new water heaters , new laminate flooring and new roof . Consist of …. . First Floor : LR, EIK, Bedroom, Plus bonus room could be used as bedroom or home office Second Floor. : LR, EIK, 2Bedrooms, Bonus room could be used as bedroom or office! Both units have separate gas & electric meters! Both units vacant.
Key facts
- Tenant occupied unit
- Washer dryer hookup
- Bonus room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Month-to-month existing lease for rental unit(s)
Exterior
- Parking: Front-entry and rear-entry garage with inside access; 1 attached garage space; 2 driveway spaces; On-street parking; Concrete driveway; 3 total garage/parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water; Natural gas heating fuel
- Home design: Detached property; Vinyl siding; Vinyl-clad windows
- Construction: Concrete perimeter and stone foundation
- Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Sidewalks; Street lights; Rear yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range/oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Multi-unit property with one 1-bedroom unit and one 2-bedroom unit
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Bathroom(s) with tub/shower
- Heating & cooling: Hot water baseboard heating; Radiator heating; Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Attic; Built-ins; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Tub with shower
- Laundry & utility: Basement with interior access
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $340k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $994 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $497/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $340k).
- Recommended offer: $299k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.5% in Vineland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#363 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, crime F.
- Vineland Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #418 of 472 in NJ (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 216 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,105/mo this rent would consume 75% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1328% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $95k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($299k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $265k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.53%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $329,034
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Elmwood Ave | 0.45mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,920 (+8%) | 6mo | $357,000 | $186 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $8,237
- Equity at exit
- $50,694
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $88,719
- Equity at exit
- $29,396
Cash invested: $95,197 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08360
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 13.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,105 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,783
- Tax from tax record
- −$324 /mo · $3,888/yr
- Insurance
- −$142
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$862
- Net cashflow
- $994
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $4,104 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $2,052 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $2,052 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,105 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,998
- Closing costs
- $10,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $339,990 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $339,990 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $339,990 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $339,990 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $339,990 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $339,990 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $339,990 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $339,990 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $339,990 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $339,990 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $339,990 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $339,990 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $339,990 Active 118 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $339,990 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $339,990 Active 116 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $339,990 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $339,990
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2026-05-09price $399,990
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2026-03-10price $344,000
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2026-02-04$349,000 Active
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2023-12-30historical $2,950
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2023-12-28soldstatus $265,000
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2023-12-27soldstatus $265,000 Closed 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
Discover the ideal investment opportunity in Vineland, NJ! 2 Family Duplex with new 2boilers, 2 new water heaters , new laminate flooring and new roof . Consist of …. . First Floor : LR, EIK, Bedroom, Plus bonus room could be used as bedroom or home office Second Floor. : LR, EIK, 2Bedrooms, Bonus room could be used as bedroom or office! Both units have separate gas & electric meters! Both units vacant.
-
2023-11-28$2,950
-
2023-11-27status Pending 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
Discover the ideal investment opportunity in Vineland, NJ! 2 Family Duplex with new 2boilers, 2 new water heaters , new laminate flooring and new roof . Consist of …. . First Floor : LR, EIK, Bedroom, Plus bonus room could be used as bedroom or home office Second Floor. : LR, EIK, 2Bedrooms, Bonus room could be used as bedroom or office! Both units have separate gas & electric meters! Both units vacant.
-
2023-11-21historical $2,950
-
2023-11-03$297,000 Active 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
Discover the ideal investment opportunity in Vineland, NJ! 2 Family Duplex with new 2boilers, 2 new water heaters , new laminate flooring and new roof . Consist of …. . First Floor : LR, EIK, Bedroom, Plus bonus room could be used as bedroom or home office Second Floor. : LR, EIK, 2Bedrooms, Bonus room could be used as bedroom or office! Both units have separate gas & electric meters! Both units vacant.
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2023-11-02historical
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2023-10-24$2,950
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2023-10-23price $297,000
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2023-08-02$325,000 Active
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2023-07-31historical
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2023-07-19price $319,500
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2023-06-26price $324,800
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2023-06-10price $324,900
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2023-06-10status Active
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2023-05-08status Pending
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2023-02-10$325,000 Active
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2023-01-21historical
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2021-05-12historical
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2020-05-14historical Active Under Contract
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2020-04-06status Active
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2020-04-01historical
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2020-04-01status Active
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2020-04-01historical
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2020-02-08status Active
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2019-07-09price $120,000
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2019-05-09historical Active Under Contract
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2019-03-13price $134,900
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2019-03-04price $139,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,888 · $324/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,177 · $515/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,289/yr (+$191/mo · 58.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 71% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $49,260
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,045
- − Property taxes
- −$3,888
- − Insurance
- −$1,700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,941
- − Management
- −$3,941
- − Depreciation
- −$9,891
- Taxable income
- $6,855
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,645
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,287/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vineland Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416800
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,168
- Composite
- 19.17/100
- National rank
- #8819
- State rank
- #418 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Vineland
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #363
- US rank
- #12180
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vineland, NJ
- County
- Cumberland County · 80,266 people
- City population
- 45,038
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,038
- Household income
- $65,359
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1328.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,743 people
- By 2030
- 150,373 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 146,881 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 142,653 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 129,468 · -15.2%
- By 2100
- 107,456 · -29.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% White 32% Two or more races 17% Black 11% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 33% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Subsaharan African 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 37% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.3% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -3.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.8 2020: D+6.0 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+23.1 2008: D+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -320.06%
- Current HPI
- 278.786
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+681.6% since first listed45 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $339,990 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $399,990 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $344,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-04 Listed $349,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-12-30 Rental Removed $2,950 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $265,000 Public Records
- 2023-12-27 Sold (MLS) $265,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-11-28 Listed for Rent $2,950 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-11-27 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-11-21 Rental Removed $2,950 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-11-03 Listed $297,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-11-02 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-10-24 Listed for Rent $2,950 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-10-23 Price Changed $297,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-08-02 Listed $325,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-07-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-07-19 Price Changed $319,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-06-26 Price Changed $324,800 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-06-10 Price Changed $324,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-06-10 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-05-08 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-02-10 Listed $325,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-01-21 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-05-12 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-05-14 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-04-06 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-04-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-04-01 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-04-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-02-08 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-07-09 Price Changed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-05-09 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-03-13 Price Changed $134,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-03-04 Price Changed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-03-04 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-03-04 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-02-08 Price Changed $144,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-01-14 Price Changed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-09-21 Listed $154,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $111,000 Public Records
- 2003-08-25 Sold (MLS) $111,000 SJSRMLS
- 2003-07-22 Listing Removed — SJSRMLS
- 2003-06-16 Listed $112,900 SJSRMLS
- 2001-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
- 1984-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,888 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…